OddsFilter

Genoa vs Fiorentina• Serie A, Italy

#160.6:2.02-1FTToday · Luigi Ferraris, Genoa1.2:2.4#18

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.451XBX3.381XB22.331XBMargin at best1.5%Books10Markets89Rating34 · 66Exp. goals L53.1

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 09:15 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.453.382.331.5%
Pinnacle3.443.272.322.8%
Dafabet3.253.302.334.0%
Betfair3.403.202.304.1%
Marathonbet3.353.282.264.6%
Betano3.303.202.305.0%
Bet3653.253.202.305.5%
BetVictor3.203.302.256.0%
William Hill3.253.102.208.5%
SBO3.013.082.269.9%
Best of all books3.453.382.331.5%
Average3.293.232.295.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

GenoaFiorentina
Last 10#16Table position#180.67Points per game0.674Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 52.433Attack rating6755Defence rating4520Form rating8025H2H rating7529Goals model7134Overall rating66

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 13:52 UTC

Genoa

2W 1D 7L · goals 9:24 · per match 0.9 for, 2.4 against

2 OctARapid0-2L
20 SepAParma1-2L
15 SepHSudtirol1-0W
12 SepHFrosinone1-1D
4 SepHComo1-4L
30 AugALazio0-1L
22 AugHNapoli0-2L
16 AugHAscoli4-1W
8 AugHDeportivo La Coruna0-1L
4 AugABournemouth1-10L

Fiorentina

4W 3D 3L · goals 17:16 · per match 1.7 for, 1.6 against

20 SepHNapoli1-1D
15 SepHPisa3-0W
11 SepAVenezia4-2W
5 SepHTorino1-2L
29 AugHFrosinone0-3L
24 AugAAS Roma0-4L
14 AugHBenevento4-1W
6 AugHDeportivo La Coruna1-1D
1 AugAReal Madrid2-2D
29 JulAWatford1-0W

Head to head

2Genoa wins
16draws
12Fiorentina wins

30 meetings · goals 27:46 · last 10: 0W 5D 5L for Genoa

10 May 2026Serie ASerie AFiorentina0-0Genoa
9 Nov 2025Serie ASerie AGenoa2-2Fiorentina
2 Feb 2025Serie ASerie AFiorentina2-1Genoa
31 Oct 2024Serie ASerie AGenoa0-1Fiorentina
15 Apr 2024Serie ASerie AFiorentina1-1Genoa
19 Aug 2023Serie ASerie AGenoa1-4Fiorentina
17 Jan 2022Serie ASerie AFiorentina6-0Genoa
18 Sep 2021Serie ASerie AGenoa1-2Fiorentina
3 Apr 2021Serie ASerie AGenoa1-1Fiorentina
7 Dec 2020Serie ASerie AFiorentina1-1Genoa

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 10 Oct 23:30 UTC

In the Serie A table, Genoa sit 16th with 4 points from 6 games, while Fiorentina are 18th with 4 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Inter651018:8+1016
2AS Roma541014:3+1113
3Lazio54108:3+513
4Cagliari54015:2+312
5AC Milan532010:4+611
6Juventus53118:4+410
7Como53119:6+310
8Napoli631210:6+410
9Frosinone63129:7+210
10Sassuolo52129:907
11Atalanta52035:7-26
12Lecce52035:10-56
13Udinese51138:11-34
14Torino51135:8-34
15Monza51138:12-44
16Genoa61145:11-64
17Parma61144:10-64
18Fiorentina61147:14-74
19Bologna50233:6-32
20Venezia50054:13-90

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.29X29%3.23242%2.29

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 09:301 3.29X 3.232 2.29
13.12 → 3.29 +5.4%X3.28 → 3.23 -1.5%22.30 → 2.29 -0.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.151.821.5%
Pinnacle2.141.782.9%
SBO2.131.763.8%
Betano2.121.754.3%
Marathonbet2.081.764.9%
Bet3652.101.735.4%
Betfair2.001.805.6%
BetVictor1.991.709.1%
Best of all books2.151.821.5%
Average2.091.764.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.732.056.6%
Bet3651.801.956.8%
Betano1.801.956.8%
William Hill1.752.007.1%
1xBet1.801.927.6%
Marathonbet1.801.908.2%
BetVictor1.781.918.5%
Best of all books1.802.054.3%
Average1.781.957.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Genoa 10%Draw 45%Fiorentina 45%

The statistical model rated Genoa at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Fiorentina at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.29 | 3.23 | 2.29, which imply roughly 31% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Genoa are 16th (4 pts, 5-11 goals), Fiorentina 18th (4 pts, 7-14).

