Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners Odds Analysis & Prediction – 1. Liga (Jul 18, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Leevon / PPK 10%Draw 45%Riga Mariners 45%

The statistical model rates Leevon / PPK at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Riga Mariners at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.17 | 3.96 | 1.86, which imply roughly 25.3% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the 1. Liga table: Leevon / PPK are 4th (24 pts, 20-15 goals), Riga Mariners 3rd (28 pts, 25-10).

Over their last five matches, Leevon / PPK averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Riga Mariners averaged 2.6 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Riga Mariners.

Leevon / PPK vs Riga Mariners — model comparison

35%

Form

65%

32%

Attack

68%

25%

Defence

75%

20%

Head to head

80%

43%

Goals

57%

30.2%

Overall

69.8%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

1. Liga

2026/2027 Standings• 1 Liga

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Metta / LU	12	10	1	1	+31	31
2	Valmiera / BSS	12	9	2	1	+20	29
3	Riga Mariners	12	8	4	0	+15	28
4	Leevon / PPK	12	7	3	2	+5	24
5	JDFS Alberts	12	6	2	4	+5	20
6	Mārupe	12	6	1	5	+7	19
7	Super Nova 2	12	5	4	3	+2	19
8	Riga FC II	12	5	1	6	-3	16
9	Skanste	12	4	1	7	-4	13
10	JFK Ventspils	12	2	4	6	-5	10
11	Rīgas FS II	12	2	3	7	-11	9
12	Tukums II	12	2	2	8	-15	8
13	Rēzekne FA	12	1	2	9	-26	5
14	Smiltene	12	0	4	8	-21	4

Betting Odds

Full time

3.17

3.96

1.86

Double chance

1.82

1.30

1.20

Both teams to score

Yes

1.47

2.53

Match goals

Over 2.5

1.47

Under 2.5

2.53

Over 1.5

1.11

Under 1.5

5.50

Over 3.5

2.17

Under 3.5

1.59

Over 0.5

1.01

Under 0.5

17.00

Over 4.5

3.80

Under 4.5

1.22

Over 5.5

7.00

Under 5.5

1.07

Over 3

1.73

Under 3

1.95

Over 4

3.00

Under 4

1.34

Over 3.25

1.93

Under 3.25

1.72

Draw no bet

2.44

1.48

Asian handicap

Away -2.5

5.75

1st half

3.61

2.44

2.37

First team to score

Home

2.20

No Goal