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Sport Boys vs Alianza Atletico• Primera División, Peru

#101.8:0.81-3FT11/10 · Miguel Grau Stadium, Callao2.6:1.6#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.37BTNX3.50BTN23.15BTNMargin at best2.5%Books10Markets48Rating52 · 49 levelExp. goals L53.4

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 18:00 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Betano2.373.503.152.5%
Dafabet2.333.403.055.1%
Bet3652.303.402.907.4%
Pinnacle2.333.252.937.8%
1xBet2.273.253.027.9%
BetVictor2.303.302.908.3%
Marathonbet2.253.252.998.7%
William Hill2.303.103.009.1%
Betfair2.153.302.9011.3%
SBO2.143.042.8015.3%
Best of all books2.373.503.152.5%
Average2.273.282.968.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Sport BoysAlianza Atletico
Last 10#10Table position#71.36Points per game1.547Form pts · last 591.8Goals for · last 52.60.8Goals against · last 51.641Attack rating5967Defence rating3345Form rating5540H2H rating6072Goals model2852Overall rating49

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:40 UTC

Sport Boys

4W 3D 3L · goals 16:13 · per match 1.6 for, 1.3 against

11 OctHAlianza Atletico1-3L
6 OctAAlianza Atletico0-3L
27 SepHAlianza Atletico3-0W
20 SepAFBC Melgar1-1D
13 SepHDeportivo Garcilaso1-0W
5 SepASport Huancayo1-2L
30 AugHSporting Cristal1-0W
26 AugAAtletico Grau2-2D
23 AugHCienciano5-1W
16 AugAUCV Moquegua1-1D

Alianza Atletico

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

11 OctASport Boys3-1W
6 OctHSport Boys3-0W
27 SepASport Boys0-3L
18 SepHComerciantes Unidos2-1W
13 SepAAtletico Grau1-3L
4 SepHUTC Cajamarca3-2W
30 AugAUCV Moquegua4-1W
25 AugHUTC Cajamarca1-1D
21 AugHSporting Cristal3-1W
15 AugAADT1-1D

Head to head

6Sport Boys wins
1draws
5Alianza Atletico wins

12 meetings · goals 13:11 · last 10: 4W 1D 5L for Sport Boys

6 Oct 2026Copa De La LigaCopa De La LigaAlianza Atletico3-0Sport Boys
27 Sep 2026Copa De La LigaCopa De La LigaSport Boys3-0Alianza Atletico
19 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Atletico0-1Sport Boys
16 Nov 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónSport Boys0-1Alianza Atletico
12 Jul 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Atletico1-0Sport Boys
24 Aug 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Atletico2-0Sport Boys
31 Mar 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónSport Boys0-0Alianza Atletico
25 Jun 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Atletico1-2Sport Boys
26 Mar 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónSport Boys0-1Alianza Atletico
6 Oct 2022Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónSport Boys2-0Alianza Atletico

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Sport Boys sit 10th with 38 points from 28 games, while Alianza Atletico are 7th with 43 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Alianza Lima28178346:19+2759
2Universitario28148645:33+1250
3Deportivo Garcilaso28146839:25+1448
4FBC Melgar28138747:31+1647
5Cusco281431141:40+145
6Cienciano281351048:40+844
7Alianza Atletico28127943:36+743
8Club Deportivo Los Chankas28127936:45-943
9Sporting Cristal281251149:40+941
10Sport Boys281081030:29+138
11Sport Huancayo281151238:44-638
12Juan Pablo II College28981143:53-1035
13Atletico Grau28961326:31-533
14Comerciantes Unidos287101136:39-331
15FC Cajamarca28771441:52-1128
16ADT28681429:42-1326
17UCV Moquegua28671524:43-1925
18UTC Cajamarca28481632:51-1915

