Beijing Guoan vs 
Qingdao Youth Island• Super League, China
Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction
Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 08:27 UTC
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 5.11 | 6.62 | 4.6% |
| Pinnacle | 1.41 | 5.04 | 6.31 | 6.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 4.90 | 6.35 | 8.6% |
| Bet365 | 1.40 | 4.50 | 6.50 | 9.0% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.75 | 6.00 | 9.1% |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.60 | 6.00 | 9.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.43 | 5.11 | 6.62 | 4.6% |
| Average | 1.40 | 4.82 | 6.30 | 7.9% |
Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.
Team comparison
Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.
Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 12:50 UTC
Beijing Guoan
7W 3D 0L · goals 25:8 · per match 2.5 for, 0.8 against
| 13 Oct | A | Buriram United | 1-0 | W |
| 9 Oct | A | Qingdao Jonoon | 3-0 | W |
| 15 Sep | H | Pohang Steelers | 3-1 | W |
| 5 Sep | A | SHANGHAI SIPG | 0-0 | D |
| 1 Sep | H | Rizhao Yuqi | 3-1 | W |
| 28 Aug | A | Dalian Zhixing | 1-1 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Yunnan Yukun | 3-3 | D |
| 18 Aug | A | Shanghai Shenhua | 3-0 | W |
| 15 Aug | A | Tianjin Teda | 4-2 | W |
| 7 Aug | H | Sichuan Jiuniu | 4-0 | W |
Qingdao Youth Island
3W 5D 2L · goals 9:10 · per match 0.9 for, 1.0 against
| 11 Oct | H | Dalian Zhixing | 0-4 | L |
| 5 Sep | A | Wuhan Three Towns | 2-2 | D |
| 29 Aug | A | Tianjin Teda | 1-1 | D |
| 22 Aug | H | Shandong Luneng | 2-0 | W |
| 14 Aug | H | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 0-0 | D |
| 9 Aug | A | Henan Jianye | 0-0 | D |
| 2 Aug | H | Qingdao Jonoon | 2-0 | W |
| 25 Jul | A | Shenyang Urban | 1-0 | W |
| 21 Jul | A | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 0-2 | L |
| 17 Jul | H | Chengdu Better City | 1-1 | D |
Head to head
7 meetings · goals 17:8 · last 7: 4W 3D 0L for Beijing Guoan
| 19 May 2026Super League | Super League | Qingdao Youth Island1-1Beijing Guoan |
| 16 Aug 2025Super League | Super League | Qingdao Youth Island1-3Beijing Guoan |
| 22 Jul 2025FA Cup | FA Cup | Qingdao Youth Island2-2Beijing Guoan |
| 17 Jun 2025Super League | Super League | Beijing Guoan1-0Qingdao Youth Island |
| 11 Aug 2024Super League | Super League | Qingdao Youth Island2-2Beijing Guoan |
| 21 Apr 2024Super League | Super League | Beijing Guoan4-1Qingdao Youth Island |
| 26 Jul 2023FA Cup | FA Cup | Qingdao Youth Island1-4Beijing Guoan |
Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 16 Oct 13:42 UTC
In the Super League table, Beijing Guoan sit 3rd with 41 points from 27 games, while Qingdao Youth Island are 6th with 38 points from 27.
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chengdu Better City | 27 | 15 | 7 | 5 | 51:31 | +20 | 52 |
| 2 | Dalian Zhixing | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 42:42 | 0 | 43 |
| 3 | Beijing Guoan | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 52:33 | +19 | 41 |
| 4 | Shandong Luneng | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 47:44 | +3 | 38 |
| 5 | Yunnan Yukun | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 55:58 | -3 | 38 |
| 6 | Qingdao Youth Island | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 31:36 | -5 | 38 |
| 7 | SHANGHAI SIPG | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44:35 | +9 | 36 |
| 8 | Shanghai Shenhua | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 59:47 | +12 | 34 |
| 9 | Chongqing Tongliang Long | 27 | 7 | 11 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 32 |
| 10 | Hangzhou Greentown | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 47:47 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | 36:47 | -11 | 29 |
| 12 | Tianjin Teda | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:32 | +5 | 28 |
| 13 | Henan Jianye | 27 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 35:37 | -2 | 28 |
| 14 | Shenyang Urban | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 35:48 | -13 | 26 |
| 15 | Wuhan Three Towns | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | 40:47 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 | Qingdao Jonoon | 27 | 6 | 3 | 18 | 34:56 | -22 | 14 |
Market · 1X2
Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 3.6% margin.
Over / Under 2.5
| Bookmaker | Over | Under | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.43 | 2.78 | 5.9% |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 2.70 | 6.5% |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 2.75 | 7.8% |
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 2.62 | 10.6% |
| Marathonbet | 1.38 | 2.62 | 10.6% |
| Best of all books | 1.44 | 2.78 | 5.4% |
| Average | 1.41 | 2.69 | 8.2% |
Both teams to score
| Bookmaker | Yes | No | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 2.20 | 7.2% |
| 1xBet | 1.57 | 2.26 | 7.9% |
| William Hill | 1.60 | 2.20 | 8.0% |
| Marathonbet | 1.57 | 2.22 | 8.7% |
| BetVictor | 1.53 | 2.30 | 8.8% |
| Best of all books | 1.62 | 2.30 | 5.2% |
| Average | 1.58 | 2.24 | 8.1% |
Odds Analysis & Prediction
The statistical model rates Beijing Guoan at 50% to win, the draw at 50% and Qingdao Youth Island at 0% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.40 | 4.83 | 6.27, which imply roughly 71.4% for a Beijing Guoan win versus the model's 50%.
