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Venezia vs Lazio• Serie A, Italy

#201.0:2.80-2FT19/09 · Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice1.5:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.71AVGX3.53AVG22.00AVGMargin5.3%Rating22 · 78Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 3.71 | 3.53 | 2.00. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

VeneziaLazio
Last 10#20Table position#30.00Points per game2.600Form pts · last 5111.0Goals for · last 51.52.8Goals against · last 50.840Attack rating6021Defence rating790Form rating10015H2H rating8510Goals model9022Overall rating78

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 18:51 UTC

Venezia

2W 1D 7L · goals 16:23 · per match 1.6 for, 2.3 against

19 SepHLazio0-2L
11 SepHFiorentina2-4L
6 SepAFrosinone2-3L
2 SepAUdinese1-2L
28 AugAAC Milan0-2L
23 AugHLecce0-2L
15 AugHModena3-2W
8 AugAStade Brestois 292-2D
1 AugASaint Etienne3-4L
27 JulAGalatasaray3-0W

Lazio

7W 2D 1L · goals 19:9 · per match 1.9 for, 0.9 against

3 OctHJuve Stabia3-3D
27 SepHArezzo2-0W
19 SepAVenezia2-0W
12 SepHAC Milan2-2D
7 SepAUdinese2-1W
30 AugHGenoa1-0W
24 AugABologna1-0W
16 AugHMantova0-2L
9 AugAFrosinone2-1W
5 AugHOstia Mare4-0W

Head to head

0Venezia wins
1draws
3Lazio wins

4 meetings · goals 2:7 · last 4: 0W 1D 3L for Venezia

22 Feb 2025Serie ASerie AVenezia0-0Lazio
18 Aug 2024Serie ASerie ALazio3-1Venezia
14 Mar 2022Serie ASerie ALazio1-0Venezia
22 Dec 2021Serie ASerie AVenezia1-3Lazio

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 10 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, Venezia sit 20th with 0 points from 5 games, while Lazio are 3rd with 13 points from 5.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Inter651018:8+1016
2AS Roma541014:3+1113
3Lazio54108:3+513
4Cagliari54015:2+312
5AC Milan532010:4+611
6Frosinone53119:4+510
7Juventus53118:4+410
8Como53119:6+310
9Napoli52127:6+17
10Sassuolo52129:907
11Atalanta52035:7-26
12Lecce52035:10-56
13Udinese51138:11-34
14Torino51135:8-34
15Monza51138:12-44
16Genoa61145:11-64
17Parma61144:10-64
18Fiorentina61147:14-74
19Bologna50233:6-32
20Venezia50054:13-90

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg126%3.71X27%3.53247%2.00

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.3% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Venezia 0%Draw 50%Lazio 50%

The statistical model rated Venezia at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Lazio at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.71 | 3.53 | 2.00, which imply roughly 28.3% for the draw versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Serie A table: Venezia are 20th (0 pts, 4-13 goals), Lazio 3rd (13 pts, 8-3).

Over their last five matches, Venezia averaged 1 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Lazio averaged 1.5 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Lazio.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Venezia

3-5-2

Coach: Giovanni Stroppa

Goalkeeper

  • 1Filip Stanković

Defence

  • 3Joel Schingtienne
  • 15Juan Jesus
  • 2Matias Moreno

Midfield

  • 18Antoine Hainaut
  • 71Kike Pérez
  • 19Simon Sohm
  • 21Þórir Jóhann Helgason
  • 14Thierry Correia

Attack

  • 10John Yeboah
  • 45Akor Adams
Substitutes (12)
  • 96Lorenzo Montipò
  • 16Rufai Mohammed
  • 95Ale Gomes
  • 25Redouane Halhal
  • 77Toni Fernández
  • 20Richie Sagrado
  • 56Kornel Lisman
  • 36Lorenzo Berardi
  • 8Lamine Fanne
  • 55Simone Panada
  • 7Albion Rrahmani
  • 29Lion Lauberbach

Lazio

4-3-3

Coach: Gennaro Gattuso

Goalkeeper

  • 35Christos Mandas

Defence

  • 15Romano Floriani Mussolini
  • 37Josip Šutalo
  • 25Oliver Provstgaard
  • 17Nuno Tavares

Midfield

  • 16Davide Frattesi
  • 21Reda Belahyane
  • 24Kenneth Taylor

Attack

  • 22Matteo Cancellieri
  • 14Tijjani Noslin
  • 10Mattia Zaccagni
Substitutes (12)
  • 47Davide Renzetti
  • 40Edoardo Motta
  • 2Diogo Leite
  • 5Danilho Doekhi
  • 23Alfonso Pedraza
  • 29Manuel Lazzari
  • 71Valerio Farcomeni
  • 32Danilo Cataldi
  • 63Federico Serra
  • 11Gustav Isaksen
  • 9Andrea Pinamonti
  • 80Albert Guðmundsson

Match Statistics

VeneziaLazio
6Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal6
17Total Shots11
5Blocked Shots3
10Shots insidebox5
7Shots outsidebox6
13Fouls8
7Corner Kicks2
2Offsides0
50%Ball Possession50%
5Yellow Cards0
0Goalkeeper Saves7
479Total passes493
409Passes accurate428
85%Passes %87%
1.88Expected Goals1.60
1.65Goals Prevented1.65