Naftan vs Belshina• Premier League, Belarus

#160.8:2.412:00Tomorrow · Atlant Stadium, Novopolotsk1.2:1.0#13

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

12.68MARX3.40PIN22.46MARMargin at best7.4%Books4Markets44Rating37 · 63Exp. goals L52.7

Price board · 1X2captured 9 Oct 20:41 UTC

Bookmaker	1	X	2	Margin
1xBet	2.68	3.38	2.46	7.5%
Marathonbet	2.68	3.38	2.46	7.5%
Dafabet	2.65	3.40	2.44	8.1%
Pinnacle	2.57	3.38	2.46	9.1%
Best of all books	2.68	3.40	2.46	7.4%
Average	2.65	3.38	2.46	8.1%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

NaftanBelshina

Last 10#16Table position#130.61Points per game0.954Form pts · last 560.8Goals for · last 51.22.4Goals against · last 51.040Attack rating6029Defence rating7140Form rating6029H2H rating7157Goals model4337Overall rating63

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:21 UTC

Naftan

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:25 · per match 1.2 for, 2.5 against

19 Sep	A	Slavia Mozyr	1-0	W
13 Sep	A	Bate Borisov	2-2	D
6 Sep	H	FC Minsk	0-3	L
2 Sep	A	Dinamo Minsk	1-5	L
28 Aug	A	FC Vitebsk	0-2	L
22 Aug	H	Neman	0-2	L
15 Aug	A	FC Gomel	0-6	L
7 Aug	H	Arsenal	3-0	W
31 Jul	A	FC Dnepr Mogilev	3-3	D
19 Jul	A	Orsha	2-2	D

Belshina

2W 4D 4L · goals 10:13 · per match 1.0 for, 1.3 against

2 Oct	A	FC Gomel	0-1	L
18 Sep	H	FC Minsk	2-0	W
12 Sep	A	FC Vitebsk	1-1	D
6 Sep	H	Neman	2-2	D
2 Sep	A	ML Vitebsk	1-1	D
28 Aug	A	FC Gomel	0-1	L
22 Aug	H	Arsenal	2-0	W
14 Aug	A	FC Dnepr Mogilev	1-1	D
2 Aug	A	Dinamo Brest	0-4	L
25 Jul	H	FC Minsk	1-2	L

Head to head

5Naftan wins

8draws

10Belshina wins

23 meetings · goals 26:35 · last 10: 3W 3D 4L for Naftan

23 May 2026Premier League	Premier League	Belshina5-1Naftan
30 Sep 2023Premier League	Premier League	Belshina0-3Naftan
14 May 2023Premier League	Premier League	Naftan0-1Belshina
25 Sep 20211. Division	1. Division	Belshina4-0Naftan
4 Aug 20211. Division	1. Division	Naftan0-0Belshina
24 Apr 20211. Division	1. Division	Belshina1-1Naftan
2 Nov 20191. Division	1. Division	Belshina1-3Naftan
29 Jun 20191. Division	1. Division	Naftan1-5Belshina
1 Sep 20181. Division	1. Division	Belshina1-1Naftan
5 May 20181. Division	1. Division	Naftan1-0Belshina

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Premier League table, Naftan sit 16th with 14 points from 23 games, while Belshina are 13th with 21 points from 22.

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	FC Isloch Minsk R.	22	13	6	3	37:18	+19	45
2	ML Vitebsk	21	12	8	1	42:17	+25	44
3	Dinamo Minsk	21	13	4	4	37:16	+21	43
4	Dinamo Brest	24	13	4	7	39:23	+16	43
5	FC Gomel	23	11	6	6	33:18	+15	39
6	Neman	22	11	4	7	26:20	+6	37
7	FC Vitebsk	23	10	6	7	28:21	+7	36
8	FC Minsk	23	10	4	9	30:28	+2	34
9	Torpedo Zhodino	22	7	6	9	28:29	-1	27
10	Slavia Mozyr	22	6	7	9	23:26	-3	25
11	Baranovichi	23	6	7	10	24:38	-14	25
12	Arsenal	24	5	8	11	24:42	-18	23
13	Belshina	22	5	6	11	22:36	-14	21
14	Bate Borisov	22	3	9	10	16:27	-11	18
15	FC Dnepr Mogilev	23	2	10	11	20:36	-16	16
16	Naftan	23	3	5	15	20:54	-34	14

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg135%2.64X27%3.39238%2.46

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 7.4% margin.

1X2 since open average price

13.13 → 2.64 -15.7%X3.42 → 3.39 -0.9%22.17 → 2.46 +13.4%

Over / Under 2.5

Bookmaker	Over	Under	Margin
Pinnacle	1.89	1.89	5.8%
1xBet	1.85	1.89	7.0%
Marathonbet	1.85	1.89	7.0%
Best of all books	1.89	1.89	5.8%
Average	1.86	1.89	6.6%

Both teams to score

Bookmaker	Yes	No	Margin
1xBet	1.65	2.11	8.0%
Marathonbet	1.65	2.08	8.7%
Best of all books	1.65	2.11	8.0%
Average	1.65	2.09	8.3%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Naftan 10%Draw 45%Belshina 45%

The statistical model rates Naftan at 10% to win, the draw at 45% and Belshina at 45% — against average 1X2 odds of 2.64 | 3.39 | 2.46, which imply roughly 29.5% for the draw versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Naftan are 16th (14 pts, 20-54 goals), Belshina 13th (21 pts, 22-36).

Over their last five matches, Naftan averaged 0.8 goals scored and 2.4 conceded per game; Belshina averaged 1.2 scored and 1 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : draw or Belshina.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1	X	2
2.65	3.39	2.46

Double chance

1X	X2	12
1.50	1.43	1.28

Both teams to score

Yes	No
1.65	2.09

1st half

1	X	2
3.30	2.11	3.05

First team to score

Home	No Goal	Away
2.01	12.3	1.91

Match goals

Line	Over	Under
0.5	1.01	9.07
1.5	1.22	3.50
2.5	1.86	1.89
3.5	3.04	1.29
4.5	5.95	1.07
5.5	9.80	1.01

14 more lines

Line	Over	Under
0.75	1.01	8.50
1	–	9.00
1.25	1.11	4.85
1.75	1.30	3.11
2	1.38	2.71
2.25	1.62	2.18
2.75	2.09	1.68
3	2.46	1.46
3.25	2.76	1.36
3.75	3.75	1.19
4	5.15	1.10
4.25	5.55	1.08
4.75	8.25	1.02
5	8.00	1.04

Asian handicap

Line	Home	Away
-0.5	2.52	1.47
-0.25	2.25	1.58
0	1.94	1.81
+0.25	1.65	2.08
+0.5	1.51	2.43
+0.75	1.34	2.87

12 more lines

Line	Home	Away
-2	10.5	1.01
-1.75	7.40	1.03
-1.5	5.50	1.08
-1.25	5.05	1.10
-1	4.55	1.13
-0.75	3.12	1.29
+1	1.21	3.78
+1.25	1.14	4.46
+1.5	1.11	4.95
+1.75	1.06	6.80
+2	1.03	8.70
+2.5	1.01	9.40