Austria vs Kosovo• UEFA Nations League, World

3.0:1.03-1FT27/09 · Ernst Happel Stadion, Vienna1.0:0.0

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.65BTNX4.141XB25.90BTNMargin at best1.7%Books8Markets55Rating63 · 38Exp. goals L52.5

Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 20:10 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	1.53	4.40	6.68	3.1%
Marathonbet	1.51	4.35	6.60	4.4%
Betano	1.53	4.30	6.20	4.7%
Pinnacle	1.50	4.41	6.23	5.4%
William Hill	1.50	4.00	5.80	8.9%
BetVictor	1.45	4.10	6.00	10.0%
Bet365	1.45	4.20	5.75	10.2%
Betfair	1.40	4.20	6.00	11.9%
Best of all books	1.53	4.41	6.68	3.0%
Average	1.48	4.25	6.16	7.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AustriaKosovo

Last 108Form pts · last 573.0Goals for · last 51.01.0Goals against · last 50.075Attack rating250Defence rating10050Form rating500H2H rating00Goals model063Overall rating38

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC

Austria

6W 2D 2L · goals 21:14 · per match 2.1 for, 1.4 against

1 Oct	A	Rep. Of Ireland	2-2	D
27 Sep	H	Kosovo	3-1	W
24 Sep	H	Israel	3-1	W
2 Jul	A	Spain	0-3	L
28 Jun	A	Algeria	3-3	D
22 Jun	A	Argentina	0-2	L
17 Jun	H	Jordan	3-1	W
1 Jun	H	Tunisia	1-0	W
31 Mar	H	South Korea	1-0	W
27 Mar	H	Ghana	5-1	W

Kosovo

5W 2D 3L · goals 14:10 · per match 1.4 for, 1.0 against

1 Oct	A	Israel	0-0	D
27 Sep	A	Austria	1-3	L
24 Sep	H	Rep. Of Ireland	1-0	W
7 Jun	H	Andorra	3-0	W
31 May	A	Czechia	1-2	L
31 Mar	H	Türkiye	0-1	L
26 Mar	A	Slovakia	4-3	W
18 Nov	H	Switzerland	1-1	D
15 Nov	A	Slovenia	2-0	W
13 Oct	A	Sweden	1-0	W

Head to head

1Austria wins

0draws

0Kosovo wins

1 meeting · goals 3:1 · last 1: 1W 0D 0L for Austria

27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League

UEFA Nations League

Austria3-1Kosovo

UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC

#	Team	P	W	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	3	0	10:4	+6	9
2	England	3	2	1	11:3	+8	6
3	Croatia	3	1	2	3:12	-9	3
4	Czechia	3	0	3	2:7	-5	0

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg159%1.60X24%3.95217%5.59

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 1.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.48 → 1.60 +8.1%X4.25 → 3.95 -7.1%26.16 → 5.59 -9.3%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
1xBet	1.84	2.05	3.1%
Betano	1.83	2.02	4.1%
Marathonbet	1.81	2.02	4.8%
Pinnacle	1.79	2.03	5.1%
Bet365	1.85	1.95	5.3%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
BetVictor	1.76	1.92	8.9%
Best of all books	1.85	2.05	2.8%
Average	1.80	2.00	5.5%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betano	1.91	1.83	7.0%
William Hill	1.83	1.91	7.0%
1xBet	1.88	1.84	7.5%
Bet365	2.00	1.73	7.8%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.82	8.1%
BetVictor	1.90	1.80	8.2%
Betfair	1.83	1.83	9.3%
Best of all books	2.00	1.91	2.4%
Average	1.89	1.82	7.8%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Austria 35%Draw 35%Kosovo 30%

The statistical model rated Austria at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Kosovo at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.60 | 3.95 | 5.59, which imply roughly 62.5% for a Austria win versus the model's 35%.

Over their last five matches, Austria averaged 3 goals scored and 1 conceded per game; Kosovo averaged 1 scored and 0 conceded.

Statistical advice: Winner : Austria.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Austria

4-2-3-1

Coach: R. Rangnick

Goalkeeper

13Christian Zawieschitzky

Defence

15N. Veratschnig
2D. Affengruber
3K. Danso
14M. Wöber

Midfield

4X. Schlager
6N. Seiwald
21P. Wimmer
10P. Wanner
18R. Schmid

Attack

8J. Adamu

Substitutes (12)

23M. Friedl
17C. Chukwuemeka
19M. Grüll
20S. Horvath
9S. Kalajdzic
11C. Lang
7V. Markovic
5S. Posch
22A. Prass
1A. Schlager
12F. Wiegele
16F. Bacher

Kosovo

3-4-3

Coach: F. Foda

Goalkeeper

1A. Murić

Defence

5L. Dellova
4I. Krasniqi
2R. Raci

Midfield

15M. Vojvoda
20V. Hodža
23L. Avdullahu
13D. Gallapeni

Attack

17E. Krasniqi
18V. Muriqi
14B. Zabërgja

Substitutes (12)

11F. Asllani
3M. Avdyli
12V. Bekaj
22V. Demaku
19D. Kacuri
8V. Matoshi
6Erblin Osmani
7M. Rashica
9A. Rrahmani
21L. Sadriu
16A. Saipi
10E. Zhegrova

Match Statistics

AustriaKosovo

443Passes accurate403

8Shots insidebox5

3Shots outsidebox1

2Blocked Shots2

15Free Kicks20

6Shots on Goal1

3Shots off Goal3

2Offsides1

513Total passes474

11Total Shots6

2Yellow Cards2

5Corner Kicks1

0Goalkeeper Saves3

21Fouls15

0Red Cards0

52%Ball Possession48%

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
1.48	4.25	6.16

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.12	2.56	1.20

Draw no bet

1	2
1.17	4.64

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.89	1.82

1st half

1	X	2
1.99	2.37	6.20

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.42	12.6	3.16

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.03	11.6
1.5	1.24	3.80
2.5	1.80	2.00
3.5	3.01	1.36
4.5	5.65	1.12
5.5	10.8	1.04
6.5	22.3	1.01
7.5	50.5	–

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	9.45
1	1.01	9.30
1.25	1.12	5.16
1.75	1.29	3.25
2	1.38	2.93
2.25	1.59	2.33
2.75	2.00	1.80
3	2.33	1.57
3.25	2.62	1.45
3.75	3.41	1.25
4	4.55	1.14
4.25	4.89	1.11
4.75	7.40	1.05
5	8.85	1.05

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	2.85	1.42
-1.5	2.37	1.57
-1.25	2.11	1.72
-1	1.81	1.99
-0.75	1.60	2.29
-0.5	1.48	2.61

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-3.5	8.50	1.02
-3	7.80	1.02
-2.75	5.58	1.11
-2.5	4.38	1.17
-2.25	3.97	1.21
-2	3.63	1.25
-0.25	1.33	3.26
0	1.16	4.78
+0.25	1.13	5.15
+0.5	1.14	5.75
+0.75	1.06	7.87
+1	1.01	11.5
+1.5	1.02	11.8