Lazio vs Monza• Serie A, Italy

#31.6:0.613:00Tomorrow · Stadio Olimpico, Rome1.6:2.4#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.691XBX4.071XB25.611XBMargin at best1.6%Books10Markets97Rating73 · 27Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 21:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.69	4.07	5.61	1.6%
Betano	1.67	4.05	5.50	2.8%
Pinnacle	1.67	3.99	5.37	3.6%
Dafabet	1.67	4.00	5.20	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	3.95	5.45	4.6%
Betfair	1.67	3.90	5.00	5.5%
Bet365	1.60	3.90	5.50	6.3%
BetVictor	1.62	3.90	5.25	6.4%
William Hill	1.62	3.75	5.00	8.4%
SBO	1.62	3.48	4.50	12.7%
Best of all books	1.69	4.07	5.61	1.6%
Average	1.65	3.90	5.24	5.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

LazioMonza

Last 10#3Table position#152.60Points per game0.8011Form pts · last 551.6Goals for · last 51.60.6Goals against · last 52.450Attack rating5080Defence rating2076Form rating2485H2H rating1574Goals model2673Overall rating27

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:32 UTC

Lazio

7W 2D 1L · goals 19:9 · per match 1.9 for, 0.9 against

3 Oct	H	Juve Stabia	3-3	D
27 Sep	H	Arezzo	2-0	W
19 Sep	A	Venezia	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	AC Milan	2-2	D
7 Sep	A	Udinese	2-1	W
30 Aug	H	Genoa	1-0	W
24 Aug	A	Bologna	1-0	W
16 Aug	H	Mantova	0-2	L
9 Aug	A	Frosinone	2-1	W
5 Aug	H	Ostia Mare	4-0	W

Monza

3W 3D 4L · goals 19:20 · per match 1.9 for, 2.0 against

3 Oct	A	Stade Brestois 29	2-2	D
26 Sep	H	Cremonese	2-3	L
18 Sep	H	Sassuolo	2-1	W
13 Sep	A	Lecce	2-3	L
6 Sep	A	Parma	1-1	D
1 Sep	A	Torino	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Udinese	2-3	L
22 Aug	A	Inter	1-4	L
14 Aug	H	Avellino	3-0	W
7 Aug	H	Padova	3-3	D

Head to head

4Lazio wins

2draws

0Monza wins

6 meetings · goals 12:4 · last 6: 4W 2D 0L for Lazio

9 Feb 2025Serie A	Serie A	Lazio5-1Monza
10 Nov 2024Serie A	Serie A	Monza0-1Lazio
4 May 2024Serie A	Serie A	Monza2-2Lazio
23 Sep 2023Serie A	Serie A	Lazio1-1Monza
2 Apr 2023Serie A	Serie A	Monza0-2Lazio
10 Nov 2022Serie A	Serie A	Lazio1-0Monza

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 10 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Lazio sit 3rd with 13 points from 5 games, while Monza are 15th with 4 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	6	5	1	0	18:8	+10	16
2	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	+11	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10:4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9:4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4
15	Monza	5	1	1	3	8:12	-4	4
16	Genoa	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
17	Parma	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4
18	Fiorentina	6	1	1	4	7:14	-7	4
19	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4:13	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.65X24%3.90218%5.24

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.57 → 1.65 +5.1%X3.97 → 3.90 -1.8%25.82 → 5.24 -10.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.92	2.02	1.6%
Pinnacle	1.90	1.98	3.1%
SBO	1.89	1.97	3.7%
Betano	1.91	1.93	4.2%
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Marathonbet	1.86	1.95	5.0%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
BetVictor	1.81	1.86	9.0%
Best of all books	1.92	2.02	1.6%
Average	1.88	1.94	4.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Bet365	1.91	1.91	4.7%
Betfair	1.80	1.95	6.8%
Betano	1.88	1.85	7.2%
1xBet	1.83	1.89	7.6%
William Hill	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.83	1.87	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.83	1.87	8.1%
Best of all books	1.91	1.95	3.6%
Average	1.85	1.88	7.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Lazio 45%Draw 45%Monza 10%

The statistical model rates Lazio at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Monza at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.65 | 3.90 | 5.24, which imply roughly 60.6% for a Lazio win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Lazio are 3rd (13 pts, 8-3 goals), Monza 15th (4 pts, 8-12).

Over their last five matches, Lazio averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Monza averaged 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Lazio or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.65	3.90	5.24

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.16	2.26	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.22	3.86

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.85	1.88

1st half

1	X	2
2.18	2.23	5.25

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.50	11.6	2.88

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	11.1
1.5	1.26	3.65
2.5	1.88	1.94
3.5	3.10	1.35
4.5	5.98	1.10
5.5	11.8	1.03
6.5	22.5	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.98
1	1.01	8.50
1.25	1.13	4.86
1.75	1.32	3.17
2	1.42	2.78
2.25	1.65	2.24
2.75	2.07	1.72
3	2.48	1.51
3.25	2.74	1.40
3.75	3.61	1.21
4	4.85	1.12
4.25	5.20	1.10
5	9.50	1.03

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.79	1.43
-1.25	2.44	1.54
-1	2.11	1.73
-0.75	1.80	2.00
-0.5	1.62	2.29
-0.25	1.41	2.75

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	11.0	1.02
-3	9.75	1.02
-2.75	6.67	1.07
-2.5	5.40	1.12
-2.25	4.81	1.15
-2	4.47	1.18
-1.75	3.49	1.30
0	1.22	3.91
+0.25	1.18	4.45
+0.5	1.16	5.25
+0.75	1.07	6.91
+1	1.02	10.0
+1.5	1.02	11.0

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.5
1.5	1.10	6.30
2.5	1.28	3.45
3.5	1.59	2.29
4.5	2.11	1.68
5.5	3.25	1.31
6.5	4.90	1.16
7.5	7.20	1.07
8.5	9.75	1.03

3 more lines

Line	Over	Under
3	1.27	3.51
4	1.85	1.95
5	2.79	1.40

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
3.5	1.02	12.0
4.5	1.04	9.00
5.5	1.09	5.60
6.5	1.21	3.72
7.5	1.43	2.59
8.5	1.77	1.96
9.5	2.26	1.58
10.5	3.03	1.32
11.5	4.20	1.17
12.5	6.02	1.08
13.5	8.08	1.03
14.5	13.5	1.02
15.5	12.0	1.02
16.5	13.5	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.03	5.92
6	1.09	4.62
6.75	1.18	3.50
7	1.22	3.20
7.25	1.31	2.89
7.75	1.43	2.44
8	1.52	2.36
8.25	1.63	2.08
8.75	1.88	1.86
9	1.99	1.81
9.25	2.12	1.61
9.75	2.41	1.43
10	2.56	1.44
10.25	2.87	1.32
11	3.20	1.21
12	4.30	1.11
13	5.50	1.05