Fiorentina16th3 pts
Napoli10th6 pts
Fiorentina16th3 pts
Napoli10th6 ptsIn the Serie A table, Fiorentina sit 16th with 3 points from 4 games, while Napoli are 10th with 6 points from 4 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Fiorentina at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Napoli at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.20 | 3.40 | 2.24, which imply roughly 29.4% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie A table: Fiorentina are 16th (3 pts, 5-11 goals), Napoli 10th (6 pts, 6-5).
Over their last five matches, Fiorentina averaged 1.3 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game; Napoli averaged 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Napoli.
Fiorentina vs Napoli — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 2 |  Inter | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 3 |  Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12 |
| 5 |  Como | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 10 |
| 6 |  AC Milan | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8 |
| 7 |  Frosinone | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 |  Juventus | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7 |
| 9 |  Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 |
| 10 |  Napoli | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 |  Atalanta | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 12 |  Lecce | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 |
| 13 |  Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 14 |  Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 |  Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 |
| 16 |  Fiorentina | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 |
| 17 |  Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 |
| 18 |  Parma | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 19 |  Genoa | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| 20 |  Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.20
X
3.37
2
2.23
Double chance
1X
1.64
X2
1.35
12
1.31
Both teams to score
Yes
1.67
No
2.11
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.27
Under 1.5
3.61
Over 2.5
1.87
Under 2.5
1.95
Over 3.5
3.06
Under 3.5
1.35
Over 0.5
1.03
Under 0.5
9.89
Over 4.5
5.95
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
11.44
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
20.67
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.34
Under 1.75
3.14
Over 2
1.43
Under 2
2.75
Over 2.25
1.67
Under 2.25
2.23
Over 2.75
2.12
Under 2.75
1.73
Over 0.75
1.02
Under 0.75
8.32
Over 1
1.03
Under 1
7.80
Over 1.25
1.13
Under 1.25
4.67
Over 3
2.48
Under 3
1.51
Over 3.25
2.77
Under 3.25
1.41
Over 3.75
3.53
Under 3.75
1.23
Over 4
4.70
Under 4
1.12
Over 4.25
5.00
Under 4.25
1.10
Over 5
9.10
Draw no bet
1
2.28
2
1.59
Asian handicap
Home -2.5
12.00
Away -2.5
8.37
1st half
1
3.67
X
2.15
2
2.79
First team to score
Home
2.26
No Goal
9.90
Away
1.83
Corners 2-Way
Over 15.5
12.50
Under 15.5
1.01
Cards in match
Over 6.5
6.60
Under 6.5
1.09