Alianza AtleticovsComerciantes Unidos• Primera División,Peru
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Alianza Atletico8th37 pts
Comerciantes Unidos14th30 pts
Alianza Atletico8th37 pts
Comerciantes Unidos14th30 ptsIn the Primera División table, Alianza Atletico sit 8th with 37 points from 26 games, while Comerciantes Unidos are 14th with 30 points from 26 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Alianza Atletico at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Comerciantes Unidos at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.56 | 3.92 | 5.31, which imply roughly 64.1% for a Alianza Atletico win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Alianza Atletico are 8th (37 pts, 38-34 goals), Comerciantes Unidos 14th (30 pts, 34-36).
Over their last five matches, Alianza Atletico averaged 2.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Comerciantes Unidos averaged 1.4 scored and 1.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Alianza Atletico or draw.
Alianza Atletico vs Comerciantes Unidos — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 53 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 49 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 |  Sport Boys | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 37 |
| 10 |  Sporting Cristal | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 35 |
| 11 |  Atletico Grau | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32 |
| 12 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32 |
| 13 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 |
| 14 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 27 |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25 |
| 17 |  ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 15 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.61
X
3.73
2
5.06
Double chance
1X
1.14
X2
2.22
12
1.24
Both teams to score
Yes
1.80
No
1.89
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.25
Under 1.5
3.50
Over 2.5
1.82
Under 2.5
1.93
Over 3.5
2.92
Under 3.5
1.34
Over 0.5
1.06
Under 0.5
9.13
Over 4.5
5.40
Under 4.5
1.11
Over 7.5
50.50
Over 5.5
10.63
Under 5.5
1.04
Over 6.5
20.83
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.29
Under 1.75
3.14
Over 2
1.39
Under 2
2.73
Over 2.25
1.60
Under 2.25
2.22
Over 2.75
2.02
Under 2.75
1.72
Over 0.75
1.01
Under 0.75
8.50
Over 1
1.02
Under 1
8.00
Over 1.25
1.12
Under 1.25
4.65
Over 3
2.36
Under 3
1.51
Over 3.25
2.65
Under 3.25
1.41
Over 3.75
3.48
Under 3.75
1.22
Over 4
4.65
Under 4
1.12
Over 4.25
4.95
Under 4.25
1.11
Over 5
9.10
Draw no bet
1
1.24
2
3.75
Asian handicap
Away 3.5
1.01
1st half
1
2.15
X
2.23
2
5.23
First team to score
Home
1.50
No Goal
10.00
Away
2.90
Corners 2-Way
Over 11.25
5.52
Under 11.25
1.06