OddsFilter

Lecce vs Bologna• Serie A, Italy

#121.0:2.013:00Tomorrow · Stadio Via del Mare, Lecce0.6:1.2#19

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.68PINX3.50BTN21.981XBMargin at best0.4%Books10Markets94Rating42 · 59Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 21:08 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet4.583.441.981.4%
Betano4.353.501.982.1%
Pinnacle4.673.291.933.6%
Dafabet4.303.401.944.2%
Betfair4.603.301.914.4%
Marathonbet4.453.341.924.5%
Bet3654.333.301.915.8%
BetVictor4.203.401.905.9%
William Hill4.203.101.8510.1%
SBO3.563.091.9013.1%
Best of all books4.673.501.980.5%
Average4.323.321.925.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LecceBologna
Last 10#12Table position#191.20Points per game0.406Form pts · last 521.0Goals for · last 50.62.0Goals against · last 51.263Attack rating3838Defence rating6375Form rating2515H2H rating85100Goals model042Overall rating59

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:32 UTC

Lecce

4W 1D 5L · goals 13:17 · per match 1.3 for, 1.7 against

20 SepAAC Milan0-3L
13 SepHMonza3-2W
7 SepACagliari0-1L
31 AugHAS Roma0-4L
23 AugAVenezia2-0W
17 AugAPalermo0-2L
9 AugHSS Monopoli1-0W
29 JulHBistrica5-2W
25 JulHIstra 19612-2D
22 JulHFC Politehnica Timisoara0-1L

Bologna

2W 3D 5L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

19 SepHTorino1-1D
13 SepANapoli0-1L
6 SepHSassuolo2-2D
31 AugAAtalanta0-1L
24 AugHLazio0-1L
15 AugABrighton0-1L
8 AugHPisa1-4L
1 AugHCambuur3-1W
25 JulHIraklis 19082-0W
22 JulH1. FC Heidenheim1-1D

Head to head

1Lecce wins
4draws
9Bologna wins

14 meetings · goals 11:24 · last 10: 0W 3D 7L for Lecce

12 Apr 2026Serie ASerie ABologna2-0Lecce
28 Sep 2025Serie ASerie ALecce2-2Bologna
9 Feb 2025Serie ASerie ALecce0-0Bologna
2 Nov 2024Serie ASerie ABologna1-0Lecce
11 Feb 2024Serie ASerie ABologna4-0Lecce
3 Dec 2023Serie ASerie ALecce1-1Bologna
4 Jun 2023Serie ASerie ALecce2-3Bologna
23 Oct 2022Serie ASerie ABologna2-0Lecce
26 Jul 2020Serie ASerie ABologna3-2Lecce
22 Dec 2019Serie ASerie ALecce2-3Bologna

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 10 Oct 23:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Lecce sit 12th with 6 points from 5 games, while Bologna are 19th with 2 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Inter651018:8+1016
2AS Roma541014:3+1113
3Lazio54108:3+513
4Cagliari54015:2+312
5AC Milan532010:4+611
6Juventus53118:4+410
7Como53119:6+310
8Napoli631210:6+410
9Frosinone63129:7+210
10Sassuolo52129:907
11Atalanta52035:7-26
12Lecce52035:10-56
13Udinese51138:11-34
14Torino51135:8-34
15Monza51138:12-44
16Genoa61145:11-64
17Parma61144:10-64
18Fiorentina61147:14-74
19Bologna50233:6-32
20Venezia50054:13-90

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg122%4.32X29%3.31249%1.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0210 Oct 18:401 4.32X 3.312 1.92
14.14 → 4.32 +4.3%X3.31 → 3.31 0.0%21.93 → 1.92 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.161.811.5%
Pinnacle2.181.743.3%
Betano2.121.754.3%
SBO2.141.734.5%
Marathonbet2.091.755.0%
Bet3652.101.735.4%
Betfair2.101.735.4%
BetVictor2.011.698.9%
Best of all books2.181.811.1%
Average2.111.744.8%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.911.856.4%
Bet3651.951.806.8%
Betfair1.831.917.0%
Betano1.881.857.2%
1xBet1.871.857.5%
BetVictor1.871.838.1%
Marathonbet1.871.838.1%
Best of all books1.951.913.6%
Average1.881.857.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lecce 35%Draw 35%Bologna 30%

The statistical model rates Lecce at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Bologna at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.32 | 3.31 | 1.92, which imply roughly 23.1% for a Lecce win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Lecce are 12th (6 pts, 5-10 goals), Bologna 19th (2 pts, 3-6).

Over their last five matches, Lecce averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Bologna averaged 0.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Lecce or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
4.323.321.92

Double chance

1XX212
1.871.211.31

Draw no bet

12
3.011.35

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.881.85

1st half

1X2
4.632.072.55

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.657.851.69

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.058.30
1.51.353.10
2.52.111.74
3.53.731.25
4.57.471.07
5.515.31.02
6.534.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.056.66
11.066.20
1.251.213.93
1.751.432.69
21.572.35
2.251.851.96
2.752.431.56
32.971.37
3.253.271.30
3.754.281.15
45.801.08
4.256.101.06
511.01.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
03.141.37
+0.252.281.61
+0.51.931.91
+0.751.662.16
+11.442.72
+1.251.333.10
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.59.401.02
-1.258.931.02
-18.501.03
-0.755.521.13
-0.54.261.21
-0.253.771.27
+1.51.273.50
+1.751.184.16
+21.096.00
+2.251.066.05
+2.51.056.97
+3.51.0113.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
0.51.0310.8
1.51.125.70
2.51.333.15
3.51.692.10
4.52.501.50
5.53.551.27
6.55.401.13
7.57.801.06
8.510.31.03
3 more lines
LineOverUnder
31.392.84
42.111.74
53.561.27

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0211.8
4.51.038.23
5.51.095.63
6.51.213.69
7.51.412.61
8.51.781.95
9.52.271.57
10.53.051.32
11.54.221.16
12.56.031.08
13.58.121.03
14.513.81.02
15.512.01.01
16.514.01.01
19 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.045.79
61.094.62
6.751.193.78
71.223.20
7.251.303.05
7.751.422.48
81.512.36
8.251.602.14
8.751.841.90
91.971.82
9.252.061.65
9.752.341.46
102.541.44
10.252.791.33
10.753.161.22
113.201.21
11.253.851.14
124.301.11
135.501.05