OddsFilter

AS Roma vs Inter• Serie A, Italy

#23.0:0.32-2FT19/09 · Stadio Olimpico, Rome3.3:1.5#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.72AVGX3.47AVG22.56AVGMargin4.6%Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2

Average 1X2: 2.72 | 3.47 | 2.56. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.

Team comparison

AS RomaInter
Last 10#2Table position#12.60Points per game2.6711Form pts · last 5103.0Goals for · last 53.30.3Goals against · last 51.548Attack rating5286Defence rating1450Form rating5020H2H rating800Goals model10047Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:32 UTC

AS Roma

5W 3D 2L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against

19 SepHInter2-2D
14 SepATorino2-0W
10 SepAFenerbahçe1-1D
5 SepHAtalanta2-1W
31 AugALecce4-0W
24 AugHFiorentina4-0W
15 AugABorussia Dortmund2-2D
8 AugABrighton0-3L
4 AugANewport County4-1W
1 AugACardiff1-4L

Inter

8W 1D 1L · goals 24:11 · per match 2.4 for, 1.1 against

10 OctHParma3-0W
3 OctHLumezzane2-0W
19 SepAAS Roma2-2D
14 SepHUdinese5-3W
8 SepAReal Madrid1-2L
5 SepHNapoli3-2W
30 AugACagliari1-0W
22 AugHMonza4-1W
15 AugHReal Betis1-0W
8 AugAJuventus2-1W

Head to head

9AS Roma wins
10draws
14Inter wins

33 meetings · goals 44:52 · last 10: 2W 0D 8L for AS Roma

5 Apr 2026Serie ASerie AInter5-2AS Roma
18 Oct 2025Serie ASerie AAS Roma0-1Inter
27 Apr 2025Serie ASerie AInter0-1AS Roma
20 Oct 2024Serie ASerie AAS Roma0-1Inter
10 Feb 2024Serie ASerie AAS Roma2-4Inter
29 Oct 2023Serie ASerie AInter1-0AS Roma
6 May 2023Serie ASerie AAS Roma0-2Inter
1 Oct 2022Serie ASerie AInter1-2AS Roma
23 Apr 2022Serie ASerie AInter3-1AS Roma
8 Feb 2022Coppa ItaliaCoppa ItaliaInter2-0AS Roma

Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 10 Oct 21:20 UTC

In the Serie A table, AS Roma sit 2nd with 13 points from 5 games, while Inter are 1st with 16 points from 6.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Inter651018:8+1016
2AS Roma541014:3+1113
3Lazio54108:3+513
4Cagliari54015:2+312
5AC Milan532010:4+611
6Frosinone53119:4+510
7Juventus53118:4+410
8Como53119:6+310
9Napoli52127:6+17
10Sassuolo52129:907
11Atalanta52035:7-26
12Lecce52035:10-56
13Udinese51138:11-34
14Torino51135:8-34
15Monza51138:12-44
16Genoa61145:11-64
17Parma61144:10-64
18Fiorentina61147:14-74
19Bologna50233:6-32
20Venezia50054:13-90

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.72X28%3.47237%2.56

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

Odds Analysis & Prediction

AS Roma 10%Draw 45%Inter 45%

The statistical model rated AS Roma at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Inter at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.72 | 3.47 | 2.56, which imply roughly 28.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Serie A table: AS Roma are 2nd (13 pts, 14-3 goals), Inter 1st (16 pts, 18-8).

Over their last five matches, AS Roma averaged 3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Inter averaged 3.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Inter.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

AS Roma

3-4-2-1

Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian

Goalkeeper

  • 99Mile Svilar

Defence

  • 23Gianluca Mancini
  • 5Evan Ndicka
  • 22Mario Hermoso

Midfield

  • 20Nahuel Molina
  • 4Bryan Cristante
  • 17Manu Koné
  • 43Wesley

Attack

  • 21Paulo Dybala
  • 18Matías Soulé
  • 14Donyell Malen
Substitutes (12)
  • 70Giorgio De Marzi
  • 95Pierluigi Gollini
  • 3Konstantinos Koulierakis
  • 87Daniele Ghilardi
  • 26Leonardo Balerdi
  • 15Marten de Roon
  • 61Niccolò Pisilli
  • 86Rodrigo Mora
  • 77Emanuele Lulli
  • 2Devyne Rensch
  • 9Santiago Castro
  • 7Lorenzo Pellegrini

Inter

3-5-2

Coach: Cristian Chivu

Goalkeeper

  • 1Josep Martínez

Defence

  • 31Yann Bisseck
  • 25Manuel Akanji
  • 95Alessandro Bastoni

Midfield

  • 17Andy Diouf
  • 23Nicolò Barella
  • 7Piotr Zieliński
  • 21Curtis Jones
  • 32Federico Dimarco

Attack

  • 9Marcus Thuram
  • 10Lautaro Martínez
Substitutes (12)
  • 49Ivan Provedel
  • 12Raffaele Di Gennaro
  • 28Benjamin Pavard
  • 30Carlos Augusto
  • 46Leonardo Bovio
  • 11Luís Henrique
  • 22Henrikh Mkhitaryan
  • 5Aleksandar Stanković
  • 8Petar Sučić
  • 14Ange-Yoan Bonny
  • 94Pio Esposito
  • 48Mattia Mosconi

Match Statistics

AS RomaInter
4Shots on Goal5
7Shots off Goal8
18Total Shots16
7Blocked Shots3
12Shots insidebox11
6Shots outsidebox5
12Fouls7
4Corner Kicks2
3Offsides3
49%Ball Possession51%
3Yellow Cards3
3Goalkeeper Saves2
459Total passes465
387Passes accurate402
84%Passes %86%
1.69Expected Goals2.37
-0.83Goals Prevented-0.83