NaçãovsHercílio Luz• Catarinense - 2,Brazil
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Nação8th9 pts
Hercílio Luz4th17 pts
Nação8th9 pts
Hercílio Luz4th17 ptsIn the Catarinense - 2 table, Nação sit 8th with 9 points from 9 games, while Hercílio Luz are 4th with 17 points from 9 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Nação at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Hercílio Luz at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 4.62 | 3.80 | 1.67, which imply roughly 26.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the Catarinense - 2 table: Nação are 8th (9 pts, 10-19 goals), Hercílio Luz 4th (17 pts, 17-6).
Over their last five matches, Nação averaged 1.4 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Hercílio Luz averaged 1.4 scored and 0.2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Hercílio Luz and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).
Nação vs Hercílio Luz — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Blumenau | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 2 |  Metropolitano | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 19 |
| 3 |  Caravaggio | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 18 |
| 4 |  Hercílio Luz | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17 |
| 5 |  Tubarao | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 14 |
| 6 |  Guarani de Palhoça | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 11 |
| 7 |  Fluminense-SC | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10 |
| 8 |  Nação | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 9 |
| 9 |  Juventus SC | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 |
| 10 |  Jaraguá | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 1 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
4.62
X
3.80
2
1.67
Double chance
1X
2.04
X2
1.17
12
1.21
Both teams to score
Yes
1.73
No
2.05
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.70
Under 2.5
2.06
Over 3.5
2.60
Under 3.5
1.43
Over 4.5
4.68
Under 4.5
1.16
Over 1.5
1.22
Under 1.5
3.75
Over 2
1.53
Under 2
2.33
Over 0.5
1.02
Under 0.5
12.00
Over 3
2.80
Under 3
1.36
Over 5.5
9.50
Under 5.5
1.04
Draw no bet
1
2.75
2
1.40
Asian handicap
Away -2.5
7.20
1st half
1
4.22
X
2.20
2
2.41
First team to score
Home
2.40
Away
1.67