Smorgon16th17 pts
BATE II18th11 pts
Smorgon16th17 pts
BATE II18th11 ptsIn the 1. Division table, Smorgon sit 16th with 17 points from 18 games, while BATE II are 18th with 11 points from 18 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Smorgon at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and BATE II at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.57 | 4.15 | 4.42, which imply roughly 63.7% for a Smorgon win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1. Division table: Smorgon are 16th (17 pts, 20-29 goals), BATE II 18th (11 pts, 22-43).
Over their last five matches, Smorgon averaged 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; BATE II averaged 0.6 scored and 3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Smorgon or draw.
Smorgon vs BATE II — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Niva | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 39 |
| 2 |  FC Slutsk | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 39 |
| 3 |  Lida | 19 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 36 |
| 4 |  FC Energetik-Bgu Minsk | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 35 |
| 5 |  Slonim | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 |
| 6 |  Volna | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 30 |
| 7 |  Shakhter Soligorsk | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 29 |
| 8 |  Bumprom | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 28 |
| 9 |  Molodechno-DYuSSh 4 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 26 |
| 10 |  Dinamo Minsk II | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 25 |
| 11 |  Minsk II | 18 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 25 |
| 12 |  Orsha | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 21 |
| 13 |  Uni Minsk | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19 |
| 14 |  Ostrovets FC | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 18 |
| 15 |  Gomel II | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 |
| 16 |  Smorgon | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 |
| 17 |  Osipovichy | 19 | 4 | 1 | 14 | 13 |
| 18 |  BATE II | 18 | 2 | 5 | 11 | 11 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.57
X
4.15
2
4.42
Double chance
1X
1.13
X2
2.16
12
1.15
Both teams to score
Yes
1.41
No
2.64
Match goals
Over 2
1.09
Under 2
5.35
Over 2.5
1.33
Under 2.5
2.85
Over 2.75
1.38
Under 2.75
2.62
Over 3.5
1.88
Under 3.5
1.80
Over 3
1.47
Under 3
2.35
Over 4.5
2.89
Under 4.5
1.32
Over 3.25
1.67
Under 3.25
2.02
Over 3.75
2.04
Under 3.75
1.65
Over 4
2.33
Under 4
1.48
Over 4.25
2.59
Under 4.25
1.39
Over 4.75
3.34
Under 4.75
1.24
Over 5
4.30
Under 5
1.15
Draw no bet
1
1.27
2
3.10
Asian handicap
Away 2.5
1.18
1st half
1
1.99
X
2.50
2
4.64
First team to score
Home
1.44
No Goal
24.00
Away
2.59