Atyrau vs Yelimay Semey• Premier League, Kazakhstan

#121.0:1.61-2FTToday · Turkestan Arena, Turkestan1.0:2.0#6

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

13.061XBX3.551XB22.26DAFMargin at best5.1%Books9Markets49Rating53 · 48 levelExp. goals L52.8

Price board · 1X2captured 14 Oct 08:16 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	3.06	3.55	2.20	6.3%
Betano	2.87	3.35	2.25	9.1%
Dafabet	2.80	3.35	2.26	9.8%
Pinnacle	2.86	3.32	2.20	10.5%
Betfair	2.80	3.40	2.20	10.6%
Marathonbet	2.91	3.38	2.09	11.8%
Bet365	2.70	3.40	2.20	11.9%
William Hill	2.80	3.20	2.20	12.4%
SBO	2.72	3.07	2.09	17.2%
Best of all books	3.06	3.55	2.26	5.1%
Average	2.84	3.34	2.19	11.0%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

AtyrauYelimay Semey

Last 10#12Table position#61.00Points per game1.526Form pts · last 561.0Goals for · last 51.01.6Goals against · last 52.050Attack rating5056Defence rating4450Form rating5071H2H rating2930Goals model7053Overall rating48

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 14 Oct 13:10 UTC

Atyrau

2W 2D 6L · goals 8:16 · per match 0.8 for, 1.6 against

10 Oct	A	Zhenys	2-1	W
17 Sep	H	Ordabasy	0-3	L
12 Sep	A	Kaisar	0-1	L
5 Sep	A	Kyzyl-Zhar	1-0	W
30 Aug	H	FC Astana	2-3	L
16 Aug	H	Okzhetpes	0-2	L
9 Aug	H	Aktobe	1-1	D
1 Aug	H	Zhetysu	1-1	D
26 Jul	A	FK Tobol Kostanay	0-1	L
18 Jul	H	Kairat Almaty	1-3	L

Yelimay Semey

3W 3D 4L · goals 12:17 · per match 1.2 for, 1.7 against

10 Oct	H	Aktobe	1-3	L
17 Sep	A	FK Tobol Kostanay	2-0	W
12 Sep	H	Zhetysu	2-1	W
6 Sep	A	FC Astana	0-4	L
31 Aug	H	Kairat Almaty	0-2	L
16 Aug	A	Kaspiy	2-2	D
9 Aug	H	Irtysh	3-1	W
2 Aug	A	Zhenys	0-0	D
26 Jul	H	Kaisar	1-1	D
19 Jul	A	Ordabasy	1-3	L

Head to head

3Atyrau wins

1draws

1Yelimay Semey wins

5 meetings · goals 7:5 · last 5: 3W 1D 1L for Atyrau

21 Jun 2026Premier League	Premier League	Yelimay Semey1-2Atyrau
26 Oct 2025Premier League	Premier League	Yelimay Semey3-2Atyrau
1 Mar 2025Premier League	Premier League	Atyrau2-1Yelimay Semey
26 Oct 2024Premier League	Premier League	Atyrau1-0Yelimay Semey
2 Mar 2024Premier League	Premier League	Yelimay Semey0-0Atyrau

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 14 Oct 18:20 UTC

In the Premier League table, Atyrau sit 12th with 26 points from 26 games, while Yelimay Semey are 6th with 41 points from 27.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Ordabasy	26	19	4	3	52:19	+33	61
2	Kairat Almaty	26	18	6	2	52:19	+33	60
3	FC Astana	26	14	6	6	43:27	+16	48
4	Aktobe	27	13	6	8	41:32	+9	45
5	Okzhetpes	27	13	6	8	41:37	+4	45
6	Yelimay Semey	27	11	8	8	38:37	+1	41
7	FK Tobol Kostanay	27	11	4	12	35:36	-1	37
8	Ulytau	27	9	8	10	26:32	-6	35
9	Zhenys	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
10	Kaspiy	27	9	5	13	29:37	-8	32
11	Kyzyl-Zhar	27	7	7	13	30:39	-9	28
12	Atyrau	26	5	11	10	21:28	-7	26
13	Irtysh	27	6	8	13	26:37	-11	26
14	Kaisar	27	4	12	11	23:37	-14	24
15	Altay	27	5	8	14	26:40	-14	23
16	Zhetysu	27	5	7	15	26:45	-19	22

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg131%2.92X28%3.26241%2.19

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 5.1% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.82 → 2.84 -25.7%X3.42 → 3.34 -2.3%21.96 → 2.19 +11.7%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Bet365	1.75	2.05	5.9%
SBO	1.75	2.03	6.4%
1xBet	1.78	1.99	6.4%
Pinnacle	1.75	1.99	7.4%
Betfair	1.73	2.00	7.8%
Betano	1.75	1.95	8.4%
Marathonbet	1.74	1.94	9.0%
Best of all books	1.78	2.05	5.0%
Average	1.75	1.99	7.3%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
Betfair	1.57	2.30	7.2%
William Hill	1.60	2.20	8.0%
1xBet	1.61	2.16	8.4%
Betano	1.60	2.15	9.0%
Marathonbet	1.61	2.12	9.3%
Best of all books	1.61	2.30	5.6%
Average	1.60	2.19	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Atyrau 35%Draw 35%Yelimay Semey 30%

The statistical model rated Atyrau at 35% to win, the draw at 35% and Yelimay Semey at 30% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.92 | 3.26 | 2.19, which imply roughly 34.2% for a Atyrau win versus the model's 35%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Atyrau are 12th (26 pts, 21-28 goals), Yelimay Semey 6th (41 pts, 38-37).

Over their last five matches, Atyrau averaged 1 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game; Yelimay Semey averaged 1 scored and 2 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Atyrau or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.84	3.34	2.19

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.62	1.32	1.25

Draw no bet

1	2
2.32	1.56

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.60	2.19

1st half

1	X	2
3.45	2.18	2.67

2nd half

1	X	2
3.14	2.49	2.52

HT/FT

HT / FT	FT 1	FT X	FT 2
HT 1	4.87	14.2	23.4
HT X	7.06	5.58	5.37
HT 2	27.4	13.4	3.35

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.19	12.0	1.75

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.04	9.90
1.5	1.22	3.75
2.5	1.75	1.99
3.5	2.83	1.36
4.5	5.15	1.12
5.5	9.73	1.04

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.70
1	–	9.30
1.25	1.10	5.10
1.75	1.25	3.28
2	1.33	2.91
2.25	1.55	2.29
2.75	1.92	1.75
3	2.25	1.54
3.25	2.53	1.42
3.75	3.42	1.23
4	4.55	1.13
4.25	4.90	1.11
4.75	6.65	1.05
5	9.30	–

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.80	1.38
-0.25	2.52	1.46
0	2.19	1.61
+0.25	1.82	1.90
+0.5	1.72	2.06
+0.75	1.44	2.47

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-1.75	8.18	1.02
-1.5	6.15	1.06
-1.25	5.70	1.08
-1	5.25	1.09
-0.75	3.58	1.21
+1	1.27	3.19
+1.25	1.26	3.34
+1.5	1.17	3.98
+1.75	1.10	5.10
+2	1.03	7.60
+2.25	1.05	6.55
+2.5	1.01	8.50