Form context from the Super League table: Beijing Guoan are 3rd (41 pts, 52-33 goals), Qingdao Youth Island 6th (38 pts, 31-36).
Over their last five matches, Beijing Guoan averaged 2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Qingdao Youth Island averaged 1 scored and 1.4 conceded.
Statistical advice: Double chance : Beijing Guoan or draw.
Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.
All markets average prices
Full time
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.40 | 4.82 | 6.30 |
Double chance
| 1X | X2 | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.10 | 2.77 | 1.16 |
Draw no bet
| 1 | 2 |
|---|---|
| 1.14 | 5.17 |
Both teams to score
| Yes | No |
|---|---|
| 1.58 | 2.24 |
1st half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.79 | 2.70 | 5.97 |
2nd half
| 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|
| 1.67 | 3.06 | 5.20 |
HT/FT
| HT / FT | FT 1 | FT X | FT 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| HT 1 | 1.95 | 16.3 | 41.0 |
| HT X | 4.39 | 8.20 | 14.8 |
| HT 2 | 18.1 | 17.7 | 11.2 |
First team to score
| Home | No Goal | Away |
|---|---|---|
| 1.38 | 22.5 | 2.97 |
Match goals
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5 | 1.01 | 18.5 |
| 1.5 | 1.11 | 5.69 |
| 2.5 | 1.41 | 2.69 |
| 3.5 | 2.04 | 1.73 |
| 4.5 | 3.34 | 1.28 |
| 5.5 | 6.20 | 1.09 |
| 6.5 | 13.0 | 1.04 |
| 7.5 | 26.0 | 1.01 |
| 8.5 | 50.5 | – |
14 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1.02 | 11.5 |
| 1.75 | 1.10 | 5.00 |
| 2 | 1.13 | 4.60 |
| 2.25 | 1.26 | 3.20 |
| 2.75 | 1.48 | 2.41 |
| 3 | 1.61 | 2.15 |
| 3.25 | 1.84 | 1.90 |
| 3.75 | 2.28 | 1.55 |
| 4 | 2.64 | 1.38 |
| 4.25 | 2.92 | 1.31 |
| 4.75 | 3.82 | 1.18 |
| 5 | 4.95 | 1.11 |
| 5.25 | 5.25 | 1.09 |
| 6 | 9.10 | – |
Asian handicap
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -2 | 2.82 | 1.37 |
| -1.75 | 2.35 | 1.55 |
| -1.5 | 2.07 | 1.72 |
| -1.25 | 1.84 | 1.91 |
| -1 | 1.59 | 2.20 |
| -0.75 | 1.47 | 2.49 |
11 more lines
| Line | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| -3.5 | 5.95 | 1.07 |
| -3.25 | 5.90 | 1.09 |
| -3 | 5.53 | 1.10 |
| -2.75 | 4.07 | 1.18 |
| -2.5 | 3.34 | 1.27 |
| -2.25 | 3.16 | 1.31 |
| -0.5 | 1.40 | 2.88 |
| -0.25 | 1.26 | 3.46 |
| 0 | 1.13 | 5.00 |
| +0.25 | 1.11 | 5.43 |
| +0.5 | 1.12 | 6.40 |
Corners 2-Way
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5 | 1.01 | 7.22 |
| 7.5 | 1.15 | 4.22 |
| 8.5 | 1.33 | 2.87 |
| 9.5 | 1.63 | 2.13 |
| 10.5 | 2.03 | 1.71 |
| 11.5 | 2.56 | 1.42 |
| 12.5 | 3.45 | 1.23 |
| 13.5 | 4.93 | 1.10 |
22 more lines
| Line | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| 6.75 | 1.04 | 6.27 |
| 7 | 1.02 | 6.67 |
| 7.25 | 1.10 | 4.72 |
| 7.75 | 1.18 | 3.76 |
| 8 | 1.17 | 3.89 |
| 8.25 | 1.29 | 3.06 |
| 8.75 | 1.42 | 2.58 |
| 9 | 1.46 | 2.53 |
| 9.25 | 1.58 | 2.22 |
| 9.75 | 1.76 | 1.96 |
| 10 | 1.82 | 1.95 |
| 10.25 | 1.96 | 1.75 |
| 10.75 | 2.22 | 1.57 |
| 11 | 2.37 | 1.53 |
| 11.25 | 2.55 | 1.43 |
| 11.75 | 2.96 | 1.31 |
| 12 | 3.10 | 1.28 |
| 12.25 | 3.53 | 1.21 |
| 12.75 | 4.23 | 1.14 |
| 13 | 4.54 | 1.12 |
| 13.25 | 5.23 | 1.08 |
| 14 | 7.10 | 1.01 |