Arsenal Tula II vs Metallurg Lipetsk• Second League - Group 3, Russia

#150.6:1.00-0FT27/091.4:1.2#7

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.381XBX4.20MAR21.461XBMargin at best10.9%Books1Markets17Rating32 · 69Exp. goals L52.1

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	5.00	4.40	1.51	9.0%
Best of all books	5.00	4.40	1.51	9.0%
Average	5.00	4.40	1.51	9.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 2 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Arsenal Tula IIMetallurg Lipetsk

Last 10#15Table position#70.64Points per game1.733Form pts · last 570.6Goals for · last 51.41.0Goals against · last 51.230Attack rating7055Defence rating4525Form rating7520H2H rating8026Goals model7432Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 27 Sep 09:11 UTC

Arsenal Tula II

0W 5D 5L · goals 6:17 · per match 0.6 for, 1.7 against

19 Sep	A	Zenit Penza	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Saturn Ramenskoye	1-2	L
6 Sep	H	Strogino	1-2	L
29 Aug	A	SKA Khabarovsk II	0-0	D
23 Aug	H	Shumbrat	1-1	D
15 Aug	A	FK Spartak Tambov	1-1	D
9 Aug	H	Avangard Kursk	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	0-2	L
26 Jul	H	Ryazan	0-5	L
4 Jul	A	Kvant	1-3	L

Metallurg Lipetsk

4W 3D 3L · goals 12:9 · per match 1.2 for, 0.9 against

27 Sep	A	Arsenal Tula II	0-0	D
19 Sep	H	Strogino	1-0	W
12 Sep	A	SKA Khabarovsk II	3-1	W
5 Sep	H	Shumbrat	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	FK Spartak Tambov	1-3	L
22 Aug	H	Avangard Kursk	2-1	W
15 Aug	A	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	2-3	L
12 Aug	A	Murom	0-0	D
8 Aug	H	Ryazan	0-0	D
1 Aug	A	Rotor-2	3-0	W

Head to head

1Arsenal Tula II wins

0draws

4Metallurg Lipetsk wins

5 meetings · goals 4:8 · last 5: 1W 0D 4L for Arsenal Tula II

6 Jun 2026Second League - Group 3	Second League - Group 3	Metallurg Lipetsk3-1Arsenal Tula II
24 Aug 2025Second League - Group 3	Second League - Group 3	Metallurg Lipetsk1-0Arsenal Tula II
4 May 2025Second League - Group 3	Second League - Group 3	Arsenal Tula II1-2Metallurg Lipetsk
15 Oct 2022Second League - Group 3	Second League - Group 3	Metallurg Lipetsk1-0Arsenal Tula II
15 Aug 2022Second League - Group 3	Second League - Group 3	Arsenal Tula II2-1Metallurg Lipetsk

Second League - Group 3 tableCentralupdated 10 Oct 19:10 UTC

In the Second League - Group 3 table, Arsenal Tula II sit 15th with 14 points from 22 games, while Metallurg Lipetsk are 7th with 38 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Volna Nizhegorodskaya	22	18	2	2	47:13	+34	56
2	FK Spartak Tambov	22	17	2	3	37:12	+25	53
3	Shumbrat	22	12	4	6	40:29	+11	40
4	Saturn Ramenskoye	22	12	4	6	41:31	+10	40
5	Ryazan	21	11	7	3	35:13	+22	40
6	Salyut-Belgorod	22	12	3	7	37:21	+16	39
7	Metallurg Lipetsk	22	11	5	6	41:27	+14	38
8	Avangard Kursk	22	8	6	8	28:29	-1	30
9	Rodina Moskva III	22	8	4	10	38:35	+3	28
10	Strogino	22	7	4	11	26:36	-10	25
11	SKA Khabarovsk II	22	7	3	12	30:38	-8	24
12	Zenit Penza	21	7	2	12	24:40	-16	23
13	Orel	22	6	5	11	26:39	-13	23
14	Rotor-2	22	4	2	16	15:35	-20	14
15	Arsenal Tula II	22	2	8	12	19:44	-25	14
16	Kvant	22	1	3	18	22:64	-42	6

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg117%5.27X21%4.20262%1.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 10.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.00 → 5.27 +5.4%X4.40 → 4.20 -4.5%21.51 → 1.46 -3.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Best of all books	1.80	1.90	8.2%
Average	1.80	1.90	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Best of all books	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Average	1.95	1.85	5.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Arsenal Tula II 10%Draw 45%Metallurg Lipetsk 45%

The statistical model rated Arsenal Tula II at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Metallurg Lipetsk at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.27 | 4.20 | 1.46, which imply roughly 23.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League - Group 3 table: Arsenal Tula II are 15th (14 pts, 19-44 goals), Metallurg Lipetsk 7th (38 pts, 41-27).

Over their last five matches, Arsenal Tula II averaged 0.6 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Metallurg Lipetsk averaged 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Metallurg Lipetsk.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.00	4.40	1.51

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.40	1.14	1.17

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.95	1.85

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.25	3.50
2	1.39	2.70
2.5	1.80	1.90
3	2.40	1.50
3.5	3.10	1.31

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
0	3.90	1.20
+1	1.82	1.88
+1.5	1.48	2.46
+2	1.20	3.90
+2.5	1.13	4.80