Moldova vs Faroe Islands• UEFA Nations League, World

0.0:2.01-1FT29/09 · Zimbru, Chisinau1.0:1.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.99PINX3.161XB22.77PINMargin at best1.2%Books5Markets42Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.0

Price board · 1X2captured 25 Sep 20:37 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.47	3.18	3.22	3.0%
Marathonbet	2.44	3.14	3.18	4.3%
Betano	2.40	3.00	3.15	6.7%
Betfair	2.40	3.00	3.00	8.3%
BetVictor	2.38	2.90	3.10	8.8%
Best of all books	2.47	3.18	3.22	3.0%
Average	2.42	3.04	3.13	6.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

MoldovaFaroe Islands

Last 106Form pts · last 560.0Goals for · last 51.02.0Goals against · last 51.00Attack rating10033Defence rating670Form rating10050H2H rating500Goals model044Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 16:21 UTC

Moldova

1W 4D 5L · goals 10:19 · per match 1.0 for, 1.9 against

2 Oct	A	Kazakhstan	2-1	W
29 Sep	H	Faroe Islands	1-1	D
26 Sep	A	Slovakia	0-2	L
9 Jun	A	Armenia	1-1	D
5 Jun	H	Bulgaria	2-2	D
30 Mar	A	Cyprus	2-3	L
26 Mar	H	Lithuania	0-2	L
16 Nov	A	Israel	1-4	L
13 Nov	H	Italy	0-2	L
14 Oct	A	Estonia	1-1	D

Faroe Islands

5W 3D 2L · goals 14:9 · per match 1.4 for, 0.9 against

2 Oct	H	Slovakia	1-1	D
29 Sep	A	Moldova	1-1	D
26 Sep	H	Kazakhstan	1-1	D
9 Jun	A	Latvia	1-0	W
6 Jun	A	Estonia	0-1	L
28 Mar	A	San Marino	2-1	W
18 Nov	H	Kazakhstan	1-0	W
14 Nov	A	Croatia	1-3	L
12 Oct	H	Czechia	2-1	W
9 Oct	H	Montenegro	4-0	W

Head to head

1Moldova wins

2draws

1Faroe Islands wins

4 meetings · goals 4:4 · last 4: 1W 2D 1L for Moldova

10 Sep 2023Euro Championship - Qualification	Euro Championship - Qualification	Faroe Islands0-1Moldova
24 Mar 2023Euro Championship - Qualification	Euro Championship - Qualification	Moldova1-1Faroe Islands
7 Sep 2021World Cup - Qualification Europe	World Cup - Qualification Europe	Faroe Islands2-1Moldova
25 Mar 2021World Cup - Qualification Europe	World Cup - Qualification Europe	Moldova1-1Faroe Islands

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	3	0	10:4	+6	9
2	England	3	2	1	11:3	+8	6
3	Croatia	3	1	2	3:12	-9	3
4	Czechia	3	0	3	2:7	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg133%2.84X32%2.95235%2.63

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.42 → 2.81 +16.1%X3.04 → 2.94 -3.3%23.13 → 2.67 -14.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betano	2.52	1.50	6.3%
Betfair	2.40	1.50	8.3%
1xBet	2.51	1.45	8.8%
Marathonbet	2.51	1.45	8.8%
BetVictor	2.44	1.47	9.0%
Best of all books	2.52	1.50	6.3%
Average	2.48	1.47	8.2%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	2.10	1.73	5.4%
1xBet	2.11	1.66	7.6%
Marathonbet	2.11	1.65	8.0%
Betano	2.07	1.67	8.2%
BetVictor	2.10	1.65	8.2%
Best of all books	2.11	1.73	5.2%
Average	2.10	1.67	7.5%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Moldova 10%Draw 45%Faroe Islands 45%

The statistical model rated Moldova at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Faroe Islands at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.84 | 2.95 | 2.63, which imply roughly 33.9% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Moldova averaged 0 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Faroe Islands averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Faroe Islands and -3.5 goals (goal line signal: under 3.5 goals).

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Moldova

3-5-1-1

Coach: L. Popescu

Goalkeeper

12D. Celeadnic

Defence

5C. Cucoș
18I. Iovu
6M. Gherasimencov

Midfield

16D. Forov
14V. Răileanu
4V. Baboglo
11V. Stînă
2O. Reabciuk
21D. Mandrîcenco

Attack

15Petru Popescu

Substitutes (12)

20N. Cleșcenco
10Ș. Bodișteanu
13S. Cojocari
17O. David
8C. Dros
19D. Dumbrăvanu
23A. Kozhukhar
7N. Moțpan
9S. Perciun
22V. Raţă
3M. Ștefan
1E. Tîmbur

Faroe Islands

5-4-1

Coach: E. Klakstein

Goalkeeper

1M. Lamhauge

Defence

19J. Benjaminsen
4S. Chukwudi
16G. Vatnhamar
5A. Edmundsson
3V. í Davidsen

Midfield

10Á. Samuelsen
22M. Hellisdal
21G. Turi
20H. Sørensen

Attack

17A. Justinussen

Substitutes (12)

9J. Nielsen
12A. Petersen
23B. Reynatrod
8H. Vatnsdal
14P. Kallsberg
15O. Færø
13M. Agnarsson
2J. Danielsen
11P. Knudsen
7J. Bjartalíð
18A. Benjaminsen
6E. Joensen

Match Statistics

MoldovaFaroe Islands

530Passes accurate188

9Shots insidebox5

8Shots outsidebox1

6Blocked Shots3

10Free Kicks11

3Shots on Goal1

10Shots off Goal2

1Offsides1

597Total passes263

19Total Shots6

7Corner Kicks2

0Goalkeeper Saves3

0Yellow Cards1

12Fouls11

0Red Cards0

70%Ball Possession30%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.42	3.04	3.13

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.37	1.57	1.36

Draw no bet

1	2
1.65	2.13

Both teams to score

Yes	No
2.10	1.67

1st half

1	X	2
3.15	1.91	3.90

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.98	6.35	2.36

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.09	6.50
1.5	1.53	2.47
2.5	2.48	1.47
3.5	4.90	1.14
4.5	10.2	1.04
5.5	11.8	1.02

11 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.11	5.82
1	1.13	5.15
1.25	1.34	3.14
1.75	1.67	2.16
2	1.90	1.83
2.25	2.20	1.60
2.75	2.94	1.32
3	4.05	1.17
3.25	4.39	1.14
3.75	6.05	1.06
4	8.70	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.85	1.39
-0.5	2.32	1.55
-0.25	2.01	1.77
0	1.67	2.19
+0.25	1.46	2.58
+0.75	1.23	3.81

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	10.5	1.03
-2	9.80	1.01
-1.75	6.54	1.06
-1.5	5.00	1.13
-1.25	4.56	1.15
-1	4.05	1.20
+1	1.09	6.05
+1.25	1.07	6.53
+1.5	1.06	6.80
+1.75	1.01	9.10
+2.5	1.01	13.0