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.24X28%3.29231%3.01

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

8 Oct 00:0211 Oct 18:401 2.27X 3.282 2.96
11.90 → 2.27 +19.5%X3.36 → 3.28 -2.4%23.72 → 2.96 -20.4%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.951.855.3%
Pinnacle1.961.845.4%
SBO1.961.826.0%
Betano1.911.827.3%
1xBet1.921.817.3%
Marathonbet1.921.817.3%
Betfair1.911.807.9%
BetVictor1.891.789.1%
Best of all books1.961.855.1%
Average1.931.826.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
William Hill1.752.007.1%
Betano1.722.027.6%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
Betfair1.732.007.8%
1xBet1.722.017.9%
Marathonbet1.721.988.6%
BetVictor1.702.008.8%
Best of all books1.752.026.6%
Average1.722.008.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Sport Boys 35%Draw 35%Alianza Atletico 30%

The statistical model rated Sport Boys at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Alianza Atletico at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.24 | 3.29 | 3.01, which imply roughly 44.6% for a Sport Boys win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Sport Boys are 10th (38 pts, 30-29 goals), Alianza Atletico 7th (43 pts, 43-36).

Over their last five matches, Sport Boys averaged 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Alianza Atletico averaged 2.6 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Sport Boys or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Sport Boys

4-2-3-1

Coach: C. Desio

Goalkeeper

  • 22D. Melián

Defence

  • 17E. Saba
  • 3C. Zambrano
  • 26H. Riojas
  • 13M. Llontop

Midfield

  • 24O. Mora
  • 88C. Cueva
  • 77Y. Celi
  • 10J. Alarcón
  • 11L. Urruti

Attack

  • 30P. Liza
Substitutes (8)
  • 14R. Díaz
  • 4R. Alfani
  • 5F. Illanes
  • 29N. Loyola
  • 61J. Nolasco
  • 36Nicolas Paz
  • 47M. Trauco
  • 2Luciano Francesco Zambrano Aliaga

Alianza Atletico

4-2-3-1

Coach: F. Urciuoli

Goalkeeper

  • 95D. Prieto

Defence

  • 16S. Fernández
  • 25W. Guzmán
  • 6J. Luján
  • 24A. Gordillo

Midfield

  • 10Germán Díaz
  • 15H. Lupú
  • 23A. Muñoz
  • 22J. del Castillo
  • 17C. Penilla

Attack

  • 27J. Ingratti
Substitutes (9)
  • 19J. Mendieta
  • 29J. Molina
  • 21E. Perleche
  • 20Jimmy Pérez
  • 40J. Quiñónes
  • 9V. Robaldo
  • 28J. Rossi
  • 11G. Larios
  • 8F. Flores

Match Statistics

Sport BoysAlianza Atletico
1.33Expected Goals1.61
251Passes accurate278
9Shots insidebox8
6Shots outsidebox11
5Blocked Shots5
14Free Kicks14
6Shots on Goal6
3Goalkeeper Saves5
4Shots off Goal8
1Offsides3
324Total passes346
15Total Shots19
5Yellow Cards4
5Corner Kicks2
15Fouls14
0Red Cards0
49%Ball Possession51%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.273.282.96

Double chance

1XX212
1.331.591.28

Draw no bet

12
1.652.13

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.722.00

1st half

1X2
2.812.103.65

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.769.452.29

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.039.25
1.51.273.35
2.51.931.82
3.53.281.29
4.56.451.08
5.512.31.03
6.523.01.01
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.028.30
11.037.70
1.251.144.39
1.751.342.89
21.452.51
2.251.692.05
2.752.171.62
32.591.43
3.252.911.33
3.753.961.17
45.451.08
4.255.801.07
59.901.01

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-13.131.33
-0.752.551.45
-0.52.181.65
-0.251.961.79
01.602.26
+0.251.432.65
11 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.257.331.05
-27.871.04
-1.755.201.12
-1.54.021.19
-1.253.501.26
+0.51.333.21
+0.751.203.94
+11.095.30
+1.251.075.80
+1.51.066.25
+1.751.018.30

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.672.07
5.51.851.85