Orsomarso12th25 pts
Real Cartagena1st53 pts
Orsomarso12th25 pts
Real Cartagena1st53 ptsIn the Primera B table, Orsomarso sit 12th with 25 points from 21 games, while Real Cartagena are 1st with 53 points from 31 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Orsomarso at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Real Cartagena at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.01 | 3.01 | 2.33, which imply roughly 33.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera B table: Orsomarso are 12th (25 pts, 17-21 goals), Real Cartagena 1st (53 pts, 50-35).
Over their last five matches, Orsomarso averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded per game; Real Cartagena averaged 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Real Cartagena and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Orsomarso vs Real Cartagena — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Real Cartagena | 31 | 15 | 8 | 8 | 53 |
| 2 |  Internacional Palmira | 29 | 15 | 8 | 6 | 53 |
| 3 |  Quindio | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 51 |
| 4 |  Envigado | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 50 |
| 5 |  Union Magdalena | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45 |
| 6 |  Tigres FC | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 37 |
| 7 |  Barranquilla | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 34 |
| 8 |  Ind. Yumbo | 22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 |  Bogota FC | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 33 |
| 10 |  Patriotas | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
| 11 |  Real Cundinamarca | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 27 |
| 12 |  Orsomarso | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 25 |
| 13 |  Depor FC | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 20 |
| 14 |  Leones FC | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 19 |
| 15 |  Popayan | 21 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 18 |
| 16 |  Real Santander | 22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 17 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.23
X
3.13
2
2.15
Double chance
1X
1.60
X2
1.28
12
1.30
Both teams to score
Yes
1.83
No
1.84
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.34
Under 1.5
2.94
Over 2.5
2.07
Under 2.5
1.70
Over 3.5
3.70
Under 3.5
1.22
Over 1.75
1.44
Under 1.75
2.52
Over 2
1.58
Under 2
2.18
Over 2.25
1.87
Under 2.25
1.84
Over 2.75
2.47
Under 2.75
1.45
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
8.08
Over 0.75
1.03
Under 0.75
7.30
Over 1
1.05
Under 1
6.60
Over 1.25
1.18
Under 1.25
3.84
Over 3
3.15
Under 3
1.29
Over 4.5
7.87
Under 4.5
1.04
Over 3.25
3.42
Under 3.25
1.23
Over 3.75
4.86
Under 3.75
1.11
Over 4
7.10
Under 4
1.04
Over 4.25
7.50
Under 4.25
1.03
Over 5.5
18.00
Under 5.5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
2.29
2
1.52
Asian handicap
Home 2.5
1.03
1st half
1
3.84
X
2.03
2
2.76
First team to score
Home
2.30
No Goal
7.53
Away
1.82