Yelimay Semey vs Aktobe• Premier League, Kazakhstan

#61.2:1.81-3FT10/10 · Stadion Spartak, Semey1.6:1.2#4

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.15BTNX3.681XB23.071XBMargin at best6.3%Books9Markets46Rating50 · 51 levelExp. goals L52.9

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 08:57 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.14	3.68	3.07	6.5%
Betano	2.15	3.45	3.00	8.8%
Dafabet	2.13	3.45	2.95	9.8%
Pinnacle	2.11	3.43	2.94	10.6%
Betfair	2.05	3.60	2.90	11.0%
Bet365	2.15	3.30	2.90	11.3%
William Hill	2.10	3.40	2.90	11.5%
Marathonbet	2.04	3.50	2.92	11.8%
SBO	2.08	3.21	2.78	15.2%
Best of all books	2.15	3.68	3.07	6.3%
Average	2.11	3.45	2.93	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Yelimay SemeyAktobe

Last 10#6Table position#41.52Points per game1.676Form pts · last 5101.2Goals for · last 51.61.8Goals against · last 51.243Attack rating5740Defence rating6041Form rating5960H2H rating4051Goals model4950Overall rating51

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 13:10 UTC

Yelimay Semey

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	H	Aktobe	1-3	L
17 Sep	A	FK Tobol Kostanay	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Zhetysu	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	FC Astana	0-4	L
31 Aug	H	Kairat Almaty	0-2	L
16 Aug	A	Kaspiy	2-2	D
9 Aug	H	Irtysh	3-1	W
2 Aug	A	Zhenys	0-0	D
26 Jul	H	Kaisar	1-1	D
19 Jul	A	Ordabasy	1-3	L

Aktobe

6W 2D 2L · goals 19:14 · per match 1.9 for, 1.4 against

10 Oct	A	Yelimay Semey	3-1	W
18 Sep	H	Ulytau	2-2	D
12 Sep	A	Kaspiy	2-1	W
5 Sep	H	Zhenys	1-0	W
30 Aug	A	Irtysh	1-2	L
15 Aug	A	Kaisar	2-1	W
9 Aug	A	Atyrau	1-1	D
1 Aug	A	Kyzyl-Zhar	1-3	L
25 Jul	H	Okzhetpes	2-1	W
19 Jul	A	Altay	4-2	W

Head to head

4Yelimay Semey wins

1draws

3Aktobe wins

8 meetings · goals 14:11 · last 8: 4W 1D 3L for Yelimay Semey

30 Apr 2026Cup	Cup	Aktobe2-1Yelimay Semey
21 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Aktobe1-4Yelimay Semey
10 Aug 2025Premier League	Premier League	Yelimay Semey2-1Aktobe
11 May 2025Premier League	Premier League	Aktobe1-0Yelimay Semey
31 Aug 2024Premier League	Premier League	Aktobe1-3Yelimay Semey
19 Jun 2024Cup	Cup	Yelimay Semey2-1Aktobe
16 Jun 2024Premier League	Premier League	Yelimay Semey2-2Aktobe
29 May 2024Cup	Cup	Aktobe2-0Yelimay Semey

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 14 Oct 18:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Yelimay Semey sit 6th with 41 points from 27 games, while Aktobe are 4th with 45 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	52:19	+33	61
2	Kairat Almaty	26	18	6	2	52:19	+33	60
3	FC Astana	26	14	6	6	43:27	+16	48
4	Aktobe	27	13	6	8	41:32	+9	45
5	Okzhetpes	27	13	6	8	41:37	+4	45
6	Yelimay Semey	27	11	8	8	38:37	+1	41
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	27	11	4	12	35:36	-1	37
8	Ulytau	27	9	8	10	26:32	-6	35
9	Zhenys	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
10	Kaspiy	27	9	5	13	29:37	-8	32
11	Kyzyl-Zhar	27	7	7	13	30:39	-9	28
12	Atyrau	26	5	11	10	21:28	-7	26
13	Irtysh	27	6	8	13	26:37	-11	26
14	Kaisar	27	4	12	11	23:37	-14	24
15	Altay	27	5	8	14	26:40	-14	23
16	Zhetysu	27	5	7	15	26:45	-19	22

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg143%2.11X26%3.45231%2.93

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.3% margin.

1X2 since open average price

11.94 → 2.10 +8.2%X4.04 → 3.45 -14.6%23.11 → 2.93 -5.8%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.70	2.10	6.4%
1xBet	1.65	2.18	6.5%
Pinnacle	1.64	2.16	7.3%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.13	9.1%
Betano	1.62	2.10	9.3%
Best of all books	1.70	2.20	4.3%
Average	1.64	2.15	7.7%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.55	2.30	8.0%
Betfair	1.57	2.25	8.1%
1xBet	1.52	2.34	8.5%
Marathonbet	1.52	2.30	9.3%
Betano	1.53	2.27	9.4%
Best of all books	1.57	2.34	6.4%
Average	1.54	2.29	8.6%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Yelimay Semey 35%Draw 35%Aktobe 30%

The statistical model rated Yelimay Semey at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Aktobe at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.11 | 3.45 | 2.93, which imply roughly 47.4% for a Yelimay Semey win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Yelimay Semey are 6th (41 pts, 38-37 goals), Aktobe 4th (45 pts, 41-32).

Over their last five matches, Yelimay Semey averaged 1.2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game; Aktobe averaged 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Yelimay Semey or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.11	3.45	2.93

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.32	1.63	1.24

Draw no bet

1	2
1.59	2.22

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.54	2.29

1st half

1	X	2
2.61	2.25	3.39

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
1.76	14.0	2.11

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	13.1
1.5	1.17	4.23
2.5	1.64	2.15
3.5	2.54	1.43
4.5	4.55	1.14
5.5	8.43	1.05

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.01	9.70
1.25	1.06	6.06
1.75	1.18	3.84
2	1.25	3.35
2.25	1.44	2.56
2.75	1.80	1.93
3	2.02	1.68
3.25	2.28	1.52
3.75	2.97	1.30
4	3.92	1.18
4.25	4.30	1.15
4.75	5.90	1.07
5	8.40	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.75	2.39	1.47
-0.5	2.09	1.67
-0.25	1.87	1.88
0	1.59	2.24
+0.25	1.42	2.53
+0.5	1.36	2.89

11 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	8.30	1.01
-2	7.40	1.03
-1.75	4.95	1.11
-1.5	3.85	1.18
-1.25	3.42	1.23
-1	3.04	1.30
+0.75	1.21	3.58
+1	1.09	5.30
+1.25	1.07	5.80
+1.5	1.06	6.25
+1.75	1.01	8.50

Corners 2-Way

Line	Over	Under
8.5	1.67	2.10
9	1.90	1.90