JDFS Alberts vs Riga Mariners Odds Analysis & Prediction – 1. Liga (Jul 4, 2026)

Odds Analysis & Prediction

JDFS Alberts 35%Draw 35%Riga Mariners 30%

The statistical model rates JDFS Alberts at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Riga Mariners at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.35 | 3.74 | 2.43, which imply roughly 42.6% for a JDFS Alberts win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the 1. Liga table: JDFS Alberts are 5th (20 pts, 25-16 goals), Riga Mariners 3rd (25 pts, 21-10).

Over their last five matches, JDFS Alberts averaged 3 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Riga Mariners averaged 2 scored and 0.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : JDFS Alberts or draw.

JDFS Alberts vs Riga Mariners — model comparison

43%

Form

57%

60%

Attack

40%

27%

Defence

73%

33%

Head to head

67%

44%

Goals

56%

44.7%

Overall

55.3%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

1. Liga

2026/2027 Standings• 1 Liga

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Metta / LU	11	9	1	1	+29	28
2	Valmiera / BSS	11	8	2	1	+17	26
3	Riga Mariners	11	7	4	0	+11	25
4	Leevon / PPK	11	7	3	1	+8	24
5	JDFS Alberts	11	6	2	3	+9	20
6	Super Nova 2	11	5	3	3	+2	18
7	Mārupe	11	5	1	5	+6	16
8	Skanste	10	4	1	5	+1	13
9	Riga FC II	11	4	1	6	-5	13
10	Rīgas FS II	11	2	2	7	-11	8
11	Tukums II	11	2	2	7	-13	8
12	JFK Ventspils	10	1	3	6	-8	6
13	Smiltene	11	0	4	7	-20	4
14	Rēzekne FA	11	1	1	9	-26	4

Betting Odds

Full time

2.35

3.74

2.43

Double chance

1.48

1.50

1.23

Both teams to score

Yes

1.42

2.69

Match goals

Over 2.5

1.47

Under 2.5

2.53

Over 1.5

1.11

Under 1.5

5.50

Over 3.5

2.16

Under 3.5

1.60

Over 0.5

1.01

Under 0.5

17.00

Over 4.5

3.80

Under 4.5

1.22

Over 5.5

7.50

Under 5.5

1.06

Over 3

1.72

Under 3

2.00

Over 4

2.90

Under 4

1.36

Over 3.25

1.90

Under 3.25

1.75

Draw no bet

1.79

1.84

Asian handicap

Home 1.5

1.21

Away 1.5