OddsFilter

Heilongjiang Lava Spring vs Meizhou Kejia• League One, China

#131.2:2.00-0FT06/10 · Dingnan Football Youth Training Center, Dingnan1.2:3.0#15

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.96PINX3.60BFR23.661XBMargin at best6.1%Books7Markets74Rating58 · 43Exp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 5 Oct 12:16 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
Pinnacle1.833.603.967.7%
Betano1.783.703.859.2%
Betfair1.733.753.9010.1%
1xBet1.743.563.9410.9%
Bet3651.703.604.0011.6%
Marathonbet1.723.563.8412.3%
William Hill1.803.303.7512.5%
Best of all books1.833.754.006.3%
Average1.763.583.8910.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Heilongjiang Lava SpringMeizhou Kejia
Last 10#13Table position#150.96Points per game0.641Form pts · last 541.2Goals for · last 51.22.0Goals against · last 53.050Attack rating5060Defence rating4020Form rating8093H2H rating762Goals model3858Overall rating43

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 6 Oct 09:31 UTC

Heilongjiang Lava Spring

1W 3D 6L · goals 14:22 · per match 1.4 for, 2.2 against

19 SepHDongguan United1-1D
12 SepAChangchun Yatai0-1L
5 SepAShaanxi Union1-2L
29 AugHSuzhou Dongwu3-4L
22 AugHHebei Kungfu1-2L
16 AugANanjing City1-1D
8 AugHDalian Huayi2-1W
1 AugANantong Zhiyun1-5L
26 JulAGuangxi Hengchen4-4D
18 JulHNingbo Professional0-1L

Meizhou Kejia

3W 1D 6L · goals 12:21 · per match 1.2 for, 2.1 against

19 SepHHebei Kungfu1-3L
13 SepHNanjing City2-1W
6 SepAShenzhen Juniors1-5L
30 AugANingbo Professional1-1D
22 AugHGuangzhou E-Power1-5L
15 AugAGuangxi Hengchen0-1L
8 AugHDongguan United3-2W
2 AugASuzhou Dongwu0-1L
26 JulAYanbian Longding1-2L
18 JulHDalian Huayi2-0W

Head to head

6Heilongjiang Lava Spring wins
1draws
0Meizhou Kejia wins

7 meetings · goals 17:9 · last 7: 6W 1D 0L for Heilongjiang Lava Spring

30 May 2026League OneLeague OneMeizhou Kejia2-2Heilongjiang Lava Spring
6 Aug 2021League OneLeague OneMeizhou Kejia2-3Heilongjiang Lava Spring
16 Jul 2021League OneLeague OneHeilongjiang Lava Spring3-2Meizhou Kejia
19 Oct 2019League OneLeague OneMeizhou Kejia1-2Heilongjiang Lava Spring
15 Jun 2019League OneLeague OneHeilongjiang Lava Spring2-1Meizhou Kejia
9 Sep 2018League OneLeague OneMeizhou Kejia1-2Heilongjiang Lava Spring
5 May 2018League OneLeague OneHeilongjiang Lava Spring3-0Meizhou Kejia

League One tableLeague Oneupdated 7 Oct 13:01 UTC

In the League One table, Heilongjiang Lava Spring sit 13th with 24 points from 25 games, while Meizhou Kejia are 15th with 16 points from 25.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Guangzhou E-Power24166248:20+2854
2Guangxi Hengchen24136540:26+1445
3Nantong Zhiyun25129434:20+1445
4Shenzhen Juniors24128439:25+1444
5Shaanxi Union24106838:26+1236
6Yanbian Longding2599734:28+636
7Hebei Kungfu2597923:25-234
8Wuxi Wugou25961038:31+733
9Changchun Yatai251041138:41-330
10Ningbo Professional25951127:31-429
11Dalian Huayi25781030:37-729
12Suzhou Dongwu2579930:35-527
13Heilongjiang Lava Spring25412935:46-1124
14Nanjing City24561320:33-1321
15Meizhou Kejia25741425:50-2516
16Dongguan United24271524:49-2513

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg147%1.90X26%3.40226%3.40

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

5 Oct 15:116 Oct 00:311 1.89X 3.412 3.44
11.76 → 1.89 +7.4%X3.58 → 3.41 -4.7%23.89 → 3.44 -11.6%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.652.206.1%
Pinnacle1.692.136.1%
Betfair1.572.258.1%
1xBet1.632.109.0%
Marathonbet1.632.109.0%
Betano1.532.1811.2%
Best of all books1.692.253.6%
Average1.622.168.2%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.307.2%
Bet3651.622.207.2%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.592.179.0%
Marathonbet1.592.139.8%
Betano1.522.2210.8%
Best of all books1.622.305.2%
Average1.582.198.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Heilongjiang Lava Spring 45%Draw 45%Meizhou Kejia 10%

The statistical model rated Heilongjiang Lava Spring at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Meizhou Kejia at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.90 | 3.40 | 3.40, which imply roughly 52.6% for a Heilongjiang Lava Spring win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the League One table: Heilongjiang Lava Spring are 13th (24 pts, 35-46 goals), Meizhou Kejia 15th (16 pts, 25-50).

Over their last five matches, Heilongjiang Lava Spring averaged 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game; Meizhou Kejia averaged 1.2 scored and 3 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Heilongjiang Lava Spring or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.763.583.89

Double chance

1XX212
1.191.901.22

Draw no bet

12
1.352.92

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.592.19

1st half

1X2
2.272.294.24

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5514.02.46

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0212.4
1.51.184.14
2.51.622.16
3.52.511.46
4.54.381.16
5.57.661.05
6.511.01.02
7.517.0–
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.029.30
1.251.085.45
1.751.213.58
21.283.23
2.251.462.46
2.751.811.89
32.011.70
3.252.321.52
3.752.931.32
43.781.19
4.254.111.16
4.755.451.08
57.401.03

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.921.34
-1.252.651.41
-12.341.54
-0.751.961.75
-0.51.812.01
-0.251.562.29
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-39.251.01
-2.757.001.04
-2.55.581.10
-2.255.271.12
-24.871.14
-1.753.521.24
01.342.96
+0.251.273.36
+0.51.243.90
+0.751.134.95
+11.047.10
+1.51.027.90

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
7.51.154.24
8.51.372.74
9.51.662.07
10.52.021.72
11.52.581.42
12.53.221.26
13.54.581.11
14.56.921.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
71.017.23
81.154.16
8.751.402.56
91.482.47
9.251.562.19
9.751.771.94
101.901.85
10.251.971.70
10.752.041.70
112.171.60
122.921.32
134.221.14
146.501.03