Real Cundinamarca vs Bogota FC• Primera B, Colombia

#101.6:0.822:00Today · Estadio Municipal de Mosquera, Mosquera1.0:1.0#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.92PINX3.35DAF24.10B365Margin at best6.3%Books10Markets78Rating59 · 41Exp. goals L52.2

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 20:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.91	3.35	4.00	7.2%
Bet365	1.91	3.25	4.10	7.5%
Pinnacle	1.89	3.26	4.10	8.0%
Betano	1.91	3.15	4.00	9.1%
BetVictor	1.87	3.25	4.00	9.2%
Betfair	1.85	3.25	3.90	10.5%
1xBet	1.88	3.14	3.92	10.5%
Marathonbet	1.86	3.14	3.82	11.8%
William Hill	1.91	3.00	3.80	12.0%
SBO	1.84	3.00	3.71	14.6%
Best of all books	1.91	3.35	4.10	6.6%
Average	1.88	3.18	3.93	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Real CundinamarcaBogota FC

Last 10#10Table position#81.33Points per game1.1812Form pts · last 561.6Goals for · last 51.00.8Goals against · last 51.062Attack rating3856Defence rating4467Form rating3350H2H rating5062Goals model3859Overall rating41

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 15:20 UTC

Real Cundinamarca

6W 1D 3L · goals 16:10 · per match 1.6 for, 1.0 against

9 Oct	H	Real Santander	0-1	L
2 Oct	A	Depor FC	2-1	W
27 Sep	A	Barranquilla	1-0	W
21 Sep	H	Quindio	3-1	W
12 Sep	H	Union Magdalena	2-1	W
9 Sep	H	Internacional de Bogota	1-2	L
3 Sep	A	Internacional Palmira	2-0	W
29 Aug	H	Patriotas	4-1	W
24 Aug	A	Orsomarso	0-2	L
20 Aug	A	Leones FC	1-1	D

Bogota FC

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	H	Patriotas	0-0	D
5 Oct	H	Envigado	3-3	D
28 Sep	A	Quindio	0-1	L
21 Sep	H	Barranquilla	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Tigres FC	0-0	D
4 Sep	H	Ind. Yumbo	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Depor FC	1-2	L
25 Aug	A	Popayan	2-1	W
20 Aug	A	Real Cartagena	0-2	L
6 Aug	H	Leones FC	0-1	L

Head to head

1Real Cundinamarca wins

4draws

1Bogota FC wins

6 meetings · goals 10:8 · last 6: 1W 4D 1L for Real Cundinamarca

1 Apr 2026Primera B	Primera B	Bogota FC2-2Real Cundinamarca
12 Oct 2025Primera B	Primera B	Bogota FC0-3Real Cundinamarca
6 May 2025Primera B	Primera B	Real Cundinamarca1-2Bogota FC
22 Sep 2024Primera B	Primera B	Bogota FC2-2Real Cundinamarca
20 Apr 2024Primera B	Primera B	Real Cundinamarca2-2Bogota FC
21 Sep 2023Primera B	Primera B	Bogota FC0-0Real Cundinamarca

Primera B tablePrimera B: Tabla Anualupdated 14 Oct 00:50 UTC

In the Primera B table, Real Cundinamarca sit 10th with 36 points from 27 games, while Bogota FC are 8th with 39 points from 33.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Internacional Palmira	33	17	9	7	41:29	+12	60
2	Envigado	35	15	12	8	47:32	+15	57
3	Quindio	33	16	9	8	34:25	+9	57
4	Real Cartagena	35	15	11	9	55:41	+14	56
5	Union Magdalena	33	15	9	9	47:33	+14	54
6	Tigres FC	33	12	10	11	33:27	+6	46
7	Ind. Yumbo	27	11	10	6	29:21	+8	43
8	Bogota FC	33	9	12	12	28:35	-7	39
9	Barranquilla	33	10	8	15	41:44	-3	38
10	Real Cundinamarca	27	9	9	9	33:30	+3	36
11	Patriotas	27	9	8	10	30:34	-4	35
12	Popayan	27	7	10	10	33:35	-2	31
13	Orsomarso	27	7	9	11	21:28	-7	30
14	Depor FC	27	5	9	13	27:42	-15	24
15	Real Santander	27	4	10	13	23:41	-18	22
16	Leones FC	27	4	9	14	18:43	-25	21

