OddsFilter

HNK Gorica vs Rudes• HNL, Croatia

#100.6:1.01-2FTToday · Stadion Radnik, Veliky Gorica1.6:2.4#9

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.63DAFX4.10DAF25.25BVCMargin at best4.8%Books10Markets83Rating62 · 39Exp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 12:54 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Dafabet1.634.105.205.0%
Pinnacle1.614.085.305.5%
Betano1.653.904.906.7%
1xBet1.603.944.978.0%
Marathonbet1.583.945.008.7%
William Hill1.603.805.008.8%
BetVictor1.553.805.259.9%
Betfair1.573.804.7511.1%
Bet3651.603.604.7511.3%
SBO1.523.584.8214.5%
Best of all books1.654.105.303.9%
Average1.593.854.998.8%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

HNK GoricaRudes
Last 10#10Table position#90.56Points per game0.789Form pts · last 540.6Goals for · last 51.61.0Goals against · last 52.427Attack rating7371Defence rating2956Form rating4480H2H rating2052Goals model4862Overall rating39

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 13:40 UTC

HNK Gorica

2W 4D 4L · goals 12:15 · per match 1.2 for, 1.5 against

2 OctHBravo3-3D
28 SepAMaribor1-1D
19 SepAIstra 19611-0W
14 SepHNK Varazdin2-2D
9 SepAUskok Klis3-1W
5 SepADinamo Zagreb0-1L
31 AugHHNK Rijeka0-0D
22 AugANK Slaven Belupo0-2L
16 AugHHNK Hajduk Split1-2L
8 AugANK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-3L

Rudes

2W 2D 6L · goals 14:27 · per match 1.4 for, 2.7 against

18 SepHNK Slaven Belupo2-2D
13 SepAIstra 19612-3L
9 SepAKoprivnica3-2W
6 SepHHNK Hajduk Split0-4L
29 AugANK Varazdin0-2L
21 AugHNK Lokomotiva Zagreb4-1W
14 AugADinamo Zagreb0-4L
8 AugHNK Osijek1-6L
2 AugAHNK Rijeka1-2L
26 JulAGöztepe1-1D

Head to head

10HNK Gorica wins
3draws
2Rudes wins

15 meetings · goals 29:9 · last 10: 6W 2D 2L for HNK Gorica

29 Oct 2025CupCupRudes0-6HNK Gorica
27 Jul 2024Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsHNK Gorica3-0Rudes
10 May 2024HNLHNLHNK Gorica2-1Rudes
4 Mar 2024HNLHNLRudes2-1HNK Gorica
26 Nov 2023HNLHNLHNK Gorica3-0Rudes
2 Sep 2023HNLHNLRudes0-2HNK Gorica
28 Jun 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsRudes0-0HNK Gorica
22 Jan 2022Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsHNK Gorica1-3Rudes
3 May 2019HNLHNLRudes1-1HNK Gorica
2 Mar 2019HNLHNLHNK Gorica3-1Rudes

HNL tableHNLupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the HNL table, HNK Gorica sit 10th with 5 points from 9 games, while Rudes are 9th with 7 points from 9.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Dinamo Zagreb751117:9+816
2HNK Hajduk Split851216:8+816
3NK Osijek851217:11+616
4NK Varazdin843113:7+615
5HNK Rijeka742113:7+614
6Istra 1961823314:13+19
7NK Lokomotiva Zagreb821511:16-57
8NK Slaven Belupo82157:16-97
9Rudes921612:25-137
10HNK Gorica91266:14-85

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.59X24%3.85218%4.99

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.8% margin.

1X2 since open average price

6 Oct 00:018 Oct 19:111 1.59X 3.832 4.99
11.55 → 1.59 +2.6%X3.94 → 3.83 -2.8%25.12 → 4.99 -2.5%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.782.064.7%
SBO1.802.005.6%
Betano1.782.025.7%
Bet3651.752.055.9%
1xBet1.712.057.3%
Marathonbet1.712.057.3%
Betfair1.732.007.8%
BetVictor1.731.959.1%
Best of all books1.802.064.1%
Average1.752.026.6%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.801.956.8%
1xBet1.732.007.8%
Bet3651.732.007.8%
Betano1.751.958.4%
BetVictor1.751.958.4%
William Hill1.751.958.4%
Marathonbet1.731.978.6%
Best of all books1.802.005.6%
Average1.751.978.0%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

HNK Gorica 45%Draw 45%Rudes 10%

The statistical model rated HNK Gorica at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Rudes at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.59 | 3.85 | 4.99, which imply roughly 62.9% for a HNK Gorica win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the HNL table: HNK Gorica are 10th (5 pts, 6-14 goals), Rudes 9th (7 pts, 12-25).

