Alianza LimavsDeportivo Garcilaso• Primera División,Peru
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Alianza Lima1st52 pts
Deportivo Garcilaso3rd42 pts
Alianza Lima1st52 pts
Deportivo Garcilaso3rd42 ptsIn the Primera División table, Alianza Lima sit 1st with 52 points from 24 games, while Deportivo Garcilaso are 3rd with 42 points from 24 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Alianza Lima at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Deportivo Garcilaso at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.27 | 4.75 | 11.67, which imply roughly 78.7% for a Alianza Lima win versus the model's 35%.
Form context from the Primera División table: Alianza Lima are 1st (52 pts, 40-15 goals), Deportivo Garcilaso 3rd (42 pts, 31-21).
Over their last five matches, Alianza Lima averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Deportivo Garcilaso averaged 1.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Alianza Lima or draw.
Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 52 | |
| 2 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 45 | |
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 42 | |
| 4 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 41 | |
| 5 | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 39 | |
| 6 | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 37 | |
| 7 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 36 | |
| 8 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31 | |
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 31 | |
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 29 | |
| 11 | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 29 | |
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 27 | |
| 13 | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 26 | |
| 14 | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 25 | |
| 15 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 24 | |
| 16 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 23 | |
| 17 | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 22 | |
| 18 | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 15 |
Starting Lineups
Alianza Lima
4-1-3-2Coach: Pablo Guede
Goalkeeper
- 1Alejandro Duarte
Defence
- 17Luis Advíncula
- 6Renzo Garcés
- 3Mateo Antoni
- 2Nicolás Díaz
Midfield
- 5Esteban Pavez
- 7Fernando Gaibor
- 11Alan Cantero
- 20Jairo Vélez
Attack
- 34Paolo Guerrero
- 8Eryc Castillo
Substitutes (9)
- 12Ángel de la Cruz
- 31Cristian Carbajal
- 4Gianfranco Chávez
- 22Christian Neira
- 18Alessandro Burlamaqui
- 29Jean Pierre Archimbaud
- 99Federico Girotti
- 9Luis Ramos
- 25Gaspar Gentile
Deportivo Garcilaso
4-2-3-1Coach: Lisandro Greppo
Goalkeeper
- 1Patrick Zubczuk
Defence
- 55Erick Canales
- 2Aldair Salazar
- 19Agustin Gomez
- 23Xavi Moreno
Midfield
- 18Carlos Ramos
- 8Agustín González
- 11Francisco Arancibia
- 10Kevin Sandoval
- 30Beto Da Silva
Attack
- 9Facundo Castelli
Substitutes (9)
- 31Juniors Barbieri
- 6Cesar Flores
- 33Samir Villacorta
- 22Jefferson Portales
- 20Anthony Rosell
- 35Joao Mendoza
- 27Adrián Ascues
- 24Christopher Olivares
- 17Sharif Ramírez
Match Statistics
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.35
X
4.28
2
9.17
Double chance
1X
1.05
X2
2.97
12
1.17
Both teams to score
Yes
2.21
No
1.59
Match goals
Over 1.5
1.28
Under 1.5
3.38
Over 2.5
1.88
Under 2.5
1.86
Over 3.5
3.14
Under 3.5
1.32
Over 0.5
1.04
Under 0.5
8.95
Over 4.5
5.91
Under 4.5
1.10
Over 7.5
51.00
Over 5.5
12.19
Under 5.5
1.03
Over 6.5
22.92
Under 6.5
1.01
Over 1.75
1.34
Under 1.75
2.93
Over 2
1.44
Under 2
2.58
Over 2.25
1.65
Under 2.25
2.10
Over 2.75
2.10
Under 2.75
1.66
Over 0.75
1.05
Under 0.75
6.65
Over 1
1.06
Under 1
6.15
Over 1.25
1.17
Under 1.25
4.06
Over 3
2.47
Under 3
1.47
Over 3.25
2.77
Under 3.25
1.38
Over 3.75
3.51
Under 3.75
1.23
Over 4
4.70
Under 4
1.12
Over 4.25
5.00
Under 4.25
1.10
Over 5
9.00
Under 5
1.01
Draw no bet
1
1.09
2
6.32
Asian handicap
Away 3.75
1.03
1st half
1
1.85
X
2.30
2
7.84
First team to score
Home
1.34
No Goal
8.53
Away
4.12
Corners 2-Way
Over 12.75
5.73
Under 12.75
1.06
Cards in match
Over 4.5
1.72
Under 4.5
2.02