OddsFilter

Kazakhstan vs Moldova• UEFA Nations League, World

1.0:1.51-2FT02/10 · Astana Arena, Astana0.5:1.5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.931XBX3.35BTN24.80BTNMargin at best2.5%Books5Markets66Rating64 · 36Exp. goals L52.3

Price board · 1X2captured 28 Sep 20:14 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.723.765.453.1%
Marathonbet1.703.725.404.2%
Betano1.723.605.205.1%
Bet3651.673.505.008.5%
Betfair1.623.605.009.5%
Best of all books1.723.765.453.1%
Average1.693.645.216.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

KazakhstanMoldova
Last 102Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 50.51.5Goals against · last 51.567Attack rating3350Defence rating5050Form rating5088H2H rating130Goals model064Overall rating36

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 10:21 UTC

Kazakhstan

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:12 · per match 1.0 for, 1.2 against

2 OctHMoldova1-2L
29 SepASlovakia1-2L
26 SepAFaroe Islands1-1D
9 JunAHungary1-3L
6 JunAArmenia1-1D
31 MarHComoros1-0W
25 MarHNamibia2-0W
18 NovAFaroe Islands0-1L
15 NovHBelgium1-1D
13 OctAFYR Macedonia1-1D

Moldova

1W 4D 5L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

2 OctAKazakhstan2-1W
29 SepHFaroe Islands1-1D
26 SepASlovakia0-2L
9 JunAArmenia1-1D
5 JunHBulgaria2-2D
30 MarACyprus2-3L
26 MarHLithuania0-2L
16 NovAIsrael1-4L
13 NovHItaly0-2L
14 OctAEstonia1-1D

Head to head

2Kazakhstan wins
0draws
1Moldova wins

3 meetings · goals 3:2 · last 3: 2W 0D 1L for Kazakhstan

29 Mar 2022UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueKazakhstan0-1Moldova
24 Mar 2022UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations LeagueMoldova1-2Kazakhstan
21 Feb 2019FriendliesFriendliesKazakhstan1-0Moldova

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Spain330010:4+69
2England320111:3+86
3Croatia31023:12-93
4Czechia30032:7-50

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg150%1.88X29%3.22221%4.53

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

29 Sep 00:012 Oct 13:311 1.88X 3.222 4.53
11.69 → 1.88 +11.2%X3.64 → 3.22 -11.5%25.21 → 4.53 -13.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet2.121.793.0%
Betano2.121.754.3%
Marathonbet2.091.764.7%
Bet3652.081.735.9%
Best of all books2.121.793.0%
Average2.101.764.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betano1.981.786.7%
1xBet1.981.757.6%
Bet3652.001.737.8%
Marathonbet1.981.748.0%
Best of all books2.001.786.2%
Average1.981.757.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Kazakhstan 45%Draw 45%Moldova 10%

The statistical model rated Kazakhstan at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Moldova at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.88 | 3.22 | 4.53, which imply roughly 53.2% for a Kazakhstan win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Kazakhstan averaged 1 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game; Moldova averaged 0.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Kazakhstan or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Kazakhstan

3-5-2

Coach: J. van 't Schip

Goalkeeper

  • 16A. Zarutskiy

Defence

  • 23T. Erlanov
  • 3N. Alip
  • 11Y. Vorogovskiy

Midfield

  • 13A. Mrynskiy
  • 18D. Karaman
  • 9B. Islamkhan
  • 20R. Orazov
  • 21E. Astanov

Attack

  • 19R. Karimov
  • 7G. Kenzhebek
Substitutes (12)
  • 12T. Anarbekov
  • 8Z. Amir
  • 17S. Basmanov
  • 5D. Kasabulat
  • 6A. Kassym
  • 2S. Maliy
  • 10A. Shushenachev
  • 22E. Tapalov
  • 15A. Tuyakbayev
  • 4N. Zhagorov
  • 14G. Zhukov
  • 1Bekkhan Shayzada

Moldova

5-3-2

Coach: L. Popescu

Goalkeeper

  • 12D. Celeadnic

Defence

  • 8I. Revenco
  • 4V. Baboglo
  • 18I. Iovu
  • 6M. Gherasimencov
  • 2O. Reabciuk

Midfield

  • 22V. Raţă
  • 14Vladimir Fratea
  • 9S. Perciun

Attack

  • 20N. Cleșcenco
  • 15Petru Popescu
Substitutes (12)
  • 13S. Cojocari
  • 5C. Cucoș
  • 17O. David
  • 19D. Dumbrăvanu
  • 16D. Forov
  • 21D. Mandrîcenco
  • 7N. Moțpan
  • 3M. Ștefan
  • 11V. Stînă
  • 23A. Kozhukhar
  • 10Ș. Bodișteanu
  • 1E. Tîmbur

Match Statistics

KazakhstanMoldova
507Passes accurate250
10Shots insidebox9
9Shots outsidebox7
6Blocked Shots0
10Free Kicks9
4Shots on Goal8
6Goalkeeper Saves2
9Shots off Goal8
584Total passes317
19Total Shots16
2Yellow Cards0
11Corner Kicks4
0Offsides1
10Fouls10
0Red Cards0
65%Ball Possession35%

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.693.645.21

Double chance

1XX212
1.162.151.28

Draw no bet

12
1.253.67

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.991.75

1st half

1X2
2.262.105.50

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.558.402.98

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.048.28
1.51.343.12
2.52.101.76
3.53.641.25
4.56.931.07
5.512.31.02
6.517.0–
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.037.75
11.047.00
1.251.184.11
1.751.432.75
21.552.37
2.251.841.98
2.752.391.55
32.961.37
3.253.191.30
3.754.441.15
46.151.07
4.256.501.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.961.39
-1.252.601.51
-12.261.65
-0.751.881.90
-0.51.702.17
-0.251.472.62
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.511.01.02
-2.757.501.03
-2.55.851.10
-2.255.441.12
-25.001.14
-1.753.731.27
01.243.73
+0.251.184.30
+0.51.175.00
+0.751.086.59
+11.019.50
+1.51.0310.5

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
5.51.074.95
6.51.193.78
7.51.392.70
8.51.712.02
9.52.171.62
10.52.851.36
11.53.371.19
12.54.401.10
8 more lines
LineOverUnder
61.084.72
71.213.27
81.452.38
91.951.82
102.401.44
113.121.22
124.201.11
135.401.05