Mārupe6th22 pts
Leevon / PPK3rd33 pts
Mārupe6th22 pts
Leevon / PPK3rd33 ptsIn the 1. Liga table, Mārupe sit 6th with 22 points from 15 games, while Leevon / PPK are 3rd with 33 points from 15 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Mārupe at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Leevon / PPK at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.61 | 3.73 | 1.77, which imply roughly 26.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1. Liga table: Mārupe are 6th (22 pts, 26-24 goals), Leevon / PPK 3rd (33 pts, 26-18).
Over their last five matches, Mārupe averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Leevon / PPK averaged 1.6 scored and 2 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Leevon / PPK.
Mārupe vs Leevon / PPK — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 38 |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 15 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 38 |
| 3 |  Leevon / PPK | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 33 |
| 4 |  Riga Mariners | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 32 |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 25 |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 22 |
| 7 |  Super Nova 2 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 |  Riga FC II | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 20 |
| 9 |  Skanste | 15 | 5 | 1 | 9 | 16 |
| 10 |  Rīgas FS II | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 11 |  Tukums II | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 12 |
| 12 |  JFK Ventspils | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 11 |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 15 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
3.61
X
3.73
2
1.77