OddsFilter

Bate Borisov vs Naftan• Premier League, Belarus

#140.6:0.82-2FT13/09 · Borisov Arena, Barysaw0.2:3.6#16

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.40AVGX4.21AVG26.86AVGMargin9.8%Books2Markets49Rating78 · 22Exp. goals L52.6

Price board · 1X2captured 11 Sep 20:45 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.414.507.386.7%
Marathonbet1.404.507.407.2%
Best of all books1.414.507.406.7%
Average1.404.507.396.9%

Best price per column is highlighted. These are the last prices captured before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Bate BorisovNaftan
Last 10#14Table position#160.82Points per game0.611Form pts · last 540.6Goals for · last 50.20.8Goals against · last 53.675Attack rating2582Defence rating18100Form rating085H2H rating1572Goals model2878Overall rating22

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 9 Oct 19:21 UTC

Bate Borisov

2W 3D 5L · goals 7:15 · per match 0.7 for, 1.5 against

4 OctAZenit0-1L
19 SepADinamo Minsk0-2L
13 SepHNaftan2-2D
7 SepADinamo Brest0-1L
3 SepAFC Isloch Minsk R.0-2L
30 AugHFC Minsk2-1W
23 AugAML Vitebsk0-0D
15 AugHFC Vitebsk1-0W
9 AugABaranovichi2-2D
30 JulAFC Sion0-4L

Naftan

2W 3D 5L · goals 12:25 · per match 1.2 for, 2.5 against

19 SepASlavia Mozyr1-0W
13 SepABate Borisov2-2D
6 SepHFC Minsk0-3L
2 SepADinamo Minsk1-5L
28 AugAFC Vitebsk0-2L
22 AugHNeman0-2L
15 AugAFC Gomel0-6L
7 AugHArsenal3-0W
31 JulAFC Dnepr Mogilev3-3D
19 JulAOrsha2-2D

Head to head

15Bate Borisov wins
7draws
3Naftan wins

25 meetings · goals 66:21 · last 10: 5W 4D 1L for Bate Borisov

10 May 2026Premier LeaguePremier LeagueNaftan0-0Bate Borisov
23 Nov 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBate Borisov5-0Naftan
25 Jul 2025CoppaCoppaNaftan3-4Bate Borisov
29 Jun 2025Premier LeaguePremier LeagueNaftan2-2Bate Borisov
1 Feb 2025Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBate Borisov4-0Naftan
10 Aug 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBate Borisov1-1Naftan
30 Mar 2024Premier LeaguePremier LeagueNaftan0-0Bate Borisov
12 Nov 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueNaftan0-7Bate Borisov
25 Jun 2023Premier LeaguePremier LeagueBate Borisov1-2Naftan
22 Feb 2023Friendlies ClubsFriendlies ClubsBate Borisov3-0Naftan

Premier League tablePremier Leagueupdated 9 Oct 20:11 UTC

In the Premier League table, Bate Borisov sit 14th with 18 points from 22 games, while Naftan are 16th with 14 points from 23.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1FC Isloch Minsk R.22136337:18+1945
2ML Vitebsk21128142:17+2544
3Dinamo Minsk21134437:16+2143
4Dinamo Brest24134739:23+1643
5FC Gomel23116633:18+1539
6Neman22114726:20+637
7FC Vitebsk23106728:21+736
8FC Minsk23104930:28+234
9Torpedo Zhodino2276928:29-127
10Slavia Mozyr2267923:26-325
11Baranovichi23671024:38-1425
12Arsenal24581124:42-1823
13Belshina22561122:36-1421
14Bate Borisov22391016:27-1118
15FC Dnepr Mogilev232101120:36-1616
16Naftan23351520:54-3414

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg165%1.40X22%4.21213%6.86

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 9.8% margin.

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
1xBet1.891.886.1%
Marathonbet1.891.886.1%
Best of all books1.891.886.1%
Average1.891.886.1%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
1xBet2.101.667.9%
Marathonbet2.101.648.6%
Best of all books2.101.667.9%
Average2.101.658.2%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Bate Borisov 50%Draw 50%Naftan 0%

The statistical model rated Bate Borisov at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Naftan at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.21 | 6.86, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Bate Borisov win versus the model's 50%.

Form context from the Premier League table: Bate Borisov are 14th (18 pts, 16-27 goals), Naftan 16th (14 pts, 20-54).

Over their last five matches, Bate Borisov averaged 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Naftan averaged 0.2 scored and 3.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Bate Borisov or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

Starting Lineups

Bate Borisov

4-2-3-1

Coach: V. Rogozhkin

Goalkeeper

  • 16D. Sokol

Defence

  • 7V. Angban
  • 33Artem Rakhmanov
  • 28I. Mikhnyuk
  • 17Y. Kovalev

Midfield

  • 25N. Neskoromny
  • 26V. Varaksa
  • 88P. Dubovskiy
  • 52E. Kress
  • 13Y. Khramtsevich

Attack

  • 37E. Puerto
Substitutes (10)
  • 42A. Zhurin
  • 23N. Bochko
  • 30T. Gagloev
  • 18P. Kolosovskiy
  • 6H. Moussakhanian
  • 47A. Sakhonchik
  • 5M. Sakuta
  • 35A. Skopets
  • 21M. Titov
  • 24V. Yatskevich

Naftan

4-2-3-1

Coach: Aleksandr Khrapkovskiy

Goalkeeper

  • 16D. Sadovskiy

Defence

  • 97V. Chernyavskiy
  • 8A. Stefanishin
  • 5Andrey Lebedev
  • 24I. Seleznev

Midfield

  • 50G. Mafwenta
  • 6K. Adamovich
  • 69Roman khadzhiev
  • 9V. Yakovlev
  • 11I. Pranovich

Attack

  • 30Marlen Aymanov
Substitutes (7)
  • 88A. Drabatovich
  • 22V. Fezhenko
  • 57T. Galimzyanov
  • 13A. Kharitonovich
  • 17V. Krolik
  • 10A. Savitskiy
  • 94A. Voskoboynikov

Match Statistics

Bate BorisovNaftan
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards0
2Shots on Goal3
8Corner Kicks4
49%Ball Possession51%
2Shots off Goal3
0Blocked Shots0
4Total Shots6

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.404.507.39

Double chance

1XX212
1.072.801.18

Both teams to score

YesNo
2.101.65

1st half

1X2
1.912.336.76

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.389.303.68

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.5–9.30
1.51.253.30
2.51.891.88
3.53.121.28
4.55.751.07
5.59.301.02
13 more lines
LineOverUnder
0.751.018.65
11.028.10
1.251.134.50
1.751.332.96
21.422.59
2.251.662.13
2.752.091.65
32.521.44
3.252.811.35
3.753.801.19
45.101.10
4.255.451.08
57.601.04

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-23.201.26
-1.752.541.42
-1.52.171.57
-1.251.931.78
-11.672.13
-0.751.472.43
9 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.57.801.02
-37.101.04
-2.755.001.10
-2.53.951.17
-2.253.581.21
-0.251.233.49
01.095.25
+0.251.075.75
+0.751.018.40