OddsFilter

SpainvsCroatia

UEFA Nations League, World

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

29/09
18:45UTC
SpainSpain
4-1
CroatiaCroatia
finished

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Spain 45%Draw 45%Croatia 10%

The statistical model rated Spain at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Croatia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.22 | 7.01 | 11.96, which imply roughly 82% for a Spain win versus the model's 45%.

Over their last five matches, Spain averaged 3 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Croatia averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Combo Double chance : Spain or draw and +1.5 goals (goal line signal: over 1.5 goals).

Spain vs Croatia — model comparison

50%
Form
50%
60%
Attack
40%
33%
Defence
67%
80%
Head to head
20%
74%
Goals
26%
59.4%
Overall
40.6%

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Form & Standings

Starting Lineups

Spain

4-3-3

Coach: Luis de la Fuente

Goalkeeper

  • 23Unai Simón

Defence

  • 12Marc Pubill
  • 5Pau Cubarsí Paredes
  • 2D. Huijsen
  • 22Marc Cucurella

Midfield

  • 8Fabián Ruiz
  • 18Martín Zubimendi
  • 9Fermín

Attack

  • 19Lamine Yamal
  • 21Mikel Oyarzabal
  • 15Álex Baena
Substitutes (12)
  • 3Álex Grimaldo
  • 4Iván Fresneda
  • 14Aymeric Laporte
  • 13Josep Martínez
  • 6Mikel Merino
  • 11Víctor Muñoz
  • 10Dani Olmo
  • 20Pedri
  • 1David Raya
  • 16Rodri
  • 7Ferran Torres
  • 17Nico Williams

Croatia

4-3-3

Coach: S. Bilić

Goalkeeper

  • 1D. Livaković

Defence

  • 2I. Smolčić
  • 3M. Pongračić
  • 4J. Gvardiol
  • 14I. Perišić

Midfield

  • 22J. Mišić
  • 6J. Šutalo
  • 8M. Kovačić

Attack

  • 17P. Sučić
  • 20D. Beljo
  • 19Marco Pasalic
Substitutes (12)
  • 5L. Vušković
  • 13N. Vlašić
  • 21L. Sučić
  • 12I. Pandur
  • 10L. Modrić
  • 9A. Kramarić
  • 23D. Kotarski
  • 18K. Jakić
  • 7F. Ivanović
  • 16M. Baturina
  • 15Mario Pasalic
  • 11A. Budimir

Match Statistics

SpainCroatia
568Passes accurate296
12Shots insidebox4
4Shots outsidebox1
3Blocked Shots2
9Free Kicks9
7Shots on Goal2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
6Shots off Goal1
5Offsides0
620Total passes347
16Total Shots5
1Yellow Cards4
6Corner Kicks2
9Fouls10
0Red Cards0
64%Ball Possession36%

Betting Odds

Full time

1

1.29

X

5.34

2

9.37

Double chance

1X

1.06

X2

3.52

12

1.13

Both teams to score

Yes

2.02

No

1.73

Match goals

Over 1.5

1.19

Under 1.5

4.43

Over 2.5

1.63

Under 2.5

2.24

Over 3.5

2.52

Under 3.5

1.47

Over 0.5

1.02

Under 0.5

13.56

Over 4.5

4.49

Under 4.5

1.17

Over 7.5

41.00

Over 5.5

8.79

Under 5.5

1.05

Over 6.5

18.33

Under 6.5

1.02

Over 1.75

1.21

Under 1.75

3.88

Over 2

1.26

Under 2

3.43

Over 2.25

1.46

Under 2.25

2.65

Over 2.75

1.78

Under 2.75

2.01

Over 1

1.02

Under 1

10.75

Over 1.25

1.09

Under 1.25

5.97

Over 3

1.99

Under 3

1.75

Over 3.25

2.24

Under 3.25

1.59

Over 3.75

2.90

Under 3.75

1.36

Over 4

3.58

Under 4

1.22

Over 4.25

3.88

Under 4.25

1.18

Over 4.75

5.15

Under 4.75

1.10

Over 5

7.00

Under 5

1.04

Draw no bet

1

1.07

2

7.30

Asian handicap

Away 4.5

1.01

1st half

1

1.72

X

2.60

2

8.08

Corners 2-Way

Over 15.5

11.50

Under 15.5

1.02

First team to score

Home

1.27

No Goal

16.50

Away

4.20