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Cusco vs Alianza Lima• Primera División, Peru

#51.4:1.41-2FT11/10 · Estadio Inca Garcilaso de la Vega, Cusco1.0:1.0#1

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.28DAFX3.25BFR23.39PINMargin at best4.1%Books10Markets76Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 20:18 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet2.333.253.204.9%
Pinnacle2.302.983.267.7%
1xBet2.273.043.237.9%
Bet3652.253.203.108.0%
Marathonbet2.253.043.208.6%
BetVictor2.253.133.108.7%
William Hill2.253.003.209.0%
Betano2.223.103.159.0%
Betfair2.203.102.9012.2%
SBO2.222.932.8014.9%
Best of all books2.333.253.264.4%
Average2.253.083.119.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

CuscoAlianza Lima
Last 10#5Table position#11.61Points per game2.119Form pts · last 571.4Goals for · last 51.01.4Goals against · last 51.058Attack rating4242Defence rating5864Form rating3660H2H rating4053Goals model4752Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:40 UTC

Cusco

5W 0D 5L · goals 16:15 · per match 1.6 for, 1.5 against

11 OctHAlianza Lima1-2L
19 SepAFC Cajamarca2-1W
12 SepHFBC Melgar0-1L
5 SepHUCV Moquegua2-0W
31 AugACienciano2-1W
23 AugADeportivo Garcilaso1-4L
14 AugHJuan Pablo II College2-0W
7 AugAComerciantes Unidos1-3L
1 AugHUTC Cajamarca4-1W
25 JulAUniversitario1-2L

Alianza Lima

4W 3D 3L · goals 13:10 · per match 1.3 for, 1.0 against

11 OctACusco2-1W
1 OctHPalestino1-2L
19 SepHADT2-0W
13 SepHUniversitario1-2L
6 SepAJuan Pablo II College1-1D
30 AugHDeportivo Garcilaso0-1L
23 AugAFBC Melgar1-1D
16 AugHUTC Cajamarca1-0W
9 AugASport Boys1-1D
2 AugHAlianza Atletico3-1W

Head to head

4Cusco wins
3draws
4Alianza Lima wins

11 meetings · goals 11:19 · last 10: 4W 2D 4L for Cusco

19 Apr 2026Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Lima8-0Cusco
19 Jul 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCusco2-0Alianza Lima
9 Feb 2025Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Lima3-0Cusco
3 Nov 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Lima1-2Cusco
24 May 2024Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCusco3-0Alianza Lima
13 Aug 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCusco1-1Alianza Lima
12 Mar 2023Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Lima2-0Cusco
17 Sep 2021Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCusco0-2Alianza Lima
30 Mar 2021Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónAlianza Lima2-2Cusco
16 Nov 2020Primera DivisiónPrimera DivisiónCusco1-0Alianza Lima

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, Cusco sit 5th with 45 points from 28 games, while Alianza Lima are 1st with 59 points from 28.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Alianza Lima28178346:19+2759
2Universitario28148645:33+1250
3Deportivo Garcilaso28146839:25+1448
4FBC Melgar28138747:31+1647
5Cusco281431141:40+145
6Cienciano281351048:40+844
7Alianza Atletico28127943:36+743
8Club Deportivo Los Chankas28127936:45-943
9Sporting Cristal281251149:40+941
10Sport Boys281081030:29+138
11Sport Huancayo281151238:44-638
12Juan Pablo II College28981143:53-1035
13Atletico Grau28961326:31-533
14Comerciantes Unidos287101136:39-331
15FC Cajamarca28771441:52-1128
16ADT28681429:42-1326
17UCV Moquegua28671524:43-1925
18UTC Cajamarca28481632:51-1915

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg141%2.25X30%3.08229%3.11

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.1% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle2.171.676.0%
Bet3652.201.656.1%
Betano2.151.657.1%
1xBet2.141.657.3%
Marathonbet2.141.657.3%
Betfair2.101.658.2%
BetVictor2.101.639.0%
Best of all books2.201.675.3%
Average2.141.657.3%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.871.877.0%
Betano1.871.857.5%
Bet3651.911.807.9%
William Hill1.851.858.1%
1xBet1.841.868.1%
Marathonbet1.841.848.7%
BetVictor1.851.838.7%
Best of all books1.911.875.8%
Average1.861.848.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Cusco 45%Draw 45%Alianza Lima 10%

The statistical model rated Cusco at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Alianza Lima at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.25 | 3.08 | 3.11, which imply roughly 44.4% for a Cusco win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: Cusco are 5th (45 pts, 41-40 goals), Alianza Lima 1st (59 pts, 46-19).

