OddsFilter

FK Tobol Kostanay vs FC Astana• Premier League, Kazakhstan

#72.0:1.42-1FT10/10 · Centralnyj Stadion, Kostanay1.8:0.8#3

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.01PINX3.661XB22.181XBMargin at best6.4%Books9Markets44Rating52 · 48 levelExp. goals L53.0

Price board · 1X2captured 10 Oct 08:57 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet3.003.662.186.5%
Betano3.003.402.188.6%
Dafabet2.903.402.1510.4%
Pinnacle3.033.332.1110.4%
Betfair2.803.502.1510.8%
Bet3652.903.402.1011.5%
William Hill2.883.402.1011.8%
Marathonbet2.863.482.0811.8%
SBO2.783.222.0815.1%
Best of all books3.033.662.186.2%
Average2.913.422.1310.7%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

FK Tobol KostanayFC Astana
Last 10#7Table position#31.37Points per game1.859Form pts · last 592.0Goals for · last 51.81.4Goals against · last 50.853Attack rating4736Defence rating6447Form rating5360H2H rating4063Goals model3752Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 18:31 UTC

FK Tobol Kostanay

5W 0D 5L · goals 15:15 · per match 1.5 for, 1.5 against

10 OctHFC Astana2-1W
17 SepHYelimay Semey0-2L
13 SepAKairat Almaty4-1W
6 SepHUlytau3-1W
30 AugAKaspiy0-1L
25 AugHKaisar3-2W
16 AugAIrtysh2-0W
13 AugHFK Partizan1-2L
6 AugAFK Partizan0-3L
2 AugAOrdabasy0-2L

FC Astana

6W 1D 3L · goals 19:12 · per match 1.9 for, 1.2 against

10 OctAFK Tobol Kostanay1-2L
17 SepHKairat Almaty1-0W
12 SepAOrdabasy0-1L
6 SepHYelimay Semey4-0W
30 AugAAtyrau3-2W
16 AugAKyzyl-Zhar1-1D
9 AugHOkzhetpes2-1W
2 AugAUlytau2-0W
26 JulHAltay4-1W
16 JulHDinamo Tirana1-4L

Head to head

9FK Tobol Kostanay wins
11draws
15FC Astana wins

35 meetings · goals 37:44 · last 10: 5W 1D 4L for FK Tobol Kostanay

29 Apr 2026CupCupFC Astana1-2FK Tobol Kostanay
20 Mar 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Astana2-0FK Tobol Kostanay
19 Sep 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFK Tobol Kostanay2-3FC Astana
10 May 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Astana1-3FK Tobol Kostanay
3 Nov 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFK Tobol Kostanay1-0FC Astana
8 May 2024CupCupFK Tobol Kostanay1-0FC Astana
21 Apr 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Astana2-2FK Tobol Kostanay
16 Sep 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Astana2-1FK Tobol Kostanay
9 Apr 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFK Tobol Kostanay0-1FC Astana
14 Sep 2022Premier LeaguePremier LeagueFC Astana1-2FK Tobol Kostanay

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 14 Oct 18:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, FK Tobol Kostanay sit 7th with 37 points from 27 games, while FC Astana are 3rd with 48 points from 26.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Ordabasy26194352:19+3361
2Kairat Almaty26186252:19+3360
3FC Astana26146643:27+1648
4Aktobe27136841:32+945
5Okzhetpes27136841:37+445
6Yelimay Semey27118838:37+141
7FK Tobol Kostanay271141235:36-137
8Ulytau27981026:32-635
9Zhenys27881127:34-732
10Kaspiy27951329:37-832
11Kyzyl-Zhar27771330:39-928
12Atyrau265111021:28-726
13Irtysh27681326:37-1126
14Kaisar274121123:37-1424
15Altay27581426:40-1423
16Zhetysu27571526:45-1922

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.91X26%3.42242%2.13

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 6.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

7 Oct 00:0210 Oct 03:401 2.91X 3.402 2.13
12.73 → 2.91 +6.6%X4.11 → 3.40 -17.3%22.11 → 2.13 +0.9%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Bet3651.752.055.9%
1xBet1.722.076.4%
Pinnacle1.722.037.4%
Betfair1.652.108.2%
Betano1.702.028.3%
Marathonbet1.682.029.0%
Best of all books1.752.104.8%
Average1.702.057.5%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Betfair1.572.258.1%
William Hill1.622.158.2%
1xBet1.572.238.5%
Betano1.572.209.1%
Marathonbet1.572.199.4%
Best of all books1.622.256.2%
Average1.582.208.7%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

FK Tobol Kostanay 45%Draw 45%FC Astana 10%

The statistical model rated FK Tobol Kostanay at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and FC Astana at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.91 | 3.42 | 2.13, which imply roughly 34.4% for a FK Tobol Kostanay win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: FK Tobol Kostanay are 7th (37 pts, 35-36 goals), FC Astana 3rd (48 pts, 43-27).

Over their last five matches, FK Tobol Kostanay averaged 2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; FC Astana averaged 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : FK Tobol Kostanay or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
2.913.422.13

Double chance

1XX212
1.611.331.25

Draw no bet

12
2.181.61

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.582.20

1st half

1X2
3.422.212.67

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
2.1012.91.78

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0112.1
1.51.193.87
2.51.702.05
3.52.731.38
4.55.051.12
5.58.971.04
12 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.019.50
1.251.085.55
1.751.223.50
21.293.07
2.251.512.38
2.751.881.85
32.161.58
3.252.441.45
3.753.281.25
44.401.14
4.254.751.12
4.756.601.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-0.52.971.34
-0.252.551.45
02.211.60
+0.251.851.87
+0.51.672.10
+0.751.462.43
12 more lines
LineHomeAway
-29.901.01
-1.758.481.01
-1.56.251.06
-1.255.751.07
-15.251.09
-0.753.501.22
+11.283.15
+1.251.213.58
+1.51.164.05
+1.751.095.30
+21.028.00
+2.51.019.00

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
9.51.921.81