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg148%1.89X29%3.17223%3.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.68 → 1.89 +12.5%X3.48 → 3.17 -8.9%24.71 → 3.93 -16.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.21	1.65	5.9%
Bet365	2.15	1.67	6.4%
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
Betano	2.12	1.62	8.9%
BetVictor	2.12	1.62	8.9%
1xBet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Marathonbet	2.15	1.60	9.0%
Best of all books	2.21	1.67	5.1%
Average	2.16	1.62	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.75	8.4%
BetVictor	1.95	1.75	8.4%
1xBet	1.93	1.76	8.6%
Betano	1.93	1.75	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.93	1.74	9.3%
William Hill	1.91	1.75	9.5%
Best of all books	1.95	1.76	8.1%
Average	1.93	1.75	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Real Cundinamarca 45%Draw 45%Bogota FC 10%

The statistical model rates Real Cundinamarca at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bogota FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.89 | 3.17 | 3.93, which imply roughly 52.9% for a Real Cundinamarca win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Real Cundinamarca are 10th (36 pts, 33-30 goals), Bogota FC 8th (39 pts, 28-35).

Over their last five matches, Real Cundinamarca averaged 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Bogota FC averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Real Cundinamarca or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.88	3.18	3.94

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.19	1.80	1.28

Draw no bet

1	2
1.38	2.80

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.93	1.75

1st half

1	X	2
2.50	2.00	4.56

2nd half

1	X	2
2.28	2.29	4.06

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	2.97	14.5	40.4
HT X	4.57	4.60	8.20
HT 2	26.0	15.1	6.68

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.65	7.55	2.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.05
1.5	1.37	2.81
2.5	2.16	1.62
3.5	3.87	1.20
4.5	7.20	1.05
5.5	19.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.50
1	1.07	5.90
1.25	1.21	3.58
1.75	1.47	2.45
2	1.63	2.12
2.25	1.90	1.80
2.75	2.48	1.45
3	3.15	1.29
3.25	3.42	1.23
3.75	4.75	1.12
4	6.70	1.05
4.25	7.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	3.01	1.33
-1	2.61	1.44
-0.75	2.15	1.62
-0.5	1.88	1.88
-0.25	1.62	2.15
0	1.37	2.86

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.28	1.02
-2.5	7.07	1.05
-2.25	6.70	1.07
-2	6.27	1.08
-1.75	4.32	1.17
-1.5	3.37	1.27
+0.25	1.28	3.27
+0.5	1.26	3.72
+0.75	1.13	4.87
+1	1.03	7.70
+1.25	1.02	8.10
+1.5	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.95
6.5	1.17	4.00
7.5	1.37	2.70
8.5	1.85	1.88
9.5	2.15	1.60
10.5	2.87	1.33
11.5	4.06	1.15
12.5	6.21	1.04

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.66
6	1.03	6.36
6.25	1.10	4.86
6.75	1.18	3.82
7	1.20	3.60
7.25	1.29	3.05
7.75	1.43	2.55
8	1.64	2.21
8.25	1.60	2.18
8.75	1.80	1.91
9	1.94	1.78
9.25	2.03	1.70
9.75	2.32	1.52
10	2.56	1.42
10.25	2.70	1.38
10.75	3.19	1.26
11	3.70	1.19
11.25	3.88	1.17
11.75	4.72	1.10
12	5.78	1.05
12.25	5.99	1.05