Atalanta vs Venezia• Serie A, Italy

#111.0:1.416:3012/10 · New Balance Arena, Bergamo0.8:2.6#20

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.631XBX4.40DAF26.14PINMargin at best0.4%Books10Markets94Rating76 · 24Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 17:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.63	4.28	5.97	1.5%
Pinnacle	1.57	4.19	6.14	3.8%
Dafabet	1.58	4.40	5.60	3.9%
Marathonbet	1.58	4.15	5.80	4.6%
Betano	1.60	4.25	5.30	4.9%
Betfair	1.55	4.20	6.00	5.0%
Bet365	1.57	4.10	5.75	5.5%
BetVictor	1.53	4.33	5.25	7.5%
William Hill	1.55	4.20	5.00	8.3%
SBO	1.50	3.98	4.77	12.8%
Best of all books	1.63	4.40	6.14	0.4%
Average	1.57	4.21	5.56	5.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AtalantaVenezia

Last 10#11Table position#201.20Points per game0.006Form pts · last 501.0Goals for · last 50.81.4Goals against · last 52.656Attack rating4465Defence rating35100Form rating093H2H rating776Goals model2476Overall rating24

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 18:51 UTC

Atalanta

5W 1D 4L · goals 11:9 · per match 1.1 for, 0.9 against

20 Sep	A	Juventus	0-2	L
12 Sep	H	Cagliari	1-2	L
5 Sep	A	AS Roma	1-2	L
31 Aug	H	Bologna	1-0	W
27 Aug	A	Hapoel Tel Aviv	1-0	W
23 Aug	H	Sassuolo	2-1	W
20 Aug	H	Hapoel Tel Aviv	0-0	D
14 Aug	H	Athletic Club	1-0	W
8 Aug	A	FC Schalke 04	3-0	W
2 Aug	A	Feyenoord	1-2	L

Venezia

2W 1D 7L · goals 16:23 · per match 1.6 for, 2.3 against

19 Sep	H	Lazio	0-2	L
11 Sep	H	Fiorentina	2-4	L
6 Sep	A	Frosinone	2-3	L
2 Sep	A	Udinese	1-2	L
28 Aug	A	AC Milan	0-2	L
23 Aug	H	Lecce	0-2	L
15 Aug	H	Modena	3-2	W
8 Aug	A	Stade Brestois 29	2-2	D
1 Aug	A	Saint Etienne	3-4	L
27 Jul	A	Galatasaray	3-0	W

Head to head

4Atalanta wins

1draws

0Venezia wins

5 meetings · goals 11:1 · last 5: 4W 1D 0L for Atalanta

1 Mar 2025Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta0-0Venezia
20 Oct 2024Serie A	Serie A	Venezia0-2Atalanta
23 Apr 2022Serie A	Serie A	Venezia1-3Atalanta
12 Jan 2022Coppa Italia	Coppa Italia	Atalanta2-0Venezia
30 Nov 2021Serie A	Serie A	Atalanta4-0Venezia

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 10 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Atalanta sit 11th with 6 points from 5 games, while Venezia are 20th with 0 points from 5.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Inter	6	5	1	0	18:8	+10	16
2	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14:3	+11	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8:3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5:2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10:4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9:4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9:6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7:6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9:9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5:10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8:11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5:8	-3	4
15	Monza	5	1	1	3	8:12	-4	4
16	Genoa	6	1	1	4	5:11	-6	4
17	Parma	6	1	1	4	4:10	-6	4
18	Fiorentina	6	1	1	4	7:14	-7	4
19	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3:6	-3	2
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4:13	-9	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg161%1.56X22%4.21217%5.57

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 0.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.58 → 1.56 -1.3%X4.17 → 4.21 +1.0%25.40 → 5.57 +3.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.57	2.51	3.5%
Betano	1.57	2.50	3.7%
Bet365	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Betfair	1.53	2.45	6.2%
1xBet	1.51	2.34	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.51	2.34	9.0%
BetVictor	1.52	2.31	9.1%
Best of all books	1.57	2.51	3.5%
Average	1.54	2.40	6.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Betano	1.60	2.27	6.6%
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.60	2.22	7.5%
BetVictor	1.57	2.25	8.1%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.19	8.2%
Best of all books	1.62	2.30	5.2%
Average	1.60	2.24	7.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atalanta 45%Draw 45%Venezia 10%

The statistical model rates Atalanta at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Venezia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 4.21 | 5.57, which imply roughly 64.1% for a Atalanta win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Atalanta are 11th (6 pts, 5-7 goals), Venezia 20th (0 pts, 4-13).

Over their last five matches, Atalanta averaged 1 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Venezia averaged 0.8 scored and 2.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atalanta or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.57	4.21	5.56

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.38	1.21

Draw no bet

1	2
1.21	4.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.24

1st half

1	X	2
2.04	2.42	5.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.48	16.4	2.81

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	14.6
1.5	1.15	4.93
2.5	1.54	2.40
3.5	2.36	1.60
4.5	4.03	1.22
5.5	7.55	1.07
6.5	14.6	1.03
7.5	24.7	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.03	12.5
1.25	1.07	6.43
1.75	1.15	4.26
2	1.22	3.84
2.25	1.38	2.85
2.75	1.66	2.16
3	1.85	1.93
3.25	2.12	1.73
3.75	2.66	1.44
4	3.31	1.30
4.25	3.51	1.25
4.75	4.64	1.13
5	6.10	1.06
5.25	6.40	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.88	1.41
-1.5	2.45	1.55
-1.25	2.16	1.68
-1	1.91	1.91
-0.75	1.68	2.16
-0.5	1.55	2.43

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.30	1.03
-3	7.00	1.04
-2.75	5.29	1.11
-2.5	4.38	1.17
-2.25	3.79	1.22
-2	3.59	1.25
-0.25	1.36	2.97
0	1.19	4.32
+0.25	1.16	4.63
+0.5	1.15	5.50
+0.75	1.07	7.15
+1	1.01	11.0
+1.5	1.02	11.5

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.14	5.20
2.5	1.41	2.78
3	1.65	2.21
3.5	1.94	1.82
4	2.74	1.44
4.5	2.96	1.38
5.5	4.10	1.21

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
2.5	1.01	15.0
3.5	1.02	11.5
4.5	1.04	7.73
5.5	1.10	5.42
6.5	1.23	3.50
7.5	1.48	2.48
8.5	1.85	1.89
9.5	2.38	1.52
10.5	3.27	1.28
11.5	4.55	1.15
12.5	6.39	1.07
13.5	8.64	1.03
14.5	13.9	1.02
15.5	12.5	1.01
16.5	15.0	1.01

17 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5	1.04	5.87
6	1.10	4.42
6.75	1.19	3.41
7	1.24	3.05
7.25	1.32	2.85
7.75	1.45	2.38
8	1.57	2.26
8.25	1.68	2.11
8.75	1.86	1.80
9	2.03	1.73
9.25	2.14	1.60
9.75	2.44	1.42
10	2.58	1.38
10.25	2.91	1.31
11	3.37	1.19
12	4.52	1.09
13	5.72	1.04