AS Roma vs
Inter• Serie A, Italy
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2
Average 1X2: 2.72 | 3.47 | 2.56. No per-bookmaker prices for this match.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 10 Oct 19:32 UTC
AS Roma
5W 3D 2L · goals 22:14 · per match 2.2 for, 1.4 against
| 19 Sep | H | Inter | 2-2 | D |
| 14 Sep | A | Torino | 2-0 | W |
| 10 Sep | A | Fenerbahçe | 1-1 | D |
| 5 Sep | H | Atalanta | 2-1 | W |
| 31 Aug | A | Lecce | 4-0 | W |
| 24 Aug | H | Fiorentina | 4-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Borussia Dortmund | 2-2 | D |
| 8 Aug | A | Brighton | 0-3 | L |
| 4 Aug | A | Newport County | 4-1 | W |
| 1 Aug | A | Cardiff | 1-4 | L |
Inter
8W 1D 1L · goals 24:11 · per match 2.4 for, 1.1 against
| 10 Oct | H | Parma | 3-0 | W |
| 3 Oct | H | Lumezzane | 2-0 | W |
| 19 Sep | A | AS Roma | 2-2 | D |
| 14 Sep | H | Udinese | 5-3 | W |
| 8 Sep | A | Real Madrid | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Sep | H | Napoli | 3-2 | W |
| 30 Aug | A | Cagliari | 1-0 | W |
| 22 Aug | H | Monza | 4-1 | W |
| 15 Aug | H | Real Betis | 1-0 | W |
| 8 Aug | A | Juventus | 2-1 | W |
Head to head
33 meetings · goals 44:52 · last 10: 2W 0D 8L for AS Roma
| 5 Apr 2026Serie A | Serie A | Inter5-2AS Roma |
| 18 Oct 2025Serie A | Serie A | AS Roma0-1Inter |
| 27 Apr 2025Serie A | Serie A | Inter0-1AS Roma |
| 20 Oct 2024Serie A | Serie A | AS Roma0-1Inter |
| 10 Feb 2024Serie A | Serie A | AS Roma2-4Inter |
| 29 Oct 2023Serie A | Serie A | Inter1-0AS Roma |
| 6 May 2023Serie A | Serie A | AS Roma0-2Inter |
| 1 Oct 2022Serie A | Serie A | Inter1-2AS Roma |
| 23 Apr 2022Serie A | Serie A | Inter3-1AS Roma |
| 8 Feb 2022Coppa Italia | Coppa Italia | Inter2-0AS Roma |
Serie A tableSerie Aupdated 10 Oct 21:20 UTC
In the Serie A table, AS Roma sit 2nd with 13 points from 5 games, while Inter are 1st with 16 points from 6.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Inter | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 18:8 | +10 | 16 |
| 2 | AS Roma | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:3 | +11 | 13 |
| 3 | Lazio | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 | Cagliari | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 | AC Milan | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 | Frosinone | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 | Juventus | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 | Como | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 | Napoli | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Sassuolo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Atalanta | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Lecce | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 | Udinese | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 | Torino | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Monza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Genoa | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:11 | -6 | 4 |
| 17 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:10 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 | Fiorentina | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:14 | -7 | 4 |
| 19 | Bologna | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Venezia | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:13 | -9 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated AS Roma at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Inter at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.72 | 3.47 | 2.56, which imply roughly 28.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Serie A table: AS Roma are 2nd (13 pts, 14-3 goals), Inter 1st (16 pts, 18-8).
Over their last five matches, AS Roma averaged 3 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per game; Inter averaged 3.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Inter.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
AS Roma
3-4-2-1Coach: Piero Gasperini Gian
Goalkeeper
- 99Mile Svilar
Defence
- 23Gianluca Mancini
- 5Evan Ndicka
- 22Mario Hermoso
Midfield
- 20Nahuel Molina
- 4Bryan Cristante
- 17Manu Koné
- 43Wesley
Attack
- 21Paulo Dybala
- 18Matías Soulé
- 14Donyell Malen
Substitutes (12)
- 70Giorgio De Marzi
- 95Pierluigi Gollini
- 3Konstantinos Koulierakis
- 87Daniele Ghilardi
- 26Leonardo Balerdi
- 15Marten de Roon
- 61Niccolò Pisilli
- 86Rodrigo Mora
- 77Emanuele Lulli
- 2Devyne Rensch
- 9Santiago Castro
- 7Lorenzo Pellegrini
Inter
3-5-2Coach: Cristian Chivu
Goalkeeper
- 1Josep Martínez
Defence
- 31Yann Bisseck
- 25Manuel Akanji
- 95Alessandro Bastoni
Midfield
- 17Andy Diouf
- 23Nicolò Barella
- 7Piotr Zieliński
- 21Curtis Jones
- 32Federico Dimarco
Attack
- 9Marcus Thuram
- 10Lautaro Martínez
Substitutes (12)
- 49Ivan Provedel
- 12Raffaele Di Gennaro
- 28Benjamin Pavard
- 30Carlos Augusto
- 46Leonardo Bovio
- 11Luís Henrique
- 22Henrikh Mkhitaryan
- 5Aleksandar Stanković
- 8Petar Sučić
- 14Ange-Yoan Bonny
- 94Pio Esposito
- 48Mattia Mosconi