Popayan vs Union Magdalena• Primera B, Colombia

#122.6:1.222:00Today · Cali1.6:1.4#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.53PINX3.20B36522.22BTNMargin at best4.6%Books10Markets72Rating47 · 53 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 7 Oct 20:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.56	3.10	2.17	6.4%
Bet365	3.30	3.20	2.20	7.0%
Dafabet	3.35	3.25	2.14	7.3%
Betano	3.45	3.05	2.12	8.9%
BetVictor	3.30	3.13	2.10	9.9%
Betfair	3.30	3.10	2.10	10.2%
1xBet	3.53	2.97	2.06	10.5%
Marathonbet	3.44	2.97	2.04	11.8%
William Hill	3.30	2.90	2.05	13.6%
SBO	3.02	2.97	2.06	15.3%
Best of all books	3.56	3.25	2.20	4.3%
Average	3.36	3.06	2.10	10.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

PopayanUnion Magdalena

Last 10#12Table position#51.20Points per game1.6813Form pts · last 582.6Goals for · last 51.61.2Goals against · last 51.462Attack rating3854Defence rating4665Form rating3529H2H rating7141Goals model5947Overall rating53

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 18:51 UTC

Popayan

5W 2D 3L · goals 17:13 · per match 1.7 for, 1.3 against

4 Oct	A	Real Cartagena	3-2	W
26 Sep	H	Patriotas	4-1	W
19 Sep	A	Leones FC	2-1	W
13 Sep	H	Real Santander	2-0	W
6 Sep	H	Envigado	2-2	D
1 Sep	A	Barranquilla	1-2	L
25 Aug	H	Bogota FC	1-2	L
6 Aug	A	Real Cundinamarca	1-3	L
1 Aug	H	Tigres FC	0-0	D
24 Jul	A	Quindio	1-0	W

Union Magdalena

3W 2D 5L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

3 Oct	A	Real Santander	3-1	W
29 Sep	H	Real Cartagena	1-1	D
25 Sep	H	Santa Fe	1-1	D
18 Sep	A	Patriotas	2-1	W
12 Sep	A	Real Cundinamarca	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Barranquilla	1-2	L
1 Sep	A	Envigado	1-0	W
29 Aug	H	Quindio	0-2	L
24 Aug	A	Tigres FC	0-1	L
6 Aug	A	Santa Fe	0-2	L

Head to head

5Popayan wins

2draws

9Union Magdalena wins

16 meetings · goals 11:22 · last 10: 2W 2D 6L for Popayan

9 Feb 2026Primera B	Primera B	Union Magdalena0-2Popayan
22 Oct 2024Primera B	Primera B	Union Magdalena1-0Popayan
12 May 2024Primera B	Primera B	Popayan0-0Union Magdalena
22 Feb 2023Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Union Magdalena3-0Popayan
16 Feb 2023Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Popayan0-1Union Magdalena
21 Aug 2021Primera B	Primera B	Popayan0-2Union Magdalena
25 Mar 2021Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Union Magdalena1-1Popayan
18 Mar 2021Copa Colombia	Copa Colombia	Popayan1-0Union Magdalena
11 Feb 2021Primera B	Primera B	Popayan0-1Union Magdalena
1 Mar 2020Primera B	Primera B	Union Magdalena2-0Popayan

