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Shandong Luneng vs Hangzhou Greentown• Super League, China

#41.6:1.412:00Tomorrow · Jinan Olympic Sports Center Stadium, Jinan2.8:1.6#11

Betting Odds, Analysis & Prediction

11.751XBX4.56PIN23.941XBMargin at best4.5%Books6Markets88Rating54 · 46 levelExp. goals L53.7

Price board · 1X2captured 16 Oct 20:45 UTC

Bookmaker1X2Margin
1xBet1.754.493.944.8%
Pinnacle1.734.633.934.8%
William Hill1.734.203.758.3%
Marathonbet1.694.333.808.6%
Bet3651.704.203.808.9%
BetVictor1.704.203.709.7%
Best of all books1.754.633.944.1%
Average1.724.343.827.5%

Best price per column is highlighted. Bookmaker prices refresh about every 3 hours from 4 days before kickoff; the strip above shows the latest best prices.

Team comparison

Shandong LunengHangzhou Greentown
Last 10#4Table position#111.41Points per game1.155Form pts · last 571.6Goals for · last 52.81.4Goals against · last 51.636Attack rating6453Defence rating4753Form rating4762H2H rating3864Goals model3654Overall rating46

Blue marks the stronger side on each line. Ratings come from the match model: attack, defence, form, head to head and a goals model.

Last 10 matches team's goals firstupdated 16 Oct 19:40 UTC

Shandong Luneng

4W 3D 3L · goals 14:15 · per match 1.4 for, 1.5 against

11 OctAChongqing Tongliang Long1-1D
5 SepHSichuan Jiuniu1-1D
1 SepHSHANGHAI SIPG0-3L
28 AugAShanghai Shenhua3-2W
22 AugAQingdao Youth Island0-2L
14 AugHQingdao Jonoon3-1W
9 AugHTianjin Teda2-1W
1 AugASHANGHAI SIPG1-0W
26 JulHHenan Jianye1-2L
21 JulAWuhan Three Towns2-2D

Hangzhou Greentown

4W 2D 4L · goals 24:18 · per match 2.4 for, 1.8 against

9 OctHSHANGHAI SIPG2-4L
18 SepHWuhan Three Towns4-1W
6 SepATianjin Teda1-2L
29 AugHYunnan Yukun6-0W
22 AugASichuan Jiuniu1-1D
15 AugHChengdu Better City2-3L
1 AugABeijing Guoan1-2L
26 JulHDalian Zhixing3-2W
18 JulAChongqing Tongliang Long1-1D
14 JulHQingdao Jonoon3-2W

Head to head

8Shandong Luneng wins
2draws
4Hangzhou Greentown wins

14 meetings · goals 27:21 · last 10: 5W 2D 3L for Shandong Luneng

20 May 2026Super LeagueSuper LeagueHangzhou Greentown4-1Shandong Luneng
18 Oct 2025Super LeagueSuper LeagueHangzhou Greentown2-2Shandong Luneng
10 May 2025Super LeagueSuper LeagueShandong Luneng4-2Hangzhou Greentown
27 Oct 2024Super LeagueSuper LeagueHangzhou Greentown3-3Shandong Luneng
25 May 2024Super LeagueSuper LeagueShandong Luneng3-0Hangzhou Greentown
22 Jul 2023Super LeagueSuper LeagueHangzhou Greentown2-1Shandong Luneng
25 Apr 2023Super LeagueSuper LeagueShandong Luneng2-1Hangzhou Greentown
15 Jan 2023FA CupFA CupHangzhou Greentown1-2Shandong Luneng
25 Jun 2022Super LeagueSuper LeagueHangzhou Greentown2-0Shandong Luneng
3 Jun 2022Super LeagueSuper LeagueShandong Luneng1-0Hangzhou Greentown

Super League tableSuper Leagueupdated 16 Oct 15:50 UTC

In the Super League table, Shandong Luneng sit 4th with 38 points from 27 games, while Hangzhou Greentown are 11th with 31 points from 27.

