Murom vs Tver• Second League - Group 2, Russia

#13.0:0.415:0018/10 · Viktor Losev Stadion, Murom3.0:0.6#8

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.621XBX3.701XB25.40DAFMargin at best7.3%Books2Markets17Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 00:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.62	3.70	4.93	9.0%
Dafabet	1.54	3.65	5.40	10.9%
Best of all books	1.62	3.70	5.40	7.3%
Average	1.58	3.67	5.17	9.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MuromTver

Last 10#1Table position#82.10Points per game1.1413Form pts · last 5133.0Goals for · last 53.00.4Goals against · last 50.650Attack rating5060Defence rating4054Form rating4662H2H rating3874Goals model2663Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 09:31 UTC

Murom

7W 2D 1L · goals 19:5 · per match 1.9 for, 0.5 against

14 Oct	A	Volga Ulyanovsk	0-0	D
10 Oct	A	Iskra Smolensk	4-1	W
27 Sep	H	Luki-Energiya	2-0	W
18 Sep	A	Zvezda St. Petersburg	3-0	W
13 Sep	H	Torpedo Vladimir	4-0	W
9 Sep	H	Veles	1-0	W
6 Sep	A	Irkutsk	0-0	D
30 Aug	H	Dinamo Vologda	2-1	W
27 Aug	A	2Drots	3-0	W
23 Aug	A	Baltika II	0-3	L

Tver

5W 3D 2L · goals 17:10 · per match 1.7 for, 1.0 against

11 Oct	H	Luki-Energiya	2-1	W
2 Oct	A	Zvezda St. Petersburg	8-1	W
27 Sep	H	Torpedo Vladimir	2-0	W
20 Sep	A	Irkutsk	0-0	D
13 Sep	H	Dinamo Vologda	2-0	W
5 Sep	A	Baltika II	1-1	D
30 Aug	H	Yenisey II	1-1	D
23 Aug	A	Chertanovo Moscow	0-4	L
16 Aug	H	Kosmos Dolgoprudny	1-0	W
13 Aug	A	Dinamo Vologda	0-2	L

Head to head

2Murom wins

2draws

3Tver wins

7 meetings · goals 5:7 · last 7: 2W 2D 3L for Murom

28 Jun 2026Second League - Group 2	Second League - Group 2	Tver1-0Murom
8 Oct 2022Second League - Group 2	Second League - Group 2	Tver0-0Murom
10 Aug 2022Second League - Group 2	Second League - Group 2	Murom1-0Tver
28 May 2022Second League - Group 2	Second League - Group 2	Murom2-0Tver
30 Apr 2022Second League - Group 2	Second League - Group 2	Tver0-0Murom
12 Apr 2021Second League - Group 2	Second League - Group 2	Tver4-1Murom
9 Oct 2020Second League - Group 2	Second League - Group 2	Murom1-2Tver

Second League - Group 2 tableWestupdated 16 Oct 15:02 UTC

In the Second League - Group 2 table, Murom sit 1st with 44 points from 21 games, while Tver are 8th with 24 points from 21.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Murom	21	14	2	5	35:17	+18	44
2	Dinamo St. Petersburg	20	12	6	2	32:10	+22	42
3	Luki-Energiya	21	12	6	3	36:18	+18	42
4	Baltika II	21	12	4	5	42:23	+19	40
5	Chertanovo Moscow	21	11	6	4	39:18	+21	39
6	Torpedo Vladimir	20	9	5	6	25:20	+5	32
7	Kosmos Dolgoprudny	21	8	4	9	24:30	-6	28
8	Tver	21	7	3	11	30:36	-6	24
9	Cherepovets	20	7	3	10	21:32	-11	24
10	Zvezda St. Petersburg	20	5	9	6	29:29	0	24
11	Dinamo Vologda	20	6	5	9	28:25	+3	23
12	Spartak Moscow 2	21	6	5	10	21:27	-6	23
13	Yenisey II	21	5	4	12	23:40	-17	19
14	Iskra Smolensk	21	3	6	12	19:44	-25	15
15	Irkutsk	21	3	2	16	11:46	-35	11

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg158%1.58X25%3.68218%5.17

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.3% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Best of all books	1.85	1.85	8.1%
Average	1.85	1.85	8.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.94	1.86	5.3%
Best of all books	1.94	1.86	5.3%
Average	1.94	1.86	5.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Murom 45%Draw 45%Tver 10%

The statistical model rates Murom at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Tver at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.58 | 3.68 | 5.17, which imply roughly 63.3% for a Murom win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Second League - Group 2 table: Murom are 1st (44 pts, 35-17 goals), Tver 8th (24 pts, 30-36).

Over their last five matches, Murom averaged 3 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per game; Tver averaged 3 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Murom or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.58	3.68	5.17

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.14	2.20	1.23

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.94	1.86

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
1.5	1.26	3.40
2	1.43	2.60
2.5	1.85	1.85
3	2.48	1.47
3.5	3.10	1.31

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	5.20	1.11
-2	4.30	1.16
-1.5	2.65	1.42
-1	2.05	1.69
0	1.23	3.70