Aral vs Qiziriq• Pro League A, Uzbekistan

#12.0:1.00-0FTToday0.2:2.8#14

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.06B365X11.0WH229.0WHMargin at best6.9%Books7Markets48Rating87 · 13Exp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 8 Oct 04:15 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Bet365	1.06	11.0	26.0	7.3%
Betfair	1.05	11.0	26.0	8.2%
Dafabet	1.06	9.40	22.0	9.5%
1xBet	1.04	9.30	34.0	9.8%
Betano	1.05	8.75	24.0	10.8%
Marathonbet	1.01	9.40	34.0	12.6%
William Hill	1.08	8.50	12.0	12.7%
Best of all books	1.08	11.0	26.0	5.5%
Average	1.05	9.62	25.4	9.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AralQiziriq

Last 10#1Table position#142.48Points per game0.1910Form pts · last 502.0Goals for · last 50.21.0Goals against · last 52.891Attack rating974Defence rating26100Form rating0100H2H rating096Goals model487Overall rating13

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 8 Oct 17:31 UTC

Aral

7W 2D 1L · goals 18:6 · per match 1.8 for, 0.6 against

21 Sep	A	Yaypan	5-2	W
13 Sep	H	Lochin	2-0	W
7 Sep	A	FarDu	1-1	D
27 Aug	H	Kattaqurgon	1-0	W
20 Aug	A	Olimpik-Mobiuz	1-2	L
15 Aug	H	BuxDu	2-0	W
10 Aug	A	Respublika FA	0-0	D
5 Aug	H	Metalourg	1-0	W
31 Jul	A	Gazalkent	2-0	W
24 Jul	H	Shortan	3-1	W

Qiziriq

0W 0D 10L · goals 4:28 · per match 0.4 for, 2.8 against

22 Sep	H	Gazalkent	1-4	L
12 Sep	A	Shortan	0-3	L
7 Sep	H	Jayxun	0-1	L
28 Aug	A	Pakhtakor II	0-3	L
20 Aug	H	Metalourg	0-3	L
15 Aug	H	Yaypan	1-2	L
10 Aug	A	Lochin	1-2	L
4 Aug	A	FarDu	1-5	L
30 Jul	H	Kattaqurgon	0-2	L
24 Jul	A	Olimpik-Mobiuz	0-3	L

Head to head

1Aral wins

0draws

0Qiziriq wins

1 meeting · goals 1:0 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Aral

29 May 2026Pro League A

Pro League A

Qiziriq0-1Aral

Pro League A tablePro League Aupdated 8 Oct 16:51 UTC

In the Pro League A table, Aral sit 1st with 52 points from 21 games, while Qiziriq are 14th with 4 points from 21.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Aral	21	16	4	1	45:13	+32	52
2	Shortan	21	14	3	4	38:20	+18	45
3	Metalourg	21	13	4	4	49:16	+33	43
4	FarDu	21	11	7	3	39:29	+10	40
5	Gazalkent	21	10	5	6	39:25	+14	35
6	Lochin	21	10	5	6	32:25	+7	35
7	Kattaqurgon	20	10	3	7	24:20	+4	33
8	Olimpik-Mobiuz	19	9	5	5	36:22	+14	32
9	Respublika FA	20	7	4	9	27:30	-3	25
10	Jayxun	21	7	3	11	23:28	-5	24
11	Yaypan	21	6	4	11	24:39	-15	22
12	Pakhtakor II	21	3	1	17	15:49	-34	10
13	BuxDu	21	3	1	17	18:54	-36	10
14	Qiziriq	21	1	1	19	12:51	-39	4

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg187%1.05X9%10.124%26.1

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.9% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.04 → 1.05 +1.0%X9.13 → 10.1 +10.7%224.3 → 26.1 +7.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.22	4.00	7.0%
Betfair	1.20	4.00	8.3%
1xBet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Marathonbet	1.21	3.58	10.6%
Best of all books	1.22	4.00	7.0%
Average	1.21	3.79	9.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.00	1.73	7.8%
William Hill	2.05	1.67	8.7%
1xBet	2.63	1.41	8.9%
Marathonbet	2.63	1.39	10.0%
Best of all books	2.63	1.73	-4.2%
Average	2.33	1.55	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Aral 50%Draw 50%Qiziriq 0%

The statistical model rated Aral at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Qiziriq at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.05 | 10.11 | 26.14, which imply roughly 95.2% for a Aral win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Pro League A table: Aral are 1st (52 pts, 45-13 goals), Qiziriq 14th (4 pts, 12-51).

Over their last five matches, Aral averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Qiziriq averaged 0.2 scored and 2.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Aral.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.05	9.62	25.4

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.01	7.28	1.04

Draw no bet

1	2
1.01	11.0

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.33	1.55

1st half

1	X	2
1.30	3.51	17.0

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.09	24.5	7.00

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	–	19.0
1.5	1.06	8.25
2.5	1.21	3.79
3.5	1.61	2.14
4.5	2.21	1.53
5.5	3.90	1.20

9 more lines

Line	Over	Under
2	1.04	6.75
2.75	1.25	3.28
3	1.30	2.97
3.25	1.44	2.48
3.75	1.69	1.97
4	1.87	1.76
4.25	2.03	1.63
4.75	2.52	1.41
5	2.97	1.30

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-3.75	2.33	1.48
-3.5	2.07	1.61
-3.25	1.91	1.78
-3	1.77	1.92
-2.75	1.58	2.12
-2.5	1.48	2.33

8 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-4.5	3.20	1.26
-4.25	2.97	1.30
-4	2.70	1.36
-2.25	1.36	2.70
-2	1.24	3.34
-1.75	1.25	3.28
-1.5	1.17	4.00
0	1.01	11.0