Dongguan United vs Guangxi Hengchen• League One, China

#160.8:2.41-0FTToday · Foshan International Sports and Cultural Center, Foshan1.2:0.4#2

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

15.871XBX4.40BFR21.50BTNMargin at best6.4%Books6Markets54Rating31 · 69Exp. goals L52.4

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Oct 12:30 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
Pinnacle	5.33	4.11	1.54	8.0%
Betano	4.90	3.90	1.60	8.5%
Betfair	5.50	4.20	1.47	10.0%
1xBet	5.23	3.98	1.50	10.9%
Marathonbet	5.00	3.98	1.49	12.2%
Bet365	5.00	3.90	1.50	12.3%
Best of all books	5.50	4.20	1.60	4.5%
Average	5.16	4.01	1.52	10.2%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Dongguan UnitedGuangxi Hengchen

Last 10#16Table position#20.54Points per game1.882Form pts · last 5120.8Goals for · last 51.22.4Goals against · last 50.440Attack rating6014Defence rating8614Form rating8650H2H rating5017Goals model8331Overall rating69

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 7 Oct 10:01 UTC

Dongguan United

0W 3D 7L · goals 9:22 · per match 0.9 for, 2.2 against

19 Sep	A	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	1-1	D
12 Sep	A	Suzhou Dongwu	2-3	L
5 Sep	H	Dalian Huayi	0-0	D
29 Aug	H	Shenzhen Juniors	1-2	L
23 Aug	A	Changchun Yatai	0-6	L
16 Aug	H	Hebei Kungfu	1-2	L
8 Aug	A	Meizhou Kejia	2-3	L
1 Aug	A	Guangzhou E-Power	1-1	D
25 Jul	H	Wuxi Wugou	0-2	L
17 Jul	H	Nantong Zhiyun	1-2	L

Guangxi Hengchen

6W 2D 2L · goals 18:13 · per match 1.8 for, 1.3 against

25 Sep	A	Wuxi Wugou	1-0	W
18 Sep	A	Nantong Zhiyun	1-0	W
12 Sep	H	Yanbian Longding	2-1	W
6 Sep	H	Hebei Kungfu	0-1	L
29 Aug	A	Nanjing City	2-0	W
22 Aug	H	Suzhou Dongwu	3-3	D
15 Aug	H	Meizhou Kejia	1-0	W
9 Aug	A	Guangzhou E-Power	0-2	L
1 Aug	A	Ningbo Professional	4-2	W
26 Jul	H	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	4-4	D

Head to head

0Dongguan United wins

1draws

0Guangxi Hengchen wins

1 meeting · goals 3:3 · last 1: 0W 1D 0L for Dongguan United

30 May 2026League One

League One

Guangxi Hengchen3-3Dongguan United

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 7 Oct 13:01 UTC

In the League One table, Dongguan United sit 16th with 13 points from 24 games, while Guangxi Hengchen are 2nd with 45 points from 24.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Guangzhou E-Power	24	16	6	2	48:20	+28	54
2	Guangxi Hengchen	24	13	6	5	40:26	+14	45
3	Nantong Zhiyun	25	12	9	4	34:20	+14	45
4	Shenzhen Juniors	24	12	8	4	39:25	+14	44
5	Shaanxi Union	24	10	6	8	38:26	+12	36
6	Yanbian Longding	25	9	9	7	34:28	+6	36
7	Hebei Kungfu	25	9	7	9	23:25	-2	34
8	Wuxi Wugou	25	9	6	10	38:31	+7	33
9	Changchun Yatai	25	10	4	11	38:41	-3	30
10	Ningbo Professional	25	9	5	11	27:31	-4	29
11	Dalian Huayi	25	7	8	10	30:37	-7	29
12	Suzhou Dongwu	25	7	9	9	30:35	-5	27
13	Heilongjiang Lava Spring	25	4	12	9	35:46	-11	24
14	Nanjing City	24	5	6	13	20:33	-13	21
15	Meizhou Kejia	25	7	4	14	25:50	-25	16
16	Dongguan United	24	2	7	15	24:49	-25	13

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg116%5.58X22%4.15262%1.45

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

15.16 → 5.58 +8.1%X4.01 → 4.15 +3.5%21.52 → 1.45 -4.6%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.38	5.7%
Bet365	1.62	2.25	6.2%
Pinnacle	1.61	2.23	7.0%
1xBet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Marathonbet	1.58	2.18	9.2%
Betano	1.57	2.10	11.3%
Best of all books	1.62	2.38	3.7%
Average	1.59	2.22	8.0%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.67	2.10	7.5%
Bet365	1.73	2.00	7.8%
1xBet	1.64	2.08	9.1%
Marathonbet	1.64	2.04	10.0%
Betano	1.62	2.02	11.2%
Best of all books	1.73	2.10	5.4%
Average	1.66	2.05	9.1%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Dongguan United 10%Draw 45%Guangxi Hengchen 45%

The statistical model rated Dongguan United at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Guangxi Hengchen at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 5.58 | 4.15 | 1.45, which imply roughly 24.1% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: Dongguan United are 16th (13 pts, 24-49 goals), Guangxi Hengchen 2nd (45 pts, 40-26).

Over their last five matches, Dongguan United averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Guangxi Hengchen averaged 1.2 scored and 0.4 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Guangxi Hengchen.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
5.16	4.01	1.52

Double chance

1X	X2	12
2.29	1.11	1.17

Draw no bet

1	2
3.70	1.20

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.66	2.05

1st half

1	X	2
5.11	2.37	2.01

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.80	15.6	1.42

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	14.3
1.5	1.17	4.37
2.5	1.59	2.22
3.5	2.47	1.47
4.5	4.31	1.17
5.5	7.80	1.04
6.5	11.0	1.02
7.5	17.0	–

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	9.30
1.25	1.06	6.25
1.75	1.17	3.96
2	1.22	3.50
2.25	1.41	2.62
2.75	1.74	1.97
3	1.95	1.75
3.25	2.23	1.57
3.75	2.91	1.33
4	3.74	1.19
4.25	4.10	1.16
4.75	5.55	1.08
5	7.90	1.02

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
+0.25	2.85	1.35
+0.5	2.43	1.53
+0.75	2.05	1.67
+1	1.84	1.89
+1.25	1.60	2.15
+1.5	1.47	2.42

13 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.5	8.05	1.01
-1.25	5.95	1.01
-1	7.53	1.02
-0.75	6.65	1.05
-0.25	4.45	1.14
0	3.92	1.18
+1.75	1.35	2.86
+2	1.18	3.82
+2.25	1.15	4.20
+2.5	1.13	4.60
+2.75	1.07	5.90
+3	1.01	8.70
+3.5	1.02	8.45