Leones FC vs Barranquilla• Primera B, Colombia

#160.4:1.61-0LiveToday · Estadio Metropolitano Ciudad de Itagui, Itagui0.8:1.8#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.72BTNX3.83PIN25.25B365Margin at best3.3%Books9Markets76Rating37 · 64Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Dafabet	1.72	3.70	4.60	6.9%
Pinnacle	1.63	3.83	4.92	7.8%
Bet365	1.62	3.70	5.25	7.8%
Betano	1.72	3.50	4.45	9.2%
Betfair	1.60	3.60	5.00	10.3%
1xBet	1.63	3.54	4.76	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.61	3.54	4.65	11.9%
William Hill	1.67	3.40	4.40	12.0%
SBO	1.70	3.20	4.06	14.7%
Best of all books	1.72	3.83	5.25	3.3%
Average	1.66	3.56	4.68	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Leones FCBarranquilla

Last 10#16Table position#110.76Points per game1.101Form pts · last 510.4Goals for · last 50.81.6Goals against · last 51.833Attack rating6753Defence rating4725Form rating7538H2H rating6228Goals model7237Overall rating64

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 16:21 UTC

Leones FC

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:16 · per match 0.7 for, 1.6 against

28 Sep	A	Internacional Palmira	0-1	L
19 Sep	H	Popayan	1-2	L
12 Sep	A	Envigado	1-1	D
4 Sep	H	Depor FC	0-3	L
28 Aug	A	Ind. Yumbo	0-1	L
24 Aug	H	Real Cartagena	1-6	L
20 Aug	H	Real Cundinamarca	1-1	D
6 Aug	A	Bogota FC	1-0	W
3 Aug	H	Quindio	1-1	D
24 Jul	A	Tigres FC	1-0	W

Barranquilla

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:16 · per match 1.1 for, 1.6 against

3 Oct	H	Millonarios	1-1	D
27 Sep	H	Real Cundinamarca	0-1	L
21 Sep	A	Bogota FC	1-2	L
15 Sep	H	Ind. Yumbo	0-2	L
10 Sep	A	Patriotas	1-3	L
5 Sep	A	Union Magdalena	2-1	W
1 Sep	H	Popayan	2-1	W
25 Aug	A	Internacional Palmira	0-1	L
20 Aug	A	Real Santander	2-2	D
2 Aug	H	Depor FC	2-2	D

Head to head

9Leones FC wins

4draws

7Barranquilla wins

20 meetings · goals 32:32 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Leones FC

25 Mar 2026Primera B	Primera B	Barranquilla3-0Leones FC
4 Aug 2025Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC2-2Barranquilla
24 Feb 2025Primera B	Primera B	Barranquilla2-3Leones FC
10 Oct 2024Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC1-2Barranquilla
16 Feb 2024Primera B	Primera B	Barranquilla2-2Leones FC
26 Sep 2023Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC2-0Barranquilla
19 Apr 2023Primera B	Primera B	Barranquilla2-3Leones FC
9 Aug 2022Primera B	Primera B	Barranquilla3-1Leones FC
27 Feb 2022Primera B	Primera B	Leones FC3-1Barranquilla
19 Oct 2021Primera B	Primera B	Barranquilla0-1Leones FC

Primera B tablePrimera B: Tabla Anualupdated 7 Oct 04:11 UTC

In the Primera B table, Leones FC sit 16th with 19 points from 25 games, while Barranquilla are 11th with 34 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Internacional Palmira	32	17	8	7	40:28	+12	59
2	Quindio	32	16	9	7	33:21	+12	57
3	Envigado	34	15	11	8	46:31	+15	56
4	Real Cartagena	34	15	10	9	53:39	+14	55
5	Union Magdalena	31	15	7	9	44:30	+14	52
6	Tigres FC	32	12	9	11	32:26	+6	45
7	Ind. Yumbo	26	11	9	6	28:20	+8	42
8	Bogota FC	32	9	11	12	28:35	-7	38
9	Real Cundinamarca	26	9	9	8	33:29	+4	36
10	Patriotas	26	9	7	10	30:34	-4	34
11	Barranquilla	31	9	7	15	36:42	-6	34
12	Popayan	25	7	9	9	32:33	-1	30
13	Orsomarso	26	6	9	11	20:28	-8	27
14	Depor FC	26	5	8	13	25:40	-15	23
15	Real Santander	26	3	10	13	22:41	-19	19
16	Leones FC	25	4	7	14	15:40	-25	19

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg155%1.66X25%3.62220%4.52

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.82 → 1.66 -8.8%X3.35 → 3.56 +6.3%23.95 → 4.68 +18.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.03	1.79	5.1%
Bet365	2.05	1.75	5.9%
Betano	1.98	1.75	7.6%
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
1xBet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.95	1.73	9.1%
Best of all books	2.05	1.79	4.6%
Average	1.99	1.75	7.4%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.95	1.80	6.8%
1xBet	1.89	1.80	8.5%
Betano	1.88	1.78	9.4%
Marathonbet	1.89	1.77	9.4%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Best of all books	1.95	1.80	6.8%
Average	1.89	1.79	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leones FC 10%Draw 45%Barranquilla 45%

The statistical model rates Leones FC at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Barranquilla at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.66 | 3.62 | 4.52, which imply roughly 27.6% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Leones FC are 16th (19 pts, 15-40 goals), Barranquilla 11th (34 pts, 36-42).

Over their last five matches, Leones FC averaged 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Barranquilla averaged 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Barranquilla.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.66	3.56	4.68

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.05	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
1.31	3.18

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
2.24	2.10	4.96

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.51	9.38	2.92

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	8.49
1.5	1.31	3.14
2.5	1.99	1.75
3.5	3.40	1.26
4.5	6.75	1.07
5.5	15.0	1.02

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.73
1	1.02	8.00
1.25	1.14	4.33
1.75	1.36	2.77
2	1.48	2.41
2.25	1.75	1.97
2.75	2.25	1.55
3	2.78	1.36
3.25	3.12	1.29
3.75	4.34	1.14
4	6.15	1.06
4.25	6.55	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	2.84	1.37
-1.25	2.49	1.47
-1	2.15	1.62
-0.75	1.82	1.90
-0.5	1.67	2.15
-0.25	1.44	2.61

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	7.67	1.05
-2.5	5.85	1.09
-2.25	5.35	1.11
-2	4.92	1.13
-1.75	3.49	1.25
0	1.25	3.64
+0.25	1.21	3.95
+0.5	1.23	4.20
+0.75	1.08	6.42
+1	1.03	8.55
+1.25	1.01	10.3
+1.5	1.02	9.05

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.02	6.77
7.5	1.15	4.08
8.5	1.34	2.81
9.5	1.72	2.00
10.5	2.02	1.72
11.5	2.61	1.40
12.5	3.55	1.21
13.5	5.23	1.08

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.03	6.50
7	1.04	6.23
7.25	1.10	4.87
7.75	1.17	3.88
8	1.19	3.68
8.25	1.27	3.14
8.75	1.40	2.64
9	1.45	2.49
9.25	1.55	2.26
9.75	1.73	1.99
10	1.82	1.92
10.25	1.93	1.78
10.75	2.18	1.60
11	2.36	1.50
11.25	2.49	1.45
11.75	2.89	1.33
12	3.27	1.25
12.25	3.43	1.23
12.75	4.10	1.15
13	4.86	1.10
13.25	5.04	1.09