Serbia vs 
Netherlands• UEFA Nations League, World
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 23 Sep 20:10 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.56 | 4.09 | 1.65 | 3.0% |
| Marathonbet | 5.50 | 4.05 | 1.63 | 4.2% |
| Betano | 5.30 | 3.95 | 1.65 | 4.8% |
| Pinnacle | 5.31 | 3.99 | 1.62 | 5.6% |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.90 | 1.62 | 7.4% |
| William Hill | 5.00 | 3.80 | 1.62 | 8.0% |
| Bet365 | 5.25 | 3.90 | 1.57 | 8.4% |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 3.75 | 1.57 | 9.4% |
| Best of all books | 5.56 | 4.09 | 1.65 | 3.0% |
| Average | 5.27 | 3.93 | 1.62 | 6.3% |
Best price per column is highlighted. These prices were captured 3 days before kickoff and were not refreshed later; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 4 Oct 14:51 UTC
Serbia
3W 0D 7L · goals 10:22 · per match 1.0 for, 2.2 against
| 1 Oct | A | Germany | 0-2 | L |
| 27 Sep | H | Netherlands | 1-2 | L |
| 24 Sep | H | Greece | 1-2 | L |
| 5 Jun | A | Mexico | 1-5 | L |
| 31 May | A | Cape Verde Islands | 0-3 | L |
| 31 Mar | H | Saudi Arabia | 2-1 | W |
| 27 Mar | A | Spain | 0-3 | L |
| 16 Nov | H | Latvia | 2-1 | W |
| 13 Nov | A | England | 0-2 | L |
| 14 Oct | A | Andorra | 3-1 | W |
Netherlands
4W 5D 1L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against
| 1 Oct | A | Greece | 2-2 | D |
| 27 Sep | A | Serbia | 2-1 | W |
| 24 Sep | H | Germany | 1-1 | D |
| 30 Jun | H | Morocco | 1-1 | D |
| 25 Jun | A | Tunisia | 3-1 | W |
| 20 Jun | H | Sweden | 5-1 | W |
| 14 Jun | H | Japan | 2-2 | D |
| 8 Jun | H | Uzbekistan | 2-1 | W |
| 3 Jun | H | Algeria | 0-1 | L |
| 31 Mar | H | Ecuador | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
1 meeting · goals 1:2 · last 1: 0W 0D 1L for Serbia
| 27 Sep 2026UEFA Nations League | UEFA Nations League | Serbia1-2Netherlands |
UEFA Nations League tableLeague A - Group Cupdated 6 Oct 18:11 UTC
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spain | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:4 | +6 | 9 |
| 2 | England | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11:3 | +8 | 6 |
| 3 | Croatia | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:12 | -9 | 3 |
| 4 | Czechia | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 0 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 2.0% margin.
1X2 since open average price
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.90 | 1.98 | 3.1% |
| Pinnacle | 1.88 | 1.96 | 4.2% |
| Betano | 1.88 | 1.95 | 4.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 1.95 | 4.8% |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 1.95 | 5.3% |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.80 | 1.87 | 9.0% |
| Best of all books | 1.90 | 1.98 | 3.1% |
| Average | 1.86 | 1.93 | 5.5% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair | 1.87 | 1.90 | 6.1% |
| Betano | 1.87 | 1.88 | 6.7% |
| William Hill | 1.83 | 1.91 | 7.0% |
| 1xBet | 1.85 | 1.87 | 7.5% |
| Marathonbet | 1.85 | 1.85 | 8.1% |
| BetVictor | 1.83 | 1.87 | 8.1% |
| Bet365 | 1.83 | 1.83 | 9.3% |
| Best of all books | 1.87 | 1.91 | 5.8% |
| Average | 1.85 | 1.87 | 7.5% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rated Serbia at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Netherlands at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 7.49 | 5.01 | 1.38, which imply roughly 20% for the draw versus the model's 45%.
Over their last five matches, Serbia averaged 1 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Netherlands averaged 1 scored and 1 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Netherlands.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
Starting Lineups
Serbia
4-2-3-1Coach: V. Paunovic
Goalkeeper
- 23V. Milinković-Savić
Defence
- 2K. Nedeljković
- 15S. Babić
- 3S. Pavlović
- 17A. Terzić
Midfield
- 6N. Gudelj
- 22S. Lukić
- 14A. Živković
- 7A. Stanković
- 20S. Milinković-Savić
Attack
- 9D. Joveljić
Substitutes (12)
- 5N. Maksimović
- 11F. Kostić
- 1Đ. Petrović
- 21L. Samardžić
- 13N. Simić
- 12F. Stanković
- 10D. Tadić
- 18M. CvetkoviÄ
- 4V. Dragojević
- 19S. Džodić
- 16S. Eraković
- 8L. Jović
Netherlands
4-3-3Coach: Xavi
Goalkeeper
- 1B. Verbruggen
Defence
- 22D. Dumfries
- 6J. van Hecke
- 4V. van Dijk
- 15M. van de Ven
Midfield
- 8R. Gravenberch
- 18J. Veerman
- 14T. Reijnders
Attack
- 7C. Summerville
- 17M. Meerdink
- 11C. Gakpo
Substitutes (12)
- 23M. Flekken
- 3J. Hato
- 20T. Koopmeiners
- 10N. Lang
- 13R. Roefs
- 12K. Taylor
- 16G. Til
- 19Q. Timber
- 2J. Timber
- 9J. Zirkzee
- 21R. van Bommel
- 5N. Aké
Match Statistics
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.27 | 3.93 | 1.62 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.26 | 1.16 | 1.24 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 3.84 | 1.23 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.85 | 1.87 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 5.38 | 2.28 | 2.15 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 2.94 | 10.1 | 1.52 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.04 | 10.4 |
| 1.5 | 1.26 | 3.63 |
| 2.5 | 1.86 | 1.93 |
| 3.5 | 3.12 | 1.34 |
| 4.5 | 5.90 | 1.10 |
| 5.5 | 11.6 | 1.03 |
| 6.5 | 22.5 | 1.01 |
| 7.5 | 50.5 | – |
13 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.75 | 1.01 | 8.75 |
| 1 | 1.02 | 8.10 |
| 1.25 | 1.13 | 4.76 |
| 1.75 | 1.32 | 3.14 |
| 2 | 1.42 | 2.78 |
| 2.25 | 1.64 | 2.23 |
| 2.75 | 2.08 | 1.74 |
| 3 | 2.45 | 1.52 |
| 3.25 | 2.75 | 1.42 |
| 3.75 | 3.55 | 1.23 |
| 4 | 4.80 | 1.12 |
| 4.25 | 5.05 | 1.10 |
| 5 | 9.30 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| +0.25 | 2.81 | 1.41 |
| +0.5 | 2.31 | 1.60 |
| +0.75 | 2.03 | 1.77 |
| +1 | 1.76 | 2.07 |
| +1.25 | 1.58 | 2.38 |
| +1.5 | 1.45 | 2.72 |
12 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -1.5 | 10.5 | 1.02 |
| -0.75 | 6.60 | 1.08 |
| -0.5 | 5.25 | 1.16 |
| -0.25 | 4.47 | 1.18 |
| 0 | 3.93 | 1.23 |
| +1.75 | 1.32 | 3.25 |
| +2 | 1.19 | 4.31 |
| +2.25 | 1.15 | 4.61 |
| +2.5 | 1.13 | 5.14 |
| +2.75 | 1.07 | 6.36 |
| +3 | 1.01 | 8.90 |
| +3.5 | 1.02 | 10.8 |