Smiltene13th10 pts
Valmiera / BSS2nd38 pts
Smiltene13th10 pts
Valmiera / BSS2nd38 ptsIn the 1. Liga table, Smiltene sit 13th with 10 points from 15 games, while Valmiera / BSS are 2nd with 38 points from 15 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Smiltene at 0% to win, the draw at 50% and Valmiera / BSS at 50% — against average 1X2 odds of 12.17 | 7.30 | 1.13, which imply roughly 13.7% for the draw versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the 1. Liga table: Smiltene are 13th (10 pts, 18-39 goals), Valmiera / BSS 2nd (38 pts, 40-13).
Over their last five matches, Smiltene averaged 1.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Valmiera / BSS averaged 2.8 scored and 0.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Combo Winner : Valmiera / BSS and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).
Smiltene vs Valmiera / BSS — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 38 |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 38 |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 |  Super Nova 2 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 |  Riga FC II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 |  Skanste | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 16 |
| 10 |  Rīgas FS II | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 |  Tukums II | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
12.17
X
7.30
2
1.13