Mārupe7th22 pts
Super Nova 26th23 pts
Mārupe7th22 pts
Super Nova 26th23 ptsIn the 1. Liga table, Mārupe sit 7th with 22 points from 16 games, while Super Nova 2 are 6th with 23 points from 16 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Mārupe at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Super Nova 2 at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.10 | 3.70 | 2.70, which imply roughly 47.6% for a Mārupe win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1. Liga table: Mārupe are 7th (22 pts, 26-25 goals), Super Nova 2 6th (23 pts, 23-23).
Over their last five matches, Mārupe averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Super Nova 2 averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Mārupe or draw.
Mārupe vs Super Nova 2 — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 41 |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 41 |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 35 |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 |  Super Nova 2 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 |  Mārupe | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Riga FC II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Skanste | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 19 |
| 10 |  Rīgas FS II | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 11 |  Tukums II | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
2.10
X
3.70
2
2.70
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.60
Under 2.5
2.30
Draw no bet
1
1.67
2
2.10
1st half
1
2.62
X
2.40
2
3.20