#TeamPWDLGoalsGDPts
1Chengdu Better City27157551:31+2052
2Dalian Zhixing271341042:42043
3Beijing Guoan271210552:33+1941
4Shandong Luneng27135947:44+338
5Yunnan Yukun271151155:58-338
6Qingdao Youth Island27814531:36-538
7SHANGHAI SIPG27118844:35+936
8Shanghai Shenhua27135959:47+1234
9Chongqing Tongliang Long27711928:33-532
10Tianjin Teda28118938:32+631
11Hangzhou Greentown271061147:47031
12Sichuan Jiuniu27851436:47-1129
13Henan Jianye288101035:38-328
14Shenyang Urban27751535:48-1326
15Wuhan Three Towns275121040:47-722
16Qingdao Jonoon27631834:56-2214

Market · 1X2

Implied probabilityProb.Avg154%1.71X21%4.33224%3.81

Margin-free probabilities from the average price across bookmakers; the books keep a 4.5% margin.

1X2 since open average price

14 Oct 00:0116 Oct 09:301 1.71X 4.332 3.81
11.76 → 1.71 -2.8%X4.26 → 4.33 +1.6%23.59 → 3.81 +6.1%

Over / Under 2.5

BookmakerOverUnderMargin
Pinnacle1.303.545.2%
Bet3651.283.605.9%
BetVictor1.253.607.8%
1xBet1.253.2810.5%
Marathonbet1.253.2810.5%
Best of all books1.303.604.7%
Average1.273.467.9%

Both teams to score

BookmakerYesNoMargin
Bet3651.333.256.0%
William Hill1.303.208.2%
1xBet1.313.148.2%
BetVictor1.293.258.3%
Marathonbet1.313.088.8%
Best of all books1.333.256.0%
Average1.313.187.9%

Odds Analysis & Prediction

Shandong Luneng 45%Draw 45%Hangzhou Greentown 10%

The statistical model rates Shandong Luneng at 45% to win, the draw at 45% and Hangzhou Greentown at 10% — against average 1X2 odds of 1.71 | 4.33 | 3.81, which imply roughly 58.5% for a Shandong Luneng win versus the model's 45%.

Form context from the Super League table: Shandong Luneng are 4th (38 pts, 47-44 goals), Hangzhou Greentown 11th (31 pts, 47-47).

Over their last five matches, Shandong Luneng averaged 1.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Hangzhou Greentown averaged 2.8 scored and 1.6 conceded.

Statistical advice: Double chance : Shandong Luneng or draw.

Probabilities are statistical estimates derived from historical data — not betting advice. Odds shown are bookmaker averages and move until kickoff.

All markets average prices

Full time

1X2
1.724.343.82

Double chance

1XX212
1.242.051.19

Draw no bet

12
1.362.93

Both teams to score

YesNo
1.313.18

1st half

1X2
2.142.733.89

2nd half

1X2
1.973.073.53

HT/FT

HT / FTFT 1FT XFT 2
HT 12.4813.725.7
HT X5.338.309.77
HT 217.014.76.10

First team to score

HomeNo GoalAway
1.5632.02.27

Match goals

LineOverUnder
0.51.0122.8
1.51.057.75
2.51.273.46
3.51.732.04
4.52.571.44
5.54.321.18
6.58.001.08
7.517.01.02
8.529.01.01
9.550.5–
14 more lines
LineOverUnder
11.0114.5
1.751.056.55
21.066.15
2.251.154.20
2.751.302.97
31.362.71
3.251.572.32
3.751.861.84
42.091.65
4.252.311.53
4.752.881.32
53.501.22
5.253.841.18
66.501.05

Asian handicap

LineHomeAway
-1.52.681.44
-1.252.391.54
-12.131.67
-0.751.861.86
-0.51.702.10
-0.251.522.37
14 more lines
LineHomeAway
-3.58.001.02
-37.401.03
-2.755.631.09
-2.54.481.15
-2.254.201.17
-23.871.20
-1.753.181.33
01.352.95
+0.251.293.31
+0.51.263.70
+0.751.154.45
+11.086.23
+1.251.107.00
+1.51.046.75

Corners 2-Way

LineOverUnder
6.51.056.07
7.51.183.83
8.51.392.65
9.51.702.05
10.52.091.66
11.52.761.35
12.53.831.18
13.55.611.06
21 more lines
LineOverUnder
6.751.046.06
71.055.80
7.251.114.58
7.751.203.66
81.223.48
8.251.302.99
8.751.442.52
91.472.48
9.251.602.18
9.751.781.92
101.901.87
10.252.001.72
10.752.261.55
112.401.51
11.252.611.41
11.753.041.29
123.461.22
12.253.631.20
12.754.361.13
135.221.08
13.255.421.07