Ulytau vs Okzhetpes• Premier League, Kazakhstan

#81.4:2.22-0FT11/10 · Stadion Metallurg, Zhezqazghan2.2:1.2#5

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.30B365X3.86PIN22.041XBMargin at best5.2%Books9Markets46Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L53.5

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Oct 08:45 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.20	3.82	2.04	6.4%
Betano	3.25	3.70	1.95	9.1%
Pinnacle	3.16	3.86	1.93	9.4%
Dafabet	3.25	3.50	1.97	10.1%
Bet365	3.30	3.60	1.90	10.7%
Betfair	3.10	3.60	1.95	11.3%
Marathonbet	3.05	3.64	1.94	11.8%
William Hill	3.10	3.50	1.95	12.1%
SBO	3.09	3.21	1.94	15.1%
Best of all books	3.30	3.86	2.04	5.2%
Average	3.17	3.60	1.95	10.6%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

UlytauOkzhetpes

Last 10#8Table position#51.30Points per game1.674Form pts · last 591.4Goals for · last 52.22.2Goals against · last 51.239Attack rating6135Defence rating6525Form rating7529H2H rating7152Goals model4837Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 11 Oct 07:50 UTC

Ulytau

2W 3D 5L · goals 11:17 · per match 1.1 for, 1.7 against

18 Sep	A	Aktobe	2-2	D
13 Sep	H	Altay	0-3	L
6 Sep	A	FK Tobol Kostanay	1-3	L
29 Aug	H	Zhetysu	3-0	W
15 Aug	A	Kairat Almaty	1-3	L
8 Aug	A	Kaspiy	1-1	D
2 Aug	H	FC Astana	0-2	L
25 Jul	H	Irtysh	1-2	L
18 Jul	A	Zhenys	1-1	D
12 Jul	H	Kaisar	1-0	W

Okzhetpes

6W 0D 4L · goals 19:13 · per match 1.9 for, 1.3 against

11 Oct	A	Ulytau	0-2	L
18 Sep	H	Zhenys	3-1	W
13 Sep	A	Irtysh	1-2	L
5 Sep	H	Ordabasy	2-1	W
29 Aug	A	Kaisar	3-2	W
16 Aug	A	Atyrau	2-0	W
9 Aug	A	FC Astana	1-2	L
2 Aug	H	Altay	4-1	W
25 Jul	A	Aktobe	1-2	L
18 Jul	H	Zhetysu	2-0	W

Head to head

1Ulytau wins

1draws

3Okzhetpes wins

5 meetings · goals 4:5 · last 5: 1W 1D 3L for Ulytau

21 Mar 2026Premier League	Premier League	Okzhetpes2-1Ulytau
19 Jul 2025Premier League	Premier League	Okzhetpes1-0Ulytau
19 Apr 2025Premier League	Premier League	Ulytau0-1Okzhetpes
15 Aug 20241. Division	1. Division	Ulytau2-0Okzhetpes
31 May 20241. Division	1. Division	Okzhetpes1-1Ulytau

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 14 Oct 18:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Ulytau sit 8th with 35 points from 27 games, while Okzhetpes are 5th with 45 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	52:19	+33	61
2	Kairat Almaty	26	18	6	2	52:19	+33	60
3	FC Astana	26	14	6	6	43:27	+16	48
4	Aktobe	27	13	6	8	41:32	+9	45
5	Okzhetpes	27	13	6	8	41:37	+4	45
6	Yelimay Semey	27	11	8	8	38:37	+1	41
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	27	11	4	12	35:36	-1	37
8	Ulytau	27	9	8	10	26:32	-6	35
9	Zhenys	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
10	Kaspiy	27	9	5	13	29:37	-8	32
11	Kyzyl-Zhar	27	7	7	13	30:39	-9	28
12	Atyrau	26	5	11	10	21:28	-7	26
13	Irtysh	27	6	8	13	26:37	-11	26
14	Kaisar	27	4	12	11	23:37	-14	24
15	Altay	27	5	8	14	26:40	-14	23
16	Zhetysu	27	5	7	15	26:45	-19	22

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg129%3.17X25%3.60246%1.95

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.2% margin.

1X2 since open average price

12.67 → 3.17 +18.7%X3.99 → 3.60 -9.8%22.17 → 1.95 -10.1%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
1xBet	1.71	2.08	6.6%
Pinnacle	1.70	2.09	6.7%
Betano	1.72	2.02	7.6%
Betfair	1.65	2.10	8.2%
Marathonbet	1.67	2.03	9.1%
Best of all books	1.75	2.10	4.8%
Average	1.70	2.06	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
William Hill	1.62	2.20	7.2%
Betfair	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.59	2.19	8.6%
Betano	1.65	2.07	8.9%
Marathonbet	1.59	2.15	9.4%
Best of all books	1.65	2.20	6.1%
Average	1.61	2.16	8.4%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Ulytau 10%Draw 45%Okzhetpes 45%

The statistical model rated Ulytau at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Okzhetpes at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 3.17 | 3.60 | 1.95, which imply roughly 27.8% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Ulytau are 8th (35 pts, 26-32 goals), Okzhetpes 5th (45 pts, 41-37).

Over their last five matches, Ulytau averaged 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per game; Okzhetpes averaged 2.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Okzhetpes.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
3.17	3.60	1.95

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.70	1.29	1.23

Draw no bet

1	2
2.34	1.52

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.61	2.16

1st half

1	X	2
3.54	2.26	2.53

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.20	13.8	1.71

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.02	11.3
1.5	1.20	3.85
2.5	1.70	2.06
3.5	2.72	1.38
4.5	4.99	1.12
5.5	8.80	1.03

13 more lines

Line	Over	Under
1	1.02	8.70
1.25	1.08	5.50
1.75	1.22	3.50
2	1.29	3.11
2.25	1.50	2.41
2.75	1.89	1.85
3	2.12	1.63
3.25	2.44	1.46
3.75	3.20	1.26
4	4.30	1.15
4.25	4.64	1.12
4.75	6.30	1.06
5	9.00	1.01

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.89	1.38
-0.25	2.66	1.43
0	2.35	1.55
+0.25	1.99	1.74
+0.5	1.82	1.95
+0.75	1.56	2.33

14 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2.5	9.70	1.01
-2	9.50	1.01
-1.75	8.12	1.04
-1.5	6.20	1.08
-1.25	5.70	1.10
-1	5.23	1.12
-0.75	3.47	1.26
+1	1.35	2.88
+1.25	1.29	3.25
+1.5	1.22	3.65
+1.75	1.14	4.70
+2	1.06	6.77
+2.25	1.10	6.80
+2.5	1.03	7.60