Over their last five matches, Cusco averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Alianza Lima averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Cusco or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Cusco

4-1-4-1

Coach: Javier Rabanal

Goalkeeper

  • 28P. Díaz

Defence

  • 21J. Zevallos
  • 8A. Fuentes
  • 2C. Gamarra
  • 3R. Lagos

Midfield

  • 55J. Montaño
  • 26N. Silva
  • 14C. Diez
  • 10I. Colman
  • 7J. Manzaneda

Attack

  • 9F. Callejo
Substitutes (9)
  • 16O. Valenzuela
  • 22L. Colitto
  • 6Á. Ampuero
  • 77J. Herrera
  • 24M. Ruidías
  • 99Miguel Silveira
  • 88D. Soto
  • 11J. Tévez
  • 13A. Vidal

Alianza Lima

4-4-2

Coach: P. Guede

Goalkeeper

  • 1A. Duarte

Defence

  • 17L. Advíncula
  • 6R. Garcés
  • 3M. Antoni
  • 13M. Huamán

Midfield

  • 27K. Quevedo
  • 7F. Gaibor
  • 4G. Chávez
  • 20J. Vélez

Attack

  • 25G. Gentile
  • 8E. Castillo
Substitutes (9)
  • 31C. Carbajal
  • 15J. Castillo
  • 2N. Díaz
  • 99F. Girotti
  • 14D´Alessandro Montenegro
  • 22C. Neira
  • 9L. Ramos
  • 29J. Archimbaud
  • 12Á. de la Cruz

Match Statistics

CuscoAlianza Lima
0.27Expected Goals0.84
390Passes accurate287
1Shots insidebox6
8Shots outsidebox7
3Blocked Shots4
7Free Kicks6
1Shots on Goal4
3Goalkeeper Saves0
5Shots off Goal5
2Offsides3
456Total passes351
1Red Cards0
9Total Shots13
8Corner Kicks2
0Yellow Cards1
6Fouls7
57%Ball Possession43%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.253.083.11

Double chance

1XX212
1.321.571.32

Draw no bet

12
1.612.21

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.861.84

1st half

1X2
2.912.003.78

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.857.452.27

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.067.70
1.51.362.91
2.52.141.65
3.53.831.22
4.57.731.06
5.515.31.02
6.541.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.056.40
11.075.80
1.251.213.58
1.751.442.50
21.602.18
2.251.881.84
2.752.441.49
33.041.31
3.253.281.25
3.754.551.13
46.301.06
4.256.651.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.752.641.41
-0.52.241.61
-0.251.931.81
01.602.23
+0.251.422.63
+0.51.363.10
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-2.58.801.01
-28.101.02
-1.755.721.09
-1.54.331.16
-1.253.951.19
-13.521.25
+0.751.203.83
+11.095.80
+1.251.086.26
+1.51.076.73
+1.751.018.70
+21.019.80

Cards in match

LineOverUnder
5.51.751.98

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
4.51.027.05
5.51.134.53
6.51.352.85
7.51.682.06
8.52.151.62
9.52.671.40
10.54.041.16
11.56.301.04
23 more lines
LineOverUnder
4.751.026.72
51.026.95
5.251.085.11
5.751.134.36
61.154.12
6.251.243.36
6.751.372.74
71.422.58
7.251.542.29
7.751.731.98
81.851.86
8.251.971.75
8.752.261.56
92.461.47
9.252.641.40
9.753.141.27
103.661.20
10.253.851.18
10.754.731.10
115.851.05
11.256.081.04
11.755.791.05
127.291.01