Over their last five matches, Genoa averaged 0.6 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Fiorentina averaged 1.2 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Fiorentina.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Genoa

3-4-2-1

Coach: D. De Rossi

Goalkeeper

  • 1J. Bijlow

Defence

  • 34S. Otoa
  • 5L. Østigård
  • 22J. Vásquez

Midfield

  • 3K. Ehizibue
  • 32M. Frendrup
  • 25H. Traorè
  • 77M. Ellertsson
  • 10Junior Messias
  • 92S. El Shaarawy

Attack

  • 18M. Osmajić
Substitutes (13)
  • 16C. Drameh
  • 8T. Baldanzi
  • 75Gaël Lafont
  • 27A. Marcandalli
  • 2M. Mitaj
  • 31D. Puczka
  • 21Nikita Solodchenko
  • 20S. Sabelli
  • 39D. Sommariva
  • 99F. Stolz
  • 9Vítinha
  • 71S. Wiafe
  • 14Lukas Klišys

Fiorentina

4-3-3

Coach: P. Vanoli

Goalkeeper

  • 43David de Gea

Defence

  • 20Álex Jiménez
  • 3R. Drăgușin
  • 6L. Ranieri
  • 21Valde

Midfield

  • 27C. Ndour
  • 42C. Inao Oulaï
  • 44N. Fagioli

Attack

  • 30Franco Mastantuono
  • 23Beto
  • 29W. Gnonto
Substitutes (11)
  • 33Viery
  • 28Pote
  • 5M. Pongračić
  • 32Mateo Pellegrino
  • 25A. Njie
  • 19L. Lezzerini
  • 17João Mário
  • 2Dodô
  • 53O. Christensen
  • 4M. Brescianini
  • 72B. Mazzeo

Match Statistics

GenoaFiorentina
1.41Expected Goals0.96
209Passes accurate407
7Shots insidebox9
3Shots outsidebox3
1Blocked Shots4
8Free Kicks10
4Shots on Goal3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
5Shots off Goal5
2Offsides2
275Total passes477
10Total Shots12
5Yellow Cards3
3Corner Kicks4
11Fouls10
0Red Cards0
37%Ball Possession63%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.293.232.29

Double chance

1XX212
1.631.331.32

Draw no bet

12
2.251.61

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.781.95

1st half

1X2
3.772.082.93

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.278.751.85

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.98
1.51.333.19
2.52.091.76
3.53.621.27
4.57.431.07
5.514.01.02
6.525.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.027.85
11.047.20
1.251.204.12
1.751.412.76
21.562.39
2.251.841.99
2.752.371.56
32.921.38
3.253.241.31
3.754.481.15
46.301.06
4.256.751.04
511.51.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.191.35
-0.252.771.44
02.351.61
+0.251.881.92
+0.51.652.27
+0.751.452.66
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-1.759.131.01
-1.57.321.06
-1.256.821.08
-16.271.09
-0.754.131.21
+11.273.56
+1.251.214.03
+1.51.174.42
+1.751.095.76
+21.018.70
+2.251.0110.6
+2.51.049.85

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
1.51.077.60
2.51.204.20
3.51.442.70
4.51.871.86
5.52.741.42
6.53.801.24
7.55.501.13
8.57.801.06
9.510.31.03
2 more lines
LineOverUnder
41.582.36
52.401.56

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
3.51.0212.0
4.51.029.60
5.51.085.84
6.51.203.79
7.51.402.66
8.51.761.99
9.52.231.59
10.53.031.32
11.54.221.16
12.55.941.08
13.57.911.04
14.511.61.02
15.512.01.02
16.514.01.01
17 more lines
LineOverUnder
51.045.65
61.094.62
6.751.183.50
71.223.20
7.251.312.89
7.751.432.44
81.522.35
8.251.632.08
8.751.881.86
91.981.81
9.252.121.61
9.752.411.43
102.541.44
10.252.871.32
113.201.21
124.301.11
135.501.05