UTC Cajamarca vs Sporting Cristal• Primera División, Peru

#181.6:3.00-1FT11/10 · Estadio Héroes de San Ramón, Cajamarca2.2:1.2#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

14.10BTNX3.80BTN21.98DAFMargin at best1.2%Books10Markets81Rating38 · 62Exp. goals L54.0

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 12:28 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Betano	3.85	3.75	2.00	2.6%
Dafabet	3.65	3.70	1.98	4.9%
Bet365	3.70	3.60	1.90	7.4%
1xBet	3.51	3.60	1.95	7.5%
Pinnacle	3.61	3.57	1.92	7.8%
BetVictor	3.60	3.60	1.90	8.2%
Marathonbet	3.64	3.54	1.89	8.6%
William Hill	3.50	3.40	1.95	9.3%
Betfair	3.30	3.60	1.90	10.7%
SBO	3.18	3.19	1.92	14.9%
Best of all books	3.85	3.75	2.00	2.6%
Average	3.55	3.55	1.93	8.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UTC CajamarcaSporting Cristal

Last 10#18Table position#90.54Points per game1.460Form pts · last 5151.6Goals for · last 52.23.0Goals against · last 51.242Attack rating5829Defence rating710Form rating10029H2H rating7145Goals model5538Overall rating62

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 13:01 UTC

UTC Cajamarca

0W 2D 8L · goals 11:23 · per match 1.1 for, 2.3 against

11 Oct	H	Sporting Cristal	0-1	L
20 Sep	A	Sport Huancayo	2-3	L
11 Sep	H	Juan Pablo II College	1-2	L
4 Sep	A	Alianza Atletico	2-3	L
29 Aug	H	Universitario	2-4	L
25 Aug	A	Alianza Atletico	1-1	D
22 Aug	H	Comerciantes Unidos	1-3	L
16 Aug	A	Alianza Lima	0-1	L
8 Aug	H	ADT	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Cusco	1-4	L

Sporting Cristal

8W 0D 2L · goals 26:8 · per match 2.6 for, 0.8 against

11 Oct	A	UTC Cajamarca	1-0	W
1 Oct	H	ADT	5-0	W
27 Sep	A	ADT	1-0	W
19 Sep	H	Atletico Grau	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	UCV Moquegua	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	5-0	W
30 Aug	A	Sport Boys	0-1	L
26 Aug	H	Sport Huancayo	4-1	W
21 Aug	A	Alianza Atletico	1-3	L
16 Aug	H	Sport Huancayo	4-1	W

Head to head

3UTC Cajamarca wins

8draws

11Sporting Cristal wins

22 meetings · goals 22:42 · last 10: 1W 3D 6L for UTC Cajamarca

19 Apr 2026Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal3-2UTC Cajamarca
23 Aug 2025Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal2-2UTC Cajamarca
6 Apr 2025Primera División	Primera División	UTC Cajamarca4-1Sporting Cristal
25 Aug 2024Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal4-0UTC Cajamarca
31 Mar 2024Primera División	Primera División	UTC Cajamarca1-2Sporting Cristal
26 Sep 2023Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal1-1UTC Cajamarca
7 May 2023Primera División	Primera División	UTC Cajamarca1-1Sporting Cristal
26 Jul 2022Primera División	Primera División	UTC Cajamarca0-2Sporting Cristal
25 Feb 2022Primera División	Primera División	Sporting Cristal3-2UTC Cajamarca
17 Sep 2021Primera División	Primera División	UTC Cajamarca1-6Sporting Cristal

Primera División tablePrimera Division: Tabla Anualupdated 16 Oct 00:20 UTC

In the Primera División table, UTC Cajamarca sit 18th with 15 points from 28 games, while Sporting Cristal are 9th with 41 points from 28.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Alianza Lima	28	17	8	3	46:19	+27	59
2	Universitario	28	14	8	6	45:33	+12	50
3	Deportivo Garcilaso	28	14	6	8	39:25	+14	48
4	FBC Melgar	28	13	8	7	47:31	+16	47
5	Cusco	28	14	3	11	41:40	+1	45
6	Cienciano	28	13	5	10	48:40	+8	44
7	Alianza Atletico	28	12	7	9	43:36	+7	43
8	Club Deportivo Los Chankas	28	12	7	9	36:45	-9	43
9	Sporting Cristal	28	12	5	11	49:40	+9	41
10	Sport Boys	28	10	8	10	30:29	+1	38
11	Sport Huancayo	28	11	5	12	38:44	-6	38
12	Juan Pablo II College	28	9	8	11	43:53	-10	35
13	Atletico Grau	28	9	6	13	26:31	-5	33
14	Comerciantes Unidos	28	7	10	11	36:39	-3	31
15	FC Cajamarca	28	7	7	14	41:52	-11	28
16	ADT	28	6	8	14	29:42	-13	26
17	UCV Moquegua	28	6	7	15	24:43	-19	25
18	UTC Cajamarca	28	4	8	16	32:51	-19	15

