JFK Ventspils11th11 pts
Smiltene13th7 pts
JFK Ventspils11th11 pts
Smiltene13th7 ptsIn the 1. Liga table, JFK Ventspils sit 11th with 11 points from 14 games, while Smiltene are 13th with 7 points from 14 — the full standings are below.
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates JFK Ventspils at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Smiltene at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.74 | 3.84 | 3.71, which imply roughly 57.5% for a JFK Ventspils win versus the model's 45%.
Form context from the 1. Liga table: JFK Ventspils are 11th (11 pts, 17-24 goals), Smiltene 13th (7 pts, 16-38).
Over their last five matches, JFK Ventspils averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Smiltene averaged 1.4 scored and 2.6 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : JFK Ventspils or draw.
JFK Ventspils vs Smiltene — model comparison
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Form & Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Metta / LU | 14 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 37 |
| 2 |  Valmiera / BSS | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 35 |
| 3 |  Riga Mariners | 15 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 32 |
| 4 |  Leevon / PPK | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| 5 |  JDFS Alberts | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 24 |
| 6 |  Mārupe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 22 |
| 7 |  Super Nova 2 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 |
| 8 |  Riga FC II | 14 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 19 |
| 9 |  Skanste | 14 | 4 | 1 | 9 | 13 |
| 10 |  Rīgas FS II | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 12 |
| 11 |  JFK Ventspils | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 11 |
| 12 |  Tukums II | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11 |
| 13 |  Smiltene | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 7 |
| 14 |  Rēzekne FA | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 |
Betting Odds
Full time
1
1.74
X
3.84
2
3.71
Double chance
1X
1.22
X2
1.95
12
1.20
Both teams to score
Yes
1.50
No
2.44
Match goals
Over 2.5
1.48
Under 2.5
2.53
Over 1.5
1.11
Under 1.5
5.50
Over 3.5
2.17
Under 3.5
1.57
Under 0.5
17.00
Over 3
1.73
Under 3
1.95
Over 4.5
4.00
Under 4.5
1.20
Over 4
2.90
Under 4
1.34
Over 5.5
7.50
Under 5.5
1.06
Over 3.25
1.93
Under 3.25
1.72
Draw no bet
1
1.36
2
2.85
Asian handicap
Away 0.5
1.88
1st half
1
2.21
X
2.45
2
3.93