Over their last five matches, HNK Gorica averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Rudes averaged 1.6 scored and 2.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : HNK Gorica or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

HNK Gorica

4-2-3-1

Coach: M. Carević

Goalkeeper

  • 1R. Josipović

Defence

  • 32J. Filipović
  • 15D. Stevanović
  • 5Gonçalo Costa

Midfield

  • 2F. Braut
  • 6T. Lacoux
  • 66Juraj Frigan

Attack

  • 8J. Pranjić
  • 10F. Brodić
  • 25B. Bogojević
  • 9P. Mijić
Substitutes (11)
  • 34I. Cvijanović
  • 50A. Erceg
  • 18B. Kardum
  • 71D. Matijaš
  • 21H. Moustapha
  • 24D. Pavičić
  • 45S. Perić
  • 30D. Žarkov
  • 20L. Vrzić
  • 4K. Čustović
  • 7O. Bakić

Rudes

Coach: A. Peternac

Goalkeeper

  • 95L. Rogić

Defence

  • 42M. Zebić
  • 2B. Unušić
  • 27Felipe Curcio
  • 4V. Celjak
  • 29S. Bralić

Midfield

  • 28xavi
  • 37N. Skoko
  • 11J. Poldrugač
  • 24I. Đorić

Attack

  • 78J. Fernándes
Substitutes (12)
  • 26I. Žutić
  • 35Josip Bralic
  • 88S. El Haddad
  • 1Filip Holjevac
  • 7L. Ilečić
  • 14T. Kolega
  • 34K. Lovrić
  • 33J. Pejic
  • 8Luka Popovic
  • 10V. Seitz
  • 30M. Šlogar
  • 44F. Taraba

Match Statistics

HNK GoricaRudes
1.3Expected Goals1.63
460Passes accurate216
8Shots insidebox8
6Shots outsidebox2
6Blocked Shots2
17Free Kicks9
5Shots on Goal3
1Goalkeeper Saves5
3Shots off Goal5
1Offsides3
533Total passes298
14Total Shots10
8Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
9Fouls17
0Red Cards0
64%Ball Possession36%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.593.854.99

Double chance

1XX212
1.142.221.21

Draw no bet

12
1.243.75

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.751.97

1st half

1X2
2.112.295.17

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.4913.62.74

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0311.4
1.51.223.93
2.51.752.02
3.52.811.38
4.55.411.13
5.510.61.04
6.519.21.01
7.550.5–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.10
1.251.085.50
1.751.233.49
21.323.01
2.251.542.35
2.751.951.80
32.231.58
3.252.521.47
3.753.301.25
44.401.14
4.254.761.12
4.756.551.05
59.20–

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.611.44
-1.252.311.55
-12.021.76
-0.751.742.01
-0.51.592.30
-0.251.392.73
13 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.59.701.01
-38.701.02
-2.756.601.07
-2.55.031.12
-2.254.601.14
-24.291.18
-1.753.141.31
01.213.90
+0.251.174.39
+0.51.165.25
+0.751.076.67
+11.029.30
+1.51.0110.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.085.24
7.51.253.37
8.51.512.39
9.51.861.85
10.52.381.51
11.53.181.29
12.54.541.12
13.56.981.02
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.095.00
71.104.76
7.251.173.86
7.751.273.14
81.312.97
8.251.402.61
8.751.562.24
91.672.09
9.251.751.96
9.751.961.75
102.151.64
10.252.231.57
10.752.561.42
112.851.34
11.253.001.30
11.753.561.21
124.171.14
12.254.361.13
12.755.321.07
136.551.03
13.256.761.02