OddsFilter

UCV Moquegua vs Cienciano• Primera División, Peru

#170.8:2.40-2FTToday · Estadio 25 de Noviembre, Moquegua1.8:2.4#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.20BVCX3.50B36522.21DAFMargin at best5.1%Books10Markets76Rating40 · 60Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 12:07 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet3.153.452.265.0%
Bet3653.103.502.157.3%
Pinnacle3.143.362.167.9%
1xBet3.143.422.138.0%
BetVictor3.103.402.158.2%
Marathonbet3.123.422.118.7%
Betano3.153.352.109.2%
William Hill3.103.202.1510.0%
Betfair3.103.302.0511.3%
SBO3.013.061.9616.9%
Best of all books3.153.502.264.6%
Average3.113.352.129.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UCV MoqueguaCienciano
Last 10#17Table position#60.89Points per game1.570Form pts · last 570.8Goals for · last 51.82.4Goals against · last 52.431Attack rating6950Defence rating5043Form rating570H2H rating10045Goals model5540Overall rating60

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 13:51 UTC

UCV Moquegua

1W 3D 6L · goals 5:17 · per match 0.5 for, 1.7 against

20 SepAJuan Pablo II College0-4L
13 SepHSporting Cristal1-2L
5 SepACusco0-2L
30 AugHAlianza Atletico1-4L
27 AugAADT0-2L
22 AugASport Huancayo2-0W
16 AugHSport Boys1-1D
9 AugADeportivo Garcilaso0-2L
2 AugHFBC Melgar0-0D
26 JulAUTC Cajamarca0-0D

Cienciano

3W 2D 5L · goals 17:17 · per match 1.7 for, 1.7 against

30 SepHClub Deportivo Los Chankas1-1D
23 SepAADT1-2L
18 SepAAtletico Torque0-3L
11 SepHAtletico Torque2-0W
4 SepAFC Cajamarca5-2W
31 AugHCusco1-2L
23 AugASport Boys1-5L
21 AugABotafogo0-1L
16 AugHDeportivo Garcilaso0-0D
14 AugHBotafogo6-1W

Head to head

0UCV Moquegua wins
0draws
1Cienciano wins

1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for UCV Moquegua

20 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCienciano2-1UCV Moquegua

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 8 Oct 22:11 UTC

In the Primera División table, UCV Moquegua sit 17th with 25 points from 28 games, while Cienciano are 6th with 44 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Alianza Lima27168344:18+2656
2Universitario27147643:31+1249
3Deportivo Garcilaso27146739:24+1548
4FBC Melgar27137745:29+1646
5Cusco271431040:38+245
6Cienciano281351048:40+844
7Club Deportivo Los Chankas27126936:45-942
8Alianza Atletico27117940:35+540
9Sporting Cristal271151148:40+838
10Sport Boys27108929:26+338
11Sport Huancayo271051237:44-735
12Juan Pablo II College27971142:52-1034
13Atletico Grau27951326:31-532
14Comerciantes Unidos27791135:38-330
15FC Cajamarca27761441:52-1127
16ADT27671429:42-1325
17UCV Moquegua28671524:43-1925
18UTC Cajamarca27481532:50-1815

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg128%3.33X27%3.39245%2.03

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Oct 00:018 Oct 06:311 3.13X 3.352 2.11
13.28 → 3.13 -4.6%X3.50 → 3.35 -4.3%22.03 → 2.11 +3.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.821.995.2%
Bet3651.851.955.3%
SBO1.861.906.4%
Betano1.831.917.0%
1xBet1.841.897.3%
Marathonbet1.841.897.3%
Betfair1.801.917.9%
BetVictor1.801.879.0%
Best of all books1.861.994.0%
Average1.831.916.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.672.156.4%
William Hill1.702.057.6%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
1xBet1.682.068.1%
Betano1.672.078.2%
BetVictor1.652.108.2%
Marathonbet1.682.038.8%
Best of all books1.732.154.3%
Average1.682.077.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

UCV Moquegua 10%Draw 45%Cienciano 45%

The statistical model rated UCV Moquegua at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Cienciano at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.33 | 3.39 | 2.03, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: UCV Moquegua are 17th (25 pts, 24-43 goals), Cienciano 6th (44 pts, 48-40).

