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Alianza Valledupar vs Águilas Doradas• Primera A, Colombia

#171.4:1.823:00Today · Estadio Armando Maestre Pavajeau, Valledupar0.8:1.4#12

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.43DAFX3.27PIN23.10B365Margin at best4.0%Books10Markets74Rating57 · 43Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 18:01 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle2.423.273.054.7%
Betano2.403.153.006.7%
Dafabet2.433.202.906.9%
Bet3652.403.003.107.3%
1xBet2.373.122.977.9%
Betfair2.403.252.808.2%
BetVictor2.383.132.908.4%
Marathonbet2.353.122.948.6%
William Hill2.383.002.909.8%
SBO2.322.942.6415.0%
Best of all books2.433.273.104.0%
Average2.393.122.928.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Alianza ValleduparÁguilas Doradas
Last 10#17Table position#120.89Points per game1.379Form pts · last 541.4Goals for · last 50.81.8Goals against · last 51.464Attack rating3644Defence rating5669Form rating3150H2H rating5039Goals model6157Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

Alianza Valledupar

3W 1D 6L · goals 8:19 · per match 0.8 for, 1.9 against

3 OctADeportivo Cali1-3L
27 SepAJaguares2-1W
19 SepHSanta Fe1-4L
16 SepAChico2-1W
13 SepHJunior1-0W
10 SepAOnce Caldas0-1L
3 SepAAmerica de Cali0-3L
30 AugHAtletico Nacional1-5L
26 AugACucuta0-1L
22 AugHDeportivo Pereira0-0D

Águilas Doradas

2W 5D 3L · goals 12:14 · per match 1.2 for, 1.4 against

3 OctHJaguares2-0W
28 SepADeportivo Cali0-2L
24 SepAAmerica de Cali0-1L
18 SepHDeportivo Pereira2-2D
13 SepAAtletico Nacional0-2L
6 SepAInternacional de Bogota2-2D
30 AugHChico2-2D
22 AugHMillonarios1-1D
19 AugHLlaneros1-1D
1 AugADeportivo Pasto2-1W

Head to head

10Alianza Valledupar wins
4draws
9Águilas Doradas wins

23 meetings · goals 28:24 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Alianza Valledupar

27 Mar 2026Primera APrimera AÁguilas Doradas1-0Alianza Valledupar
18 Oct 2025Primera APrimera AÁguilas Doradas1-0Alianza Valledupar
4 Jun 2025Copa ColombiaCopa ColombiaAlianza Valledupar4-0Águilas Doradas
26 Apr 2025Primera APrimera AAlianza Valledupar0-0Águilas Doradas
6 Nov 2024Primera APrimera AAlianza Valledupar3-0Águilas Doradas
17 Apr 2024Primera APrimera AÁguilas Doradas4-0Alianza Valledupar
15 Oct 2023Primera APrimera AÁguilas Doradas3-0Alianza Valledupar
18 Jun 2023Primera APrimera AÁguilas Doradas1-1Alianza Valledupar
22 May 2023Primera APrimera AAlianza Valledupar5-3Águilas Doradas
30 Apr 2023Primera APrimera AAlianza Valledupar2-1Águilas Doradas

Primera A tableAperturaupdated 9 Oct 03:11 UTC

In the Primera A table, Alianza Valledupar sit 17th with 17 points from 19 games, while Águilas Doradas are 12th with 26 points from 19.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Atletico Nacional19131535:15+2040
2Junior19112631:24+735
3Deportivo Pasto19104529:25+434
4America de Cali19103625:15+1033
5Once Caldas1989231:22+933
6Deportes Tolima1987427:17+1031
7Santa Fe1978429:22+729
8Internacional de Bogota1977526:26028
9Deportivo Cali1976620:16+427
10Millonarios1975731:23+826
11Independiente Medellin1975726:24+226
12Águilas Doradas1975720:25-526
13Bucaramanga1958626:20+623
14Llaneros19410517:20-322
15Fortaleza FC1957722:27-522
16Jaguares19531120:33-1318
17Alianza Valledupar1938813:27-1417
18Chico19521215:32-1717
19Cucuta1937922:35-1316
20Deportivo Pereira19171115:32-1710

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg139%2.38X30%3.12232%2.92

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 01:119 Oct 19:101 2.38X 3.122 2.92
12.47 → 2.38 -3.6%X3.08 → 3.12 +1.3%22.82 → 2.92 +3.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.191.704.5%
Betano2.181.675.8%
Bet3652.151.676.4%
Betfair2.151.676.4%
SBO2.131.667.2%
1xBet2.121.667.4%
Marathonbet2.121.667.4%
BetVictor2.071.658.9%
Best of all books2.191.704.5%
Average2.141.676.7%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.901.905.3%
William Hill1.831.917.0%
Betano1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.841.868.1%
Marathonbet1.841.848.7%
BetVictor1.831.858.7%
Bet3651.831.839.3%
Best of all books1.901.915.0%
Average1.851.867.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alianza Valledupar 45%Draw 45%Águilas Doradas 10%

The statistical model rates Alianza Valledupar at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Águilas Doradas at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.38 | 3.12 | 2.92, which imply roughly 42% for a Alianza Valledupar win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera A table: Alianza Valledupar are 17th (17 pts, 13-27 goals), Águilas Doradas 12th (26 pts, 20-25).

Over their last five matches, Alianza Valledupar averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Águilas Doradas averaged 0.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Alianza Valledupar or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.383.122.92

Double chance

1XX212
1.371.521.32

Draw no bet

12
1.712.05

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.851.86

1st half

1X2
3.022.023.56

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.947.652.16

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.88
1.51.362.94
2.52.141.67
3.53.861.22
4.57.901.06
5.515.51.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.056.70
11.066.10
1.251.203.70
1.751.472.51
21.602.19
2.251.901.85
2.752.491.47
32.991.30
3.253.341.24
3.754.601.13
46.401.05
4.256.751.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.841.37
-0.52.371.55
-0.252.071.71
01.702.08
+0.251.512.42
+0.51.402.86
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.59.951.02
-29.001.01
-1.756.301.08
-1.54.861.14
-1.254.431.18
-13.951.22
+0.751.253.58
+11.135.30
+1.251.105.70
+1.51.096.09
+1.751.027.90
+21.0110.0
+2.51.0212.0

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.51.801.95

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.70
6.51.193.93
7.51.402.67
8.51.732.00
9.52.211.58
10.52.961.33
11.54.201.14
12.56.461.03
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.036.41
61.046.12
6.251.114.70
6.751.193.70
71.223.50
7.251.312.97
7.751.452.49
81.512.34
8.251.632.13
8.751.831.88
91.951.79
9.252.071.67
9.752.371.50
102.621.40
10.252.771.36
10.753.281.25
113.821.18
11.254.011.16
11.754.901.09
126.021.04
12.256.241.04