Quindio vs Bogota FC• Primera B, Colombia

#30.8:1.01-0FT28/09 · Estadio Centenario, Armenia1.0:1.2#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.93BTNX3.30B36524.571XBMargin at best4.0%Books8Markets76Rating58 · 42Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 08:08 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.83	3.30	4.33	8.0%
Betano	1.93	3.15	3.95	8.9%
BetVictor	1.80	3.20	4.40	9.5%
Betfair	1.85	3.25	4.00	9.8%
1xBet	1.78	3.08	4.57	10.5%
Pinnacle	1.81	3.09	4.34	10.7%
Marathonbet	1.76	3.08	4.45	11.8%
William Hill	1.85	2.88	4.20	12.6%
Best of all books	1.93	3.30	4.57	4.0%
Average	1.83	3.13	4.28	10.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

QuindioBogota FC

Last 10#3Table position#81.71Points per game1.186Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 51.244Attack rating5655Defence rating4542Form rating5875H2H rating2562Goals model3858Overall rating42

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 15 Oct 22:40 UTC

Quindio

4W 3D 3L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	A	Barranquilla	1-4	L
6 Oct	A	Orsomarso	1-0	W
28 Sep	H	Bogota FC	1-0	W
21 Sep	A	Real Cundinamarca	1-3	L
13 Sep	H	Patriotas	1-2	L
9 Sep	A	Ind. Yumbo	0-0	D
5 Sep	H	Real Santander	0-0	D
2 Sep	H	Llaneros	1-1	D
29 Aug	A	Union Magdalena	2-0	W
23 Aug	H	Envigado	1-0	W

Bogota FC

2W 3D 5L · goals 8:13 · per match 0.8 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	H	Patriotas	0-0	D
5 Oct	H	Envigado	3-3	D
28 Sep	A	Quindio	0-1	L
21 Sep	H	Barranquilla	2-1	W
14 Sep	A	Tigres FC	0-0	D
4 Sep	H	Ind. Yumbo	0-2	L
29 Aug	A	Depor FC	1-2	L
25 Aug	A	Popayan	2-1	W
20 Aug	A	Real Cartagena	0-2	L
6 Aug	H	Leones FC	0-1	L

Head to head

10Quindio wins

8draws

5Bogota FC wins

23 meetings · goals 39:26 · last 10: 5W 5D 0L for Quindio

20 Mar 2026Primera B	Primera B	Bogota FC0-2Quindio
26 Sep 2025Primera B	Primera B	Quindio6-1Bogota FC
19 Apr 2025Primera B	Primera B	Bogota FC1-1Quindio
26 Aug 2024Primera B	Primera B	Quindio2-2Bogota FC
10 Mar 2024Primera B	Primera B	Bogota FC2-2Quindio
26 Jul 2023Primera B	Primera B	Quindio1-0Bogota FC
22 Feb 2023Primera B	Primera B	Bogota FC0-0Quindio
25 Jul 2022Primera B	Primera B	Bogota FC1-2Quindio
27 May 2022Primera B	Primera B	Bogota FC1-1Quindio
23 May 2022Primera B	Primera B	Quindio2-1Bogota FC

Primera B tablePrimera B: Tabla Anualupdated 16 Oct 05:30 UTC

In the Primera B table, Quindio sit 3rd with 58 points from 34 games, while Bogota FC are 8th with 40 points from 34.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Internacional Palmira	34	17	10	7	42:30	+12	61
2	Envigado	36	15	13	8	48:33	+15	58
3	Quindio	34	16	10	8	35:26	+9	58
4	Real Cartagena	36	15	12	9	56:42	+14	57
5	Union Magdalena	34	15	10	9	48:34	+14	55
6	Tigres FC	34	12	11	11	35:29	+6	47
7	Ind. Yumbo	28	11	11	6	30:22	+8	44
8	Bogota FC	34	9	13	12	28:35	-7	40
9	Barranquilla	34	10	9	15	43:46	-3	39
10	Real Cundinamarca	28	9	10	9	33:30	+3	37
11	Patriotas	28	9	8	11	30:35	-5	35
12	Popayan	27	7	10	10	33:35	-2	31
13	Orsomarso	28	7	10	11	22:29	-7	31
14	Depor FC	27	5	9	13	27:42	-15	24
15	Leones FC	28	5	9	14	19:43	-24	24
16	Real Santander	28	4	11	13	24:42	-18	23

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.83X29%3.11221%4.30

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.0% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Betfair	2.25	1.57	8.1%
Pinnacle	2.31	1.53	8.6%
BetVictor	2.26	1.54	9.2%
1xBet	2.28	1.53	9.2%
Marathonbet	2.28	1.53	9.2%
Betano	2.18	1.53	11.2%
Best of all books	2.35	1.57	6.2%
Average	2.27	1.54	8.8%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.75	7.1%
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
1xBet	2.07	1.66	8.6%
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
Marathonbet	2.07	1.64	9.3%
Betano	1.95	1.67	11.2%
Best of all books	2.10	1.75	4.8%
Average	2.04	1.67	8.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Quindio 45%Draw 45%Bogota FC 10%

The statistical model rated Quindio at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Bogota FC at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.83 | 3.11 | 4.30, which imply roughly 54.6% for a Quindio win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Quindio are 3rd (58 pts, 35-26 goals), Bogota FC 8th (40 pts, 28-35).

Over their last five matches, Quindio averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Bogota FC averaged 1 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Quindio or draw and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.83	3.13	4.28

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.17	1.83	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
1.34	2.99

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.04	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
2.48	1.96	5.01

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.61	6.63	2.90

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.17
1.5	1.41	2.62
2.5	2.27	1.54
3.5	4.24	1.17
4.5	8.67	1.03
5.5	23.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.06	6.10
1	1.08	5.45
1.25	1.25	3.35
1.75	1.53	2.29
2	1.72	1.96
2.25	2.00	1.70
2.75	2.66	1.38
3	3.42	1.23
3.25	3.82	1.19
3.75	5.35	1.09
4	7.80	1.02
4.25	8.10	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.25	2.92	1.33
-1	2.56	1.43
-0.75	2.03	1.66
-0.5	1.83	1.90
-0.25	1.54	2.27
0	1.28	3.15

10 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.75	8.98	1.01
-2.5	7.10	1.04
-2.25	6.65	1.05
-2	6.20	1.06
-1.75	4.20	1.15
-1.5	3.28	1.25
+0.25	1.20	3.73
+0.75	1.08	5.95
+1	1.02	9.00
+1.5	1.01	10.0

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.02	6.76
6.5	1.17	3.92
7.5	1.38	2.64
8.5	1.73	2.00
9.5	2.17	1.58
10.5	2.92	1.32
11.5	4.16	1.14
12.5	6.40	1.03

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
5.75	1.03	6.47
6	1.04	6.17
6.25	1.10	4.74
6.75	1.19	3.73
7	1.21	3.52
7.25	1.30	2.99
7.75	1.44	2.50
8	1.51	2.35
8.25	1.62	2.14
8.75	1.82	1.88
9	1.95	1.77
9.25	2.06	1.68
9.75	2.36	1.50
10	2.61	1.41
10.25	2.76	1.36
10.75	3.26	1.25
11	3.80	1.18
11.25	3.98	1.16
11.75	4.86	1.10
12	5.96	1.05
12.25	6.18	1.04