Over their last five matches, UCV Moquegua averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Cienciano averaged 1.8 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Cienciano.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

UCV Moquegua

4-1-4-1

Coach: J. Serna

Goalkeeper

  • 1C. Grados

Defence

  • 4A. Perleche
  • 13J. Lojas
  • 3C. Enciso
  • 6Jimmy Rangell Jiménez Cárdenas

Midfield

  • 20D. Ramírez
  • 7E. Lastre
  • 8C. Mejía
  • 25R. Chipao
  • 11B. Angulo

Attack

  • 30J. Granda
Substitutes (9)
  • 90J. Collazos
  • 34K. Ferreyra
  • 29R. Figueroa
  • 24A. Lecaros
  • 88Y. López
  • 22E. Montenegro
  • 9M. Negron
  • 14Claudio Guillermo Ramírez Llamocca
  • 35E. Santillán

Cienciano

3-4-2-1

Coach: Horacio Melgarejo

Goalkeeper

  • 1G. Falcón

Defence

  • 13C. Núñez
  • 3K. Becerra
  • 4M. Amondarain

Midfield

  • 7C. Souza
  • 29A. Robles
  • 39H. Caparó
  • 16M. Martinich
  • 11N. Bandiera
  • 17R. Sandoval

Attack

  • 21C. Garcés
Substitutes (9)
  • 25R. Salazar
  • 30Jean Roncal
  • 18D. La Torre
  • 99Nadhir Colunga
  • 14S. Cavero
  • 88G. Barreto
  • 8G. Aguirre
  • 26R. Aguilar
  • 19M. Succar

Match Statistics

UCV MoqueguaCienciano
202Passes accurate264
10Shots insidebox18
3Shots outsidebox7
2Blocked Shots4
12Free Kicks11
5Shots on Goal12
10Goalkeeper Saves5
6Shots off Goal9
2Offsides2
285Total passes336
13Total Shots25
2Yellow Cards1
6Corner Kicks9
12Fouls13
0Red Cards0
43%Ball Possession57%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
3.113.352.12

Double chance

1XX212
1.661.311.27

Draw no bet

12
2.291.56

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.682.07

1st half

1X2
3.682.172.65

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.2410.11.76

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.049.97
1.51.253.54
2.51.831.91
3.53.011.33
4.55.751.10
5.511.11.04
6.520.91.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.60
11.028.00
1.251.134.60
1.751.293.15
21.392.72
2.251.612.19
2.752.021.70
32.381.50
3.252.681.40
3.753.581.21
44.851.11
4.255.201.10
59.001.02

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.53.091.35
-0.252.681.42
02.301.57
+0.251.911.82
+0.51.682.10
+0.751.492.42
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-210.51.01
-1.758.181.02
-1.56.431.07
-1.255.981.09
-15.521.11
-0.753.731.22
+11.313.12
+1.251.243.46
+1.51.203.87
+1.751.135.01
+21.047.10
+2.51.027.90

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
4.51.871.83

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.026.99
6.51.173.99
7.51.392.68
8.51.712.01
9.52.171.60
10.52.881.33
11.54.041.16
12.56.171.04
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
5.751.026.70
61.036.40
6.251.104.89
6.751.183.84
71.203.62
7.251.293.06
7.751.422.56
81.492.38
8.251.602.18
8.751.791.91
91.941.80
9.252.021.70
9.752.311.53
102.531.44
10.252.691.38
10.753.181.27
113.681.19
11.253.861.17
11.754.701.11
125.741.06
12.255.951.05