Nanjing City vs Shaanxi Union• League One, China

#140.4:2.41-4FTToday · Wutaishan Stadium, Nanjing2.0:1.0#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.63PINX3.40BFR22.05BTNMargin at best5.7%Books6Markets48Rating44 · 56Exp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	3.65	3.27	2.01	7.7%
Betano	3.40	3.25	2.05	9.0%
Betfair	3.30	3.40	2.00	9.7%
1xBet	3.44	3.24	1.96	11.0%
Marathonbet	3.35	3.24	1.94	12.3%
Bet365	3.25	3.30	1.95	12.4%
Best of all books	3.65	3.40	2.05	5.6%
Average	3.40	3.28	1.98	10.3%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Nanjing CityShaanxi Union

Last 10#14Table position#50.88Points per game1.500Form pts · last 5100.4Goals for · last 52.02.4Goals against · last 51.017Attack rating8329Defence rating710Form rating10071H2H rating2946Goals model5444Overall rating56

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 10:01 UTC

Nanjing City

0W 3D 7L · goals 6:18 · per match 0.6 for, 1.8 against

19 Sep	H	Wuxi Wugou	0-3	L
13 Sep	A	Meizhou Kejia	1-2	L
6 Sep	A	Suzhou Dongwu	0-2	L
29 Aug	H	Guangxi Hengchen	0-2	L
23 Aug	A	Shenzhen Juniors	1-3	L
16 Aug	H	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	1-1	D
8 Aug	H	Nantong Zhiyun	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Yanbian Longding	1-1	D
25 Jul	A	Changchun Yatai	1-2	L
18 Jul	H	Guangzhou E-Power	0-1	L

Shaanxi Union

5W 2D 3L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

27 Sep	H	Dalian Huayi	3-0	W
19 Sep	H	Suzhou Dongwu	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Ningbo Professional	0-1	L
5 Sep	H	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	2-1	W
29 Aug	H	Yanbian Longding	3-1	W
22 Aug	A	Nantong Zhiyun	1-4	L
14 Aug	H	Changchun Yatai	2-1	W
8 Aug	A	Hebei Kungfu	1-2	L
1 Aug	A	Dalian Huayi	2-2	D
25 Jul	H	Shenzhen Juniors	3-0	W

Head to head

1Nanjing City wins

2draws

0Shaanxi Union wins

3 meetings · goals 5:4 · last 3: 1W 2D 0L for Nanjing City

29 May 2026League One	League One	Shaanxi Union0-1Nanjing City
9 Aug 2025League One	League One	Nanjing City3-3Shaanxi Union
22 Apr 2025League One	League One	Shaanxi Union1-1Nanjing City

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 7 Oct 13:01 UTC

In the League One table, Nanjing City sit 14th with 21 points from 24 games, while Shaanxi Union are 5th with 36 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Guangzhou E-Power	24	16	6	2	48:20	+28	54
2	Guangxi Hengchen	24	13	6	5	40:26	+14	45
3	Nantong Zhiyun	25	12	9	4	34:20	+14	45
4	Shenzhen Juniors	24	12	8	4	39:25	+14	44
5	Shaanxi Union	24	10	6	8	38:26	+12	36
6	Yanbian Longding	25	9	9	7	34:28	+6	36
7	Hebei Kungfu	25	9	7	9	23:25	-2	34
8	Wuxi Wugou	25	9	6	10	38:31	+7	33
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30
10	Ningbo Professional	25	9	5	11	27:31	-4	29
11	Dalian Huayi	25	7	8	10	30:37	-7	29
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27
13	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24
14	Nanjing City	24	5	6	13	20:33	-13	21
15	Meizhou Kejia	25	7	4	14	25:50	-25	16
16	Dongguan United	24	2	7	15	24:49	-25	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg127%3.38X28%3.25246%1.97

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.7% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.40 → 3.33 -2.1%X3.28 → 3.21 -2.1%21.99 → 1.98 -0.5%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.99	1.83	4.9%
Bet365	1.95	1.85	5.3%
Betfair	1.87	1.90	6.1%
Betano	1.90	1.80	8.2%
1xBet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.88	1.79	9.1%
Best of all books	1.99	1.90	2.9%
Average	1.91	1.83	7.1%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.80	1.91	7.9%
1xBet	1.72	1.96	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.72	1.93	10.0%
Betano	1.70	1.93	10.6%
Best of all books	1.80	2.10	3.2%
Average	1.72	1.97	8.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Nanjing City 10%Draw 45%Shaanxi Union 45%

The statistical model rated Nanjing City at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Shaanxi Union at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.38 | 3.25 | 1.97, which imply roughly 30.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: Nanjing City are 14th (21 pts, 20-33 goals), Shaanxi Union 5th (36 pts, 38-26).

Over their last five matches, Nanjing City averaged 0.4 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Shaanxi Union averaged 2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Shaanxi Union.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.40	3.28	1.99

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.68	1.24	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.42	1.49

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.72	1.97

1st half

1	X	2
3.98	2.12	2.60

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.31	10.4	1.70

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.13
1.5	1.26	3.37
2.5	1.91	1.83
3.5	3.14	1.30
4.5	6.03	1.08
5.5	10.0	1.04
6.5	15.0	1.01
7.5	21.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.82
1	1.02	8.20
1.25	1.13	4.55
1.75	1.34	2.91
2	1.43	2.53
2.25	1.67	2.05
2.75	2.17	1.60
3	2.60	1.41
3.25	2.76	1.38
3.75	4.01	1.17
4	5.60	1.08
4.25	6.00	1.06
4.75	7.80	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.25	2.93	1.35
0	2.53	1.46
+0.25	2.01	1.73
+0.5	1.80	2.02
+0.75	1.55	2.30
+1	1.35	2.89

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.00	1.02
-1.25	7.20	1.05
-1	6.70	1.07
-0.75	4.32	1.16
-0.5	3.30	1.32
+1.25	1.28	3.31
+1.5	1.21	3.74
+1.75	1.13	4.82
+2	1.05	7.20
+2.25	1.02	7.80
+2.5	1.01	8.30