Primera B tablePrimera B: Tabla Anualupdated 7 Oct 04:11 UTC

In the Primera B table, Popayan sit 12th with 30 points from 25 games, while Union Magdalena are 5th with 52 points from 31.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Internacional Palmira	32	17	8	7	40:28	+12	59
2	Quindio	32	16	9	7	33:21	+12	57
3	Envigado	34	15	11	8	46:31	+15	56
4	Real Cartagena	34	15	10	9	53:39	+14	55
5	Union Magdalena	31	15	7	9	44:30	+14	52
6	Tigres FC	32	12	9	11	32:26	+6	45
7	Ind. Yumbo	26	11	9	6	28:20	+8	42
8	Bogota FC	32	9	11	12	28:35	-7	38
9	Real Cundinamarca	26	9	9	8	33:29	+4	36
10	Patriotas	26	9	7	10	30:34	-4	34
11	Barranquilla	31	9	7	15	36:42	-6	34
12	Popayan	25	7	9	9	32:33	-1	30
13	Orsomarso	26	6	9	11	20:28	-8	27
14	Depor FC	26	5	8	13	25:40	-15	23
15	Real Santander	26	3	10	13	22:41	-19	19
16	Leones FC	25	4	7	14	15:40	-25	19

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.35X30%3.04243%2.10

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.6% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.10 → 3.35 +8.1%X3.13 → 3.04 -2.9%22.19 → 2.10 -4.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	2.28	1.63	5.2%
Bet365	2.20	1.65	6.1%
Betfair	2.20	1.60	8.0%
BetVictor	2.13	1.61	9.1%
1xBet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Betano	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Marathonbet	2.20	1.57	9.1%
Best of all books	2.28	1.65	4.5%
Average	2.20	1.60	7.9%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.85	1.85	8.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.92	1.77	8.6%
Betano	1.90	1.78	8.8%
Marathonbet	1.92	1.75	9.2%
William Hill	1.85	1.80	9.6%
Best of all books	1.92	1.85	6.1%
Average	1.89	1.79	8.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Popayan 10%Draw 45%Union Magdalena 45%

The statistical model rates Popayan at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Union Magdalena at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.35 | 3.04 | 2.10, which imply roughly 32.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera B table: Popayan are 12th (30 pts, 32-33 goals), Union Magdalena 5th (52 pts, 44-30).

Over their last five matches, Popayan averaged 2.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Union Magdalena averaged 1.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Union Magdalena.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.35	3.06	2.10

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.63	1.25	1.30

Draw no bet

1	2
2.26	1.58

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.79

1st half

1	X	2
4.12	1.96	2.75

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.41	7.20	1.78

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.05	7.15
1.5	1.37	2.79
2.5	2.20	1.60
3.5	4.06	1.18
4.5	7.90	1.04
5.5	18.0	1.01

12 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.05	6.70
1	1.07	5.95
1.25	1.25	3.42
1.75	1.48	2.42
2	1.66	2.07
2.25	1.91	1.81
2.75	2.56	1.43
3	3.32	1.27
3.25	3.72	1.20
3.75	5.25	1.09
4	7.80	1.02
4.25	8.18	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.89	1.36
0	2.43	1.50
+0.25	1.90	1.83
+0.5	1.67	2.12
+0.75	1.47	2.48
+1	1.29	3.23

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	10.5	1.01
-1.75	7.78	1.02
-1.5	8.00	1.04
-1.25	7.47	1.05
-1	6.87	1.06
-0.75	4.38	1.16
-0.5	3.39	1.31
+1.25	1.23	3.64
+1.5	1.19	4.10
+1.75	1.11	5.42
+2	1.01	8.70
+2.25	1.01	9.27
+2.5	1.02	9.00

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.13	4.34
7.5	1.33	2.87
8.5	1.62	2.10
9.5	2.05	1.67
10.5	2.69	1.37
11.5	3.75	1.19
12.5	5.63	1.06

20 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6	1.02	7.02
6.25	1.07	5.29
6.75	1.15	4.12
7	1.17	3.90
7.25	1.25	3.26
7.75	1.38	2.70
8	1.43	2.54
8.25	1.54	2.29
8.75	1.72	2.00
9	1.82	1.90
9.25	1.94	1.77
9.75	2.20	1.59
10	2.40	1.48
10.25	2.54	1.43
10.75	2.98	1.31
11	3.40	1.23
11.25	3.58	1.21
11.75	4.32	1.13
12	5.22	1.08
12.25	5.42	1.07