Riga Mariners4th32 pts
Tukums II10th12 pts
Riga Mariners4th32 pts
Tukums II10th12 ptsIn the 1. Liga table, Riga Mariners sit 4th with 32 points from 15 games, while Tukums II are 10th with 12 points from 15 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Riga Mariners at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Tukums II at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.09 | 8.30 | 14.02, which imply roughly 91.7% for a Riga Mariners win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the 1. Liga table: Riga Mariners are 4th (32 pts, 30-13 goals), Tukums II 10th (12 pts, 19-41).
Over their last five matches, Riga Mariners averaged 2.2 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per game; Tukums II averaged 0.8 scored and 3 conceded.
Statistical advice: Winner : Riga Mariners.
Riga Mariners vs Tukums II — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 41 |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 16 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 41 |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 16 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 36 |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 |  Super Nova 2 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23 |
| 7 |  Mārupe | 16 | 7 | 1 | 8 | 22 |
| 8 |  Riga FC II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 20 |
| 9 |  Skanste | 16 | 6 | 1 | 9 | 19 |
| 10 |  Tukums II | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 |  Rīgas FS II | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 12 |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 11 |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 5 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.09
X
8.30
2
14.02
Double chance
1X
1.02
X2
5.63
12
1.04
Both teams to score
Yes
1.65
No
2.13
Match goals
Over 4.5
1.97
Under 4.5
1.71
Over 3.5
1.43
Under 3.5
2.53
Over 3.75
1.47
Under 3.75
2.37
Over 4
1.63
Under 4
2.12
Over 4.25
1.80
Under 4.25
1.87
Over 4.75
2.13
Under 4.75
1.58
Over 5
2.51
Under 5
1.44
Over 1.5
1.01
Under 1.5
11.00
Over 2.5
1.12
Under 2.5
5.20
Over 5.5
2.98
Under 5.5
1.32
Over 6.5
4.70
Under 6.5
1.14
Draw no bet
1
1.02
2
8.97
Asian handicap
Away 4.5
1.17
1st half
1
1.35
X
3.70
2
9.91