Alianza LimavsUniversitario• Primera División,Peru
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Alianza Lima1st53 pts
Universitario2nd49 pts
Alianza Lima1st53 pts
Universitario2nd49 ptsIn the Primera División table, Alianza Lima sit 1st with 53 points from 26 games, while Universitario are 2nd with 49 points from 26 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Alianza Lima at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Universitario at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.24 | 2.84 | 3.44, which imply roughly 35.2% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Alianza Lima are 1st (53 pts, 42-18 goals), Universitario 2nd (49 pts, 43-27).
Over their last five matches, Alianza Lima averaged 0.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Universitario averaged 2.6 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Universitario.
Alianza Lima vs Universitario — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Alianza Lima | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 53 |
| 2 |  Universitario | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 49 |
| 3 |  FBC Melgar | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Garcilaso | 25 | 13 | 6 | 6 | 45 |
| 5 |  Cusco | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 42 |
| 6 |  Club Deportivo Los Chankas | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 41 |
| 7 |  Cienciano | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 40 |
| 8 |  Alianza Atletico | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 37 |
| 9 |  Sport Boys | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 |
| 10 |  Sporting Cristal | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | 32 |
| 11 |  Sport Huancayo | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 32 |
| 12 |  Juan Pablo II College | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 31 |
| 13 |  Comerciantes Unidos | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 30 |
| 14 |  Atletico Grau | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 29 |
| 15 |  FC Cajamarca | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 27 |
| 16 |  UCV Moquegua | 25 | 6 | 7 | 12 | 25 |
| 17 |  ADT | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 22 |
| 18 |  UTC Cajamarca | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 15 |
Starting Lineups
Alianza Lima
4-1-3-2Coach: P. Guede
Goalkeeper
- 1A. Duarte
Defence
- 17L. Advíncula
- 6R. Garcés
- 3M. Antoni
- 13M. Huamán
Midfield
- 5E. Pavez
- 7F. Gaibor
- 18A. Burlamaqui
- 20J. Vélez
Attack
- 99F. Girotti
- 8E. Castillo
Substitutes (9)
- 29J. Archimbaud
- 11A. Cantero
- 15J. Castillo
- 4G. Chávez
- 32J. García
- 25G. Gentile
- 22C. Neira
- 9L. Ramos
- 12Á. de la Cruz
Universitario
3-1-4-2Coach: H. Cúper
Goalkeeper
- 1D. Romero
Defence
- 2C. Fara
- 3W. Riveros
- 5M. Di Benedetto
Midfield
- 39P. Quispe
- 24A. Polo
- 23J. Murrugarra
- 17J. Concha
- 33C. Inga
Attack
- 18G. Lapadula
- 20A. Valera
Substitutes (9)
- 4A. Santamaría
- 28A. Quiróz
- 70J. Gutiérrez
- 8H. Fértoli
- 19É. Flores
- 29A. Corzo
- 10H. Calcaterra
- 30Lisandro Joel Alzugaray
- 25M. Vargas
Match Statistics
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.00
X
2.99
2
3.94
Double chance
1X
1.21
X2
1.75
12
1.32
Both teams to score
Yes
1.93
No
1.77
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.39
Under 1.5
2.84
Over 2.5
2.25
Under 2.5
1.62
Over 3.5
4.10
Under 3.5
1.20
Over 0.5
1.07
Under 0.5
7.37
Over 4.5
8.42
Under 4.5
1.05
Over 5.5
16.00
Under 5.5
1.02
Over 6.5
41.00
Over 1.75
1.49
Under 1.75
2.44
Over 2
1.67
Under 2
2.10
Over 2.25
1.96
Under 2.25
1.80
Over 2.75
2.58
Under 2.75
1.45
Over 0.75
1.06
Under 0.75
6.00
Over 1
1.09
Under 1
5.40
Over 1.25
1.22
Under 1.25
3.50
Over 3
3.30
Under 3
1.29
Over 3.25
3.54
Under 3.25
1.22
Over 3.75
4.95
Under 3.75
1.11
Over 4
7.20
Under 4
1.03
Over 4.25
7.68
Under 4.25
1.03
Draw no bet
1
1.42
2
2.68
Asian handicap
Home -2.75
9.20
1st half
1
2.65
X
1.96
2
4.58
First team to score
Home
1.71
No Goal
7.28
Away
2.62
Corners 2-Way
Over 11.25
4.84
Under 11.25
1.10
Cards in match
Over 6.5
1.75
Under 6.5
2.00