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg125%3.65X26%3.60249%1.90

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.54 → 3.57 +0.8%X3.50 → 3.56 +1.7%21.92 → 1.92 0.0%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.70	2.12	6.0%
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
Betano	1.70	2.07	7.1%
Marathonbet	1.68	2.09	7.4%
1xBet	1.68	2.06	8.1%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
BetVictor	1.67	2.03	9.1%
Best of all books	1.70	2.12	6.0%
Average	1.68	2.08	7.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.60	2.25	6.9%
Bet365	1.62	2.20	7.2%
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
1xBet	1.62	2.18	7.6%
Betano	1.60	2.20	8.0%
BetVictor	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.60	2.16	8.8%
Best of all books	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Average	1.61	2.20	7.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

UTC Cajamarca 10%Draw 45%Sporting Cristal 45%

The statistical model rated UTC Cajamarca at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Sporting Cristal at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.65 | 3.60 | 1.90, which imply roughly 27.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Primera División table: UTC Cajamarca are 18th (15 pts, 32-51 goals), Sporting Cristal 9th (41 pts, 49-40).

Over their last five matches, UTC Cajamarca averaged 1.6 goals scored and 3 conceded per game; Sporting Cristal averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Sporting Cristal.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

UTC Cajamarca

4-2-3-1

Coach: C. Molins

Goalkeeper

1Á. Campos

Defence

35G. Paredes
3M. Ganoza
2B. Duarte
6F. Cavagna

Midfield

15J. Cerro
16A. Figuera
22D. Camacho
10M. Lliuya
7J. Nunez

Attack

9M. de Jesús

Substitutes (8)

11A. Arroyo
88L. Arce
29I. Barrios
21R. Bettocchi
13D. Caro
17L. Garro
18S. Gálvez
19A. Muñoz

Sporting Cristal

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Mosquera

Goalkeeper

1D. Enríquez

Defence

8L. Sosa
20M. Araujo
5R. Lutiger
90Cris Silva

Midfield

6A. Álvarez
19Y. Yotún
7S. González
16L. Iberico
23M. Castro

Attack

22M. Hoyos

Substitutes (9)

33C. Bautista
21C. Cabellos
77J. Cuesta
18J. González
27Gabriel
25G. Távara
11I. Ávila
29H. Barcos
96L. Abram

Match Statistics

UTC CajamarcaSporting Cristal

1.03Expected Goals0.56

316Passes accurate351

10Shots insidebox4

7Shots outsidebox6

4Blocked Shots1

13Free Kicks14

4Shots on Goal4

3Goalkeeper Saves4

9Shots off Goal5

2Offsides1

365Total passes404

1Red Cards0

17Total Shots10

2Yellow Cards2

5Corner Kicks5

15Fouls15

47%Ball Possession53%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.55	3.56	1.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.81	1.25	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.67	1.42

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.20

1st half

1	X	2
3.91	2.26	2.45

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.34	13.1	1.65

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.4
1.5	1.20	4.02
2.5	1.68	2.08
3.5	2.68	1.42
4.5	4.96	1.14
5.5	9.30	1.04
6.5	17.3	1.01
7.5	41.0	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	–	9.00
1	1.02	8.75
1.25	1.09	5.25
1.75	1.23	3.53
2	1.30	3.15
2.25	1.49	2.41
2.75	1.86	1.86
3	2.11	1.64
3.25	2.37	1.51
3.75	3.06	1.30
4	3.90	1.19
4.25	4.31	1.15
4.75	5.65	1.08
5	7.65	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	2.66	1.41
+0.25	2.11	1.66
+0.5	1.86	1.91
+0.75	1.62	2.15
+1	1.44	2.64
+1.25	1.35	2.97

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	7.00	1.05
-1.25	6.80	1.04
-1	6.40	1.08
-0.75	4.35	1.17
-0.5	3.55	1.27
-0.25	3.08	1.33
+1.5	1.28	3.30
+1.75	1.20	4.01
+2	1.10	5.67
+2.25	1.09	6.18
+2.5	1.08	6.57
+2.75	1.04	7.10

Cards in match

Line	Over	Under
5.5	1.85	1.85

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
6.5	1.05	5.98
7.5	1.21	3.59
8.5	1.44	2.52
9.5	1.78	1.95
10.5	2.23	1.57
11.5	2.91	1.32
12.5	4.00	1.16
13.5	5.97	1.05

21 more lines

Line	Over	Under
6.75	1.06	5.72
7	1.07	5.46
7.25	1.13	4.35
7.75	1.22	3.50
8	1.25	3.31
8.25	1.33	2.87
8.75	1.47	2.43
9	1.55	2.27
9.25	1.64	2.11
9.75	1.83	1.87
10	1.96	1.75
10.25	2.06	1.68
10.75	2.34	1.51
11	2.57	1.42
11.25	2.71	1.37
11.75	3.18	1.27
12	3.66	1.20
12.25	3.82	1.18
12.75	4.62	1.11
13	5.57	1.06
13.25	5.77	1.05