Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson Odds Analysis & Prediction – Torneo Federal A (Jul 5, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Alvarado 10%Draw 45%Germinal de Rawson 45%

The statistical model rates Alvarado at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Germinal de Rawson at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.35 | 3.96 | 9.99, which imply roughly 25.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Torneo Federal A table: Alvarado are 2nd (23 pts, 14-7 goals), Germinal de Rawson 5th (18 pts, 7-6).

Over their last five matches, Alvarado averaged 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Germinal de Rawson averaged 0.4 scored and 0.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Germinal de Rawson and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Alvarado vs Germinal de Rawson — model comparison

50%

Form

50%

71%

Attack

29%

25%

Defence

75%

Head to head

100%

Goals

100%

60%

Overall

40%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Torneo Federal A

2026/2027 Standings• Argentino A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	15	7	6	2	+12	27
1	San Martin Formosa	13	8	2	3	+7	26
1	Cipolletti	14	6	3	5	+3	21
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	13	6	6	1	+6	24
2	Douglas Haig	15	8	3	4	+7	27
2	Bartolomé Mitre	14	6	5	3	+6	23
2	Atenas	13	6	3	4	+1	21
2	Alvarado	14	6	5	3	+7	23
3	9 de Julio Rafaela	15	7	4	4	+6	25
3	Sarmiento de La Banda	13	6	3	4	+3	21
3	Argentino Monte Maíz	13	5	5	3	+4	20
3	Kimberley Mar del Plata	14	5	7	2	+5	22
4	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	15	6	4	5	+4	22
4	Sol de América	13	6	2	5	+4	20
4	Costa Brava	14	4	6	4	+2	18
4	Villa Mitre	13	4	6	3	+3	18
5	Defensores de Belgrano VR	15	6	4	5	+3	22
5	Juventud Antoniana	13	5	3	5	+3	18
5	Fundacion Amigos	13	3	7	3	+1	16
5	Germinal de Rawson	13	4	6	3	+1	18
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	15	5	6	4	-1	21
6	Tucuman Central	13	5	1	7	-2	16
6	Juventud Unida Univ.	14	3	7	4	+1	16
6	Sol de Mayo	13	4	5	4	0	17
7	Independiente De Chivilcoy	15	4	5	6	-6	17
7	Defensores de Vilelas	14	5	1	8	-7	16
7	Deportivo Rincon	13	4	4	5	-2	16
7	Santamarina	14	2	6	6	-6	12
8	Atletico Escobar	15	5	2	8	-9	17
8	Boca Unidos	13	4	3	6	-4	15
8	Huracan Las Heras	13	4	4	5	-5	16
8	Guillermo Brown	13	2	5	6	-7	11
9	El Linqueño	15	3	4	8	-8	13
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	14	2	6	6	-10	12
9	San Martín Mendoza	13	3	5	5	-5	14
9	Circulo Deportivo	13	1	6	6	-9	9
10	Gimnasia Concepción	15	